I will obviously have a large play on this one. I'm expecting a line of around Michigan -4. I don't think the week off did Michigan any good at all. A young hot team would rather keep playing. This will be a tough CAP noting State's road struggles and the amount of pressure on the young Wolves to "Win and You're IN". My initial play will be on the under first half if it is in the 58.5 and above range. This should be a real white-knuckler early on. Official plays to come tomorrow when I have an early line.
Saturday- Mich St at Michigan
- Thread starter CapMan
- Start date
Michigan -1.5?????????? I am flummoxed. Makes no sense, all signs point towards a Michigan win and they throw this crap line out there...makes me wonder..
Well I am taking my boys to close out a fantastic season. I would say this is senior day, but we don't have any on the roster. The motivation is simple, Win and You're In. It is tremendous pressure. I'm playing Michigan -1 and also the under for 1H and Game. Izzo is a brilliant coach and I think he wants to ugly this up, slow it down and keep it close and trust his veteran guys in the final 2 minutes over our pups. At least that's what I would do. I'd say there is a 40% chance Michigan blitzes them and runs away, but more likely its going to be a war. Michigan HAS to make foul shots better and control their nerves. The line basically tells me that the oddsmakers think this will be an issue. We shall see....
- Jan 29, 2011
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Good luck Capman. You're a true asset here and I will gladly trail your play. Keep in mind sometimes the linemakers like to mind-fuck us bettors. In the NBA they made San Antonio who was 28-2 at home and had a 22 home game winning streak only -2 vs a struggling Miami squad. San Antonio won by 30. Bring this home Michigan !
Michigan's foul shooting is a huge concern. However, I hope this game doesn't come down to foul shooting!:00hour
It's ridiculous too becaust they are GREAT foul shooters! It's all nerves! They need to give the ball to Novak to close games..not Morris
