Saturday June 2nd

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Saturday June 2nd 2007

yesterday: 7-6 -6.14
---not the way I wanted to start off a new month; not much I can do but try to recover.
system picks 1-2 yesterday; now 83-45 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-1 yesterday (I went 2-0; my only bright spot)

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Cubs 64% (-143)+5
Mets 51 (-137)-7 ariz 49 (+120)+3
Hou 58 (-135)even
Mil 61 (-162)-1
Pitt 54 (-131)-3
sd 66 (-170)+3 RL 51 (+100)+1
Phil 54 (-164)-9 sf 46 (+156)+6
Col 63 (-170)even
Tor 52 (+102)+2
Bost 55 (-130)-2
det 55 (+140)+13
Tb 55 (-122)even
Oak 52 (-135)-6 min 48 (+128)+4
Laa 52 (-140)-7 balt 48 (+132)+4
Seat 55 (-140)-4

system totals

ariz@Mets un8.5 72 (+105)+23 --Tschida is a good under-ump
fla@Mil ov8.5 72 (-125)+16 --Fairchild is a slight over-ump
sf@Phil un9 69 (+100)+19 --McLelland is more of an OVER-ump (always low K%)
det@Clev ov11 69 (+100)+19 --ump Randazzo is even
min@Oak un9 71 (-125)+15 --ump Hudson is even


10 games at 55% or less, today; lots of tough calls; nothing very attractive.
Tigers with a good chance to win, but a good chance to lose, also; line makes Tigers a viable play.

As much as I'd like to get yesterday's money back (i.e. chase), I think today will be light; Sunday looks a little more promising.

Be back later to post plays.
GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

ugh...I can't find any good angles on today's board.

A couple of totals, maybe.

A Francis play, in Colorado, is tempting, but Lohse was great in his last and Rockies have stunk for about 3 straight games now.

Under is also tempting.

(system call is actually 61% OVER the 9.5)

Neither team hitting much past 3-4 games.
Francis has been great.
Lohse great in last.

+100 on the under sells me.

Mets game could go under as Mets not hitting lately, and with some key bats out.
I don't know if I trust Sosa, though.
A Hernandez play not out of the question for me, even though I don't like the D'Backs (but what is that...7 straight wins now?).

Giants-Phillies game is a really tough call, in part because of yesterday's game.
Phillies not hitting lefties (OPS .706...they're .810 vs R).
Giants really REALLY not hitting lefties lately (OPS vs L was .822 to end April; now .719).
McLelland is a bullshit ump for an under play, but I don't think he's going to stop me from trying this one, not at the current +100.

kc@TB sounds like an OVER, but Jackson was surprisingly potent in his last (at home vs Tigers).
Perez was really starting to come on, too, for about 3 straight starts, until the stinker in his last (vs M's).
ump for this one is CB Bucknor, who has always been a good OVER-ump.
I think that the Royals get 3-6 (or more) off Jackson & co., but I don't know about the D'Rays making Bannister look so good yesterday...still...they hit lefties (OPS .821) much better than righties (OPS .726), so they should tag Perez for anywhere from 4-8, I would think.
Might try it. 10.5 kinda sucks, but so do the starters AND the bullpens, in this one.
System call is 60% over the 10.5.

I need some fresh air (and a Senators win wouldn't hurt).

:SIB

 

[Jig-Jag]

I think the Cubs maybe a decent play. Hill isn't all that bad and he should pitch well tomorrow.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

oh let the sun beat down upon my face...stars fill my dreams

oh let the sun beat down upon my face...stars fill my dreams

PLAYS

system picks

tigers +140 1.5/2.1

other picks

Cubs -143 1.43/1
padres -1.5 +100 0.75/0.75

totals

ariz@Mets un8.5 +105 1/1.05
fla@Mil ov8.5 -125 1/0.8
sf@Phil un9 +111 1/1.11
cin@Col un9.5 +101 0.75/0.75
det@Clev ov11 +101 0.5/0.5
kc@Tb ov10.5 +104 0.74/0.76
min@A's un9 -130 0.65/0.5
o's@Laa un9 -115 0.57/0.5
tex@M's ov9.5 -103 0.61/0.6

4-teamer
--Cubs ml
--Brewers ml
--padres ml
--Rockies ml
+594
0.5/2.97


Trying lots of totals today, to state the obvious. Why not?...went 2-0 yesterday.
Hopefully I can find my way to a plus, today; yesterday was a real downer.
Got some bigger favorites happening Sunday; I'm hoping for some reasonable lines.

Have fun today.

:SIB

 

[DoMyDermBest]

Like them both. Especially the bosox. gl!

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

What about the Bosox?

I give them a 55% chance of winning this one.

I wouldn't touch them with a ten-foot pole, today, with both Lowell and Drew questionable (I almost tried the Yankees).

I think Mussina's still got game.
He should give the Yanks a fighting chance.

I just don't want to go against Schilling after how well he performed last time out.

GL anyway

:SIB

 

[thisisbad]

like tex and clev overs a lot
thanks again for postin
my bday today so you bringing me a winner
Best of luck today