alright, gonna try to bounce back from that horrific loss with louisville on thursday. losses like that usually portend a losing streak, so fading these may be a good idea. looks like i'm going with a lucky 13 plays today, including a couple big ones from the MVC. :scared
pitt (+3) 1 unit. syracuse is just so awful. they've lost 4 of their last 5. donte green sees those nba dollars. he's just shooting from everywhere. here are his 3-point #s over the last 5 games... 1/4, 1/10, 4/16, 0/3, 1/8. for the math-impaired, he has hit 7 of his last 41 (17%). i simply feel i'm getting the better team getting points.
detroit (+16.5) 1 unit. as bad as detroit is, they are still playing hard. they've covered 3 straight road games and 5 of their last 6 overall. butler is 4-12 ATS in conference. the bulldogs have covered 2 of their last 9 home games and those 2 covers were by a combined 3.5 points.
la salle (+1) 1 unit. how 'bout those explorers? i've been riding them on the road, and i've certainly enjoyed the ride. now i'm gonna take a shot with them at home, where they're playing better recently. they have won and covered 4 straight games. rhode island (what the f--k has happened to the rams?) has lost 6 of their last 7 games and dropped 6 straight ATS.
marquette (-4) 2 units. marquette has covered 6 straight games. georgetown has only covered 2 of their last 8, plus their next game is a revenge game against louisville (which will be for first place if the hoyas win today).
wright st (+5) 1 unit. maybe a little too easy here, but so was wright st getting 11 from butler. the raiders are 6-0-2 ATS on the conference road. valpo is 1-4-1 ATS at home their last 6.
bradley (+6.5) 3 units. my faithful readers (both of you!) already knew i'd be taking the braves here. ruffin is back. they have covered 8 of their last 9 games with ruffin. with him, bradley is one of the best teams in this conference. with a healthy daniel ruffin, the braves are 13-5. two of those losses were to michigan state (bradley led with 4 minutes remaining) and vandy. for at least the last 6 years, the team that covered the first matchup between these 2 teams also covered the second matchup. bradley destroyed creighton by 28 2 weeks ago. they were outrebounding creighton 44-22 before the blue jays got the last 8 of the game.
arizona st (-1.5) 1 unit. more of a gut feeling here than anything else. i like herb sendick's team to frustrate the young trojans. kinda similar to a couple weeks ago, when usc won at washington and then lost at washington state.
missouri/baylor over (160) 2 units. baylor went over the total 12 straight (and 15 out of 16) games before going to colorado. and big 12 teams after visiting colorado this year... 4 out of 5 went over their next game. yes, that is the sort of in depth research i give you. missouri has also gone over 6 of their last 7 games.
arkansas (-6.5) 2 units. wow, this line is jumping up! vandy has covered their last 2 road games, but this is such an obvious letdown spot. the hogs have won and covered 4 straight at home.
indiana st (-3.5) 2 units. missouri st, who was one of the best teams in this conference for quite a while, is 0-11 ATS on the road this year. the sycamores are 7-1 straight up and ATS in conference home games, with the only loss to drake.
fordham (-1.5) 1 unit. strictly an anti-dayton play here. the flyers have covered 2 of their last 11 games. they have lost 5 straight (straight up and ATS) on the road.
st marys (+6.5) 1 unit. first place is on the line in the WCC. gotta take the points.
wichita st (+12) 1 unit. such a disappointing season for the shockers. drake has lost 2 straight conference games and 3 of their last 4. the last time they won a game by more than 11 points was january 9. i hate to go against the fighting snack cakes, but they simply have nothing to play for tonight.
pitt (+3) 1 unit. syracuse is just so awful. they've lost 4 of their last 5. donte green sees those nba dollars. he's just shooting from everywhere. here are his 3-point #s over the last 5 games... 1/4, 1/10, 4/16, 0/3, 1/8. for the math-impaired, he has hit 7 of his last 41 (17%). i simply feel i'm getting the better team getting points.
detroit (+16.5) 1 unit. as bad as detroit is, they are still playing hard. they've covered 3 straight road games and 5 of their last 6 overall. butler is 4-12 ATS in conference. the bulldogs have covered 2 of their last 9 home games and those 2 covers were by a combined 3.5 points.
la salle (+1) 1 unit. how 'bout those explorers? i've been riding them on the road, and i've certainly enjoyed the ride. now i'm gonna take a shot with them at home, where they're playing better recently. they have won and covered 4 straight games. rhode island (what the f--k has happened to the rams?) has lost 6 of their last 7 games and dropped 6 straight ATS.
marquette (-4) 2 units. marquette has covered 6 straight games. georgetown has only covered 2 of their last 8, plus their next game is a revenge game against louisville (which will be for first place if the hoyas win today).
wright st (+5) 1 unit. maybe a little too easy here, but so was wright st getting 11 from butler. the raiders are 6-0-2 ATS on the conference road. valpo is 1-4-1 ATS at home their last 6.
bradley (+6.5) 3 units. my faithful readers (both of you!) already knew i'd be taking the braves here. ruffin is back. they have covered 8 of their last 9 games with ruffin. with him, bradley is one of the best teams in this conference. with a healthy daniel ruffin, the braves are 13-5. two of those losses were to michigan state (bradley led with 4 minutes remaining) and vandy. for at least the last 6 years, the team that covered the first matchup between these 2 teams also covered the second matchup. bradley destroyed creighton by 28 2 weeks ago. they were outrebounding creighton 44-22 before the blue jays got the last 8 of the game.
arizona st (-1.5) 1 unit. more of a gut feeling here than anything else. i like herb sendick's team to frustrate the young trojans. kinda similar to a couple weeks ago, when usc won at washington and then lost at washington state.
missouri/baylor over (160) 2 units. baylor went over the total 12 straight (and 15 out of 16) games before going to colorado. and big 12 teams after visiting colorado this year... 4 out of 5 went over their next game. yes, that is the sort of in depth research i give you. missouri has also gone over 6 of their last 7 games.
arkansas (-6.5) 2 units. wow, this line is jumping up! vandy has covered their last 2 road games, but this is such an obvious letdown spot. the hogs have won and covered 4 straight at home.
indiana st (-3.5) 2 units. missouri st, who was one of the best teams in this conference for quite a while, is 0-11 ATS on the road this year. the sycamores are 7-1 straight up and ATS in conference home games, with the only loss to drake.
fordham (-1.5) 1 unit. strictly an anti-dayton play here. the flyers have covered 2 of their last 11 games. they have lost 5 straight (straight up and ATS) on the road.
st marys (+6.5) 1 unit. first place is on the line in the WCC. gotta take the points.
wichita st (+12) 1 unit. such a disappointing season for the shockers. drake has lost 2 straight conference games and 3 of their last 4. the last time they won a game by more than 11 points was january 9. i hate to go against the fighting snack cakes, but they simply have nothing to play for tonight.
