saturday ncaa.......

gman2

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Nov 12, 2002
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gonna be a hectic next 24 hrs, so figured id throw these up while i had the chance.

miami,ohio (-4) over toledo
arizona (+6.5) over stanford
cleveland state/detroit under 131

briefly:

same principles apply in toledo/miami as did apply in toledo/kent. rockets defense is atrocious and they will get fundamentally picked apart by miamis methodical offense. rockets have as much firepower as anyone in the conference (perhaps THE most) but that doesnt mean much when they play the elite defensive teams. miami has the best scoring defense in the conference and toledo is a very young team. theyre not gonna get blown out like they did vs kent (simply because miami doesnt have that kind of offense) but i think toledo loses by 8-10 here.

arizona line seems higher than i expected. was thinking stanford would be about 4 or 4.5. ill grab the 6.5 with no shame. stanford does hold an edge on the boards, which is important, but this series continues to be dominated by the visitor (away team has won the L7 straight up if im not mistaken).

csu/detroit games are always physical, low-scoring games. but this one should feature even less offense. garland has repeatedly said in post-gm press conferences and on radio that he doesnt enjoy playing "walk-it-up-the-court" basketball, but that he has no choice since theyre low on depth. the return of badiane to the csu lineup is huge. not because he supplies offense.....but because he is a 7-footer who is a big time shot blocker and rebounder. that can only help their defensive cause. not gonna be a pretty game. csu gonna try and keep this one in the 50s if possible.
 

gman2

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wizz:

virginia is in as good a spot as they can be in. home dog getting points from a team who had to make a huge 2nd half rally to beat wake forest a few nights ago (trailed by almost 20). this would be more anti-ncsu than anything else. ncsu has been a good moneymaking team for me when i bet on em, but laying acc road chalk with em is a little much. gl if you play the cavs
 
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