Saturday NCAAF...1 play.

[NBA_Kid]

I'm not mad at all, lol. Just posting what I found. The more info the better. I like the play. :toast:

Seriously....I looked for injuries Sunday night when the line came out.

Because the line looked real light at -3.5....After just beating G Tech and playing at home...You would think they would be a bigger chalk.

I feel good about the play.

 

[LonghornMM]

Seriously....I looked for injuries Sunday night when the line came out.

Because the line looked real light at -3.5....After just beating G Tech and playing at home...You would think they would be a bigger chalk.

I feel good about the play.

Agreed. The only thing where I'm showing a difference in what you're showing is the percentages on the spread. Thats why I was wondering where get your info on that.

 

[LonghornMM]

Got any thoughts on these games, Kid? What are the percentages you show from the site you use? These are interesting lines:

Penn State opened at -4, now Illinois is favored by -1.5, with 62% on PSU

Iowa opened at -6 and it has gone to -6.5, with 84% on Minnesota

Clemson opened at -11 and it has dropped to -9.5 with 83% on Clemson

TCU opened at -17.5 and it has dropped to -16.5 with 85% on TCU

 

[NBA_Kid]

Got any thoughts on these games, Kid? What are the percentages you show from the site you use? These are interesting lines:

Penn State opened at -4, now Illinois is favored by -1.5, with 62% on PSU

Iowa opened at -6 and it has gone to -6.5, with 84% on Minnesota

Clemson opened at -11 and it has dropped to -9.5 with 83% on Clemson

TCU opened at -17.5 and it has dropped to -16.5 with 85% on TCU

No disrespect towards the site you use....85%?

Don`t get mad at me....But i think that site has some bad #`s.

 

[NBA_Kid]

September 29, 2012 ?
Sides (ATS)
Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds

3:30 PM Idaho +24.5 129 25.85% North Carolina -24.5 370 74.15%

8:00 PM Texas-San Antonio +3.5 150 30.74% New Mexico State -3.5 338 69.26%

7:00 PM Middle Tennessee +27.5 166 32.94% Georgia Tech -27.5 338 67.06%

TBD North Carolina State +3 232 33.29% Miami -3 465 66.71%

3:15 PM Marshall +16.5 192 36.02% Purdue -16.5 341 63.98%

12:00 PM Indiana +11.5 206 36.27% Northwestern -11.5 362 63.73%

7:00 PM Toledo +1.5 194 38.72% Western Michigan -1.5 307 61.28%

10:00 PM San Diego State +7.5 208 39.54% Fresno State -7.5 318 60.46%

8:00 PM UNLV +17.5 211 40.66% Utah State -17.5 308 59.34%

12:00 PM Arkansas +13.5 243 40.77% Texas A&M -13.5 353 59.23%

7:00 PM Texas El Paso +4.5 197 40.79% East Carolina -4.5 286 59.21%

12:00 PM Baylor +12.5 253 40.87% West Virginia -12.5 366 59.13%

12:30 PM Duke +3 226 41.32% Wake Forest -3 321 58.68%

8:00 PM Wisconsin +13 270 44.19% Nebraska -13 341 55.81%

2:00 PM Colorado State +15 229 45.08% Air Force -15 279 54.92%

TBD Virginia Tech -7 328 45.87% Cincinnati +7 387 54.13%

9:15 PM Mississippi +31 280 45.98% Alabama -31 329 54.02%

3:30 PM Tennessee +13 279 46.81% Georgia -13 317 53.19%

12:00 PM Buffalo +16 248 47.33% Connecticut -16 276 52.67%

3:30 PM Central Michigan +10.5 241 47.82% Northern Illinois -10.5 263 52.18%

10:00 PM Oregon State +2.5 308 48.58% Arizona -2.5 326 51.42%

12:00 PM Penn State +1.5 306 48.73% Illinois -1.5 322 51.27%

3:30 PM Ohio State +3 320 50.87% Michigan State -3 309 49.13%

3:30 PM Houston -5 271 52.52% Rice +5 245 47.48%

4:00 PM Arizona State +2 306 52.58% California -2 276 47.42%

7:50 PM Texas -2.5 322 52.96% Oklahoma State +2.5 286 47.04%

7:00 PM Western Kentucky -2.5 289 54.94% Arkansas State +2.5 237 45.06%

3:30 PM San Jose State -2.5 313 55.79% Navy +2.5 248 44.21%

7:00 PM Texas Tech -2.5 300 55.97% Iowa State +2.5 236 44.03%

12:00 PM Minnesota +6.5 367 57.70% Iowa -6.5 269 42.30%

3:00 PM Miami (Ohio) -5.5 300 57.80% Akron +5.5 219 42.20%

TBD Louisiana Tech -2.5 391 57.84% Virginia +2.5 285 42.16%

5:00 PM North Texas -6.5 273 58.58% Florida Atlantic +6.5 193 41.42%

12:00 PM Ball State -1 353 58.74% Kent State +1 248 41.26%

3:00 PM Tulsa -13.5 299 59.56% Alabama-Birmingham +13.5 203 40.44%

6:00 PM Boise State -27 312 60.00% New Mexico +27 208 40.00%

3:30 PM Troy -9.5 287 61.06% South Alabama +9.5 183 38.94%

2:00 PM Nevada -20 336 64.00% Texas State +20 189 36.00%

3:30 PM UL Monroe -17.5 343 64.47% Tulane +17.5 189 35.53%

8:00 PM Louisville -10.5 349 64.51% Southern Mississippi +10.5 192 35.49%

6:00 PM UCLA -20.5 362 64.76% Colorado +20.5 197 35.24%

12:00 PM Missouri +2.5 405 65.75% Central Florida -2.5 211 34.25%

10:30 PM Oregon -28.5 395 66.05% Washington State +28.5 203 33.95%

7:00 PM Texas Christian -16.5 362 70.29% Southern Methodist +16.5 153 29.71%

TBD Florida State -17 533 72.12% South Florida +17 206 27.88%

TBD Clemson -9.5 536 74.14% Boston College +9.5 187 25.86%

 

[LonghornMM]

Thats why I was asking you what site you use so I could have another reference. I'm using vegas insider. Where did you get those numbers? Help a brotha out.

 

[NBA_Kid]

Thats why I was asking you what site you use so I could have another reference. I'm using vegas insider. Where did you get those numbers? Help a brotha out.

That`s the only play i see that i like...Still +3 at my book. -117 though....Looks like it might go to 2.5 soon.

Stanford dropped from 7 to 6.5...65% on Stanford....Washington would be a play if that line stays at 6.5....Line should never drop below that key # of 7.

Plus Stanford is coming off a huge win against USC...Could a letdown spot for them.

 

[fla]

Kid

Check out USF against the Noles. The Bulls lose to Ball State. FSU is the already anointed national championship game participant. Line at 17, 72% on the Noles, bad spot for the Noles, line not going up as of yet.

:toast:

Good luck.

 

[Jaxx]

Kid

Check out USF against the Noles. The Bulls lose to Ball State. FSU is the already anointed national championship game participant. Line at 17, 72% on the Noles, bad spot for the Noles, line not going up as of yet.

:toast:

Good luck.

Ditto on that FLA. This one looks good.

:0074

 

[NBA_Kid]

Kid

Check out USF against the Noles. The Bulls lose to Ball State. FSU is the already anointed national championship game participant. Line at 17, 72% on the Noles, bad spot for the Noles, line not going up as of yet.

:toast:

Good luck.

I agree,S.F. can be a play....Nice letdown spot.

 

[NBA_Kid]

Line dropped another 0.5 point....That`s a full point with 67% on the Canes.

Gotta love it...Go State!


BET ID=391270499
Straight Wager 09/26/12 18:14 ET
bet 50.00 to win 45.45 Result: Pending
NCState
MiamiFla 09/29/12(12:05 ET)
NCState +2.5

 

[Corley1011]

Already on NCST too



VegasInsider is showing 65% on NCST... that has to be wrong... right?

 

[whodey]

Line dropped another 0.5 point....That`s a full point with 67% on the Canes.

Gotta love it...Go State!


BET ID=391270499
Straight Wager 09/26/12 18:14 ET
bet 50.00 to win 45.45 Result: Pending
NCState
MiamiFla 09/29/12(12:05 ET)
NCState +2.5

im seeing 65% on ncst at scoresandodds :shrug:

 

[NBA_Kid]

Already on NCST too



VegasInsider is showing 65% on NCST... that has to be wrong... right?

My records show Miami being the 3rd biggest home public play of the day...66.80%

North Carolina State +2.5 33.20% Miami -2.5 66.80%

09/23/12 10:32 PM ET (Open) -3.5
09/24/12 02:42 PM ET -3.0
09/26/12 09:02 AM ET -2.5
09/26/12 01:22 PM ET -2.5

:toast:

 

[fla]

Canes at South Bend next week after winning at Atlanta last week. That would be a Primanti Brothers sandwich. Hopefully no replacement refs decide to do the college games.

 

[Master Capper]

I don't have the exact stat, but teams that are coming off playing a Triple Option team have failed to cover the following week at a very high rate.

 

[NBA_Kid]

I don't have the exact stat, but teams that are coming off playing a Triple Option team have failed to cover the following week at a very high rate.

We have a fade the public,line drop angle...we have the triple option angle and we have the look ahead angle. :142smilie :142smilie


Go Wolfpack :00hour :00hour :00hour

 

[Nole]

We have a fade the public,line drop angle...we have the triple option angle and we have the look ahead angle. :142smilie :142smilie


Go Wolfpack :00hour :00hour :00hour

And the Miami Hurricanes suck angle. That's a good one too!



:toast:

 

[NBA_Kid]

And the Miami Hurricanes suck angle. That's a good one too!



:toast:

I agree.....They played out of there minds against Tech last Saturday:toast:

 

[NBA_Kid]

BET ID=391293812
Straight Wager 09/27/12 06:15 ET
bet 50.00 to win 45.45 Result: Pending
NCState
MiamiFla 09/29/12(12:05 ET)
NCState +2.5