Saturday Champ Weekend

[joefrog91]

RECORD
STRAIGHT BETS 152-132-3
PARLAYS 3-29


Some of my leans. Won't play all of them, but just ones I'm considering.

UConn +9 1 unit WINNER
Needs a win to become bowl eligible. Cincy can't win BE even with a win. And they haven't played well without Collaros. UConn's covered last 3 in this series.

Pitt -10 1 unit WINNER
Just like Pitt at home.

Houston -13.5 2 units LOSER
Houston seems like a team of destiny right now. Made the mistake of going against them last week. Won't do it again.

K State -10.5 1 unit LOSER
I know line is going down, but I think it's wrong. I also know there is 80% chance of rain forecasted. I've seen highscoring games in the rain before. I may just pass after I sleep on it. :lol:

TCU -38.5 .5 unit WINNER
TCU/UNLV Over 57 2 units WINNER
I may just play the Over in this game. TCU will either be highly motivated to impress voters because Houston is losing their earlier game or not care because Houston has already clinched the BCS spot.

LSU -14 3 units WINNER
LSU/Georgia Over 46.5 1 unit WINNER
They've been my bread and butter team all year and I went against them for the first time last week and it killed me. Won't do it again.

Va Tech -6.5 3 units LOSER
They have covered their last three ACC Champ games.

Okie St -3.5 2 units WINNER
It's their time. OU hurt and won't be able to keep up.

Wisconsin -9.5 2 units LOSER
Wisky/Sparty Over 55 2 units WINNER
Heavy dose of Montee Ball will be a big factor in this game. Wisky wins by 10.


Boise St -48.5 1 unit LOSER
BYU -8 1 unit WINNER
Wyoming -5.5 1 unit LOSER
Utah St -15 1 unit LOSER
SD St -8 1 unit LOSER
Arky St -17.5 1 unit WINNER
N Tx -5.5 1 unit WINNER

 

[Destructor D]

Some interesting picks... Like UConn as Cincy's offense sucks with their new QB and like you said, UConn would be bowl eligible with a win and seem to be playing their best ball now.

Pitt game puzzles me as Syracuse has been 0-4 ATS on the road and been blown out their past 2 home games despite being fairly even with regards to yards gained vs. yards allowed. Also, have to wonder what Pitt has left after brutal loss last week. Still Pitt needs win to become bowl eligible and not sure Cuse goes bowling with a win since they're 1-5 in the Big Easy conference.

Kansas State has the benefit of 2 weeks to prepare, but they have only beaten Kent State and Kansas by double digits! Rain could be a factor as well although I think this might hurt the turnover prone Cyclones a bit more.

Tough to not back Houston considering they're 10-2 ATS and rolling teams. Southern Miss coming just lost @ UAB recently and the home team has dominated this series plus Cougars are 6-0 ATS at home. Keenum also with one last chance to at least make an appearance for the Heisman and think he'll shred this defense.

Good Luck as I'll likely be on a few of them. Don't think I could lay TCU -38.5, but UNLV is 0-5-1 ATS on the road.

 

[joefrog91]

Some interesting picks... Like UConn as Cincy's offense sucks with their new QB and like you said, UConn would be bowl eligible with a win and seem to be playing their best ball now.

Pitt game puzzles me as Syracuse has been 0-4 ATS on the road and been blown out their past 2 home games despite being fairly even with regards to yards gained vs. yards allowed. Also, have to wonder what Pitt has left after brutal loss last week. Still Pitt needs win to become bowl eligible and not sure Cuse goes bowling with a win since they're 1-5 in the Big Easy conference.

Kansas State has the benefit of 2 weeks to prepare, but they have only beaten Kent State and Kansas by double digits! Rain could be a factor as well although I think this might hurt the turnover prone Cyclones a bit more.

Tough to not back Houston considering they're 10-2 ATS and rolling teams. Southern Miss coming just lost @ UAB recently and the home team has dominated this series plus Cougars are 6-0 ATS at home. Keenum also with one last chance to at least make an appearance for the Heisman and think he'll shred this defense.

Good Luck as I'll likely be on a few of them. Don't think I could lay TCU -38.5, but UNLV is 0-5-1 ATS on the road.

Yeah, I'm not sure what I'll actually play yet. About to hit the hay and will decide tomorrow once I call in to get my lines.

Good luck tomorrow. :toast:

 

[joefrog91]

Posted my plays. Good luck! :toast:

Gotta hit the road to sit out in the rain in Ft Worth.

 

[owtkast3]

Dont know if it changes your thinking but Cincy is 8-3 and very Bowl Eligible... I like Uconn more because of that fact. Cincy not much to play for as they are pretty set in their bowl game while like you said UConn needs the win to be BE.

Good Luck Today

 

[joefrog91]

Great start to this day. Not happy to lose my Houston bet, but happy TCU has an outside chance to get to #16 in BCS Poll. Can't make it to Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego, but can definitely make the drive to New Orleans. :0074