Saturday Plays

Spock

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going out for the day so posting early:

good day yesterday.

Todays plays:

1. Orlando/Houston Over 197.5

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Also Over is 6-1 in Orlando's last 7 games. Under is 4-2 in Houstons last 6 but here I give more preference to the good shooting by Orlando displayed in the last 7-8 games. Houston does manage to put up around 95 points or so. Expecting Orlando to go around 105

Both teams will be looking to go out strong and play a fast game. Both teams like to push the ball up the floor and also have had a good rest. So both teams should be fresh to go and this game is pointing to an Over.

Sides : Not choosing side right now but favor the Magic


2. Dallas/NYC Over 210

Clippers are 3-1 Over in last 4 games
Dallas is 4-0 Over in last 4 games.

Both teams are rested. Both teams like to play an up tempo game and even though I would have liked the total to be around 207 I still think this game will be an Over.


Playing the following parlay

Boston at Seattle
Boston +5.0

Cleveland at Chicago
Cleveland -5.5 1.91

Orlando at Houston (over/under)
Over +197.5

Dallas at LA Clippers (over/under)
Over +210.5

Dallas at LA Clippers
Dallas -6.5

Cleveland at Chicago (over/under)
Over +186.5

$30 ----> 1452.38

Also think Boston moneyline is a good bet

Cheers guys

Spock
 
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Spock

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Adding the following

3. Favouring Cleveland @ -5.5

Cleveland has been playing good lately and Chicago played yesterday. Chicago also missing some of its good players.
Ron Mercer, Charles Oakley (for good or for bad he does bring some defence) .. Eddie Robinson may not play and Just Cover just posted a post on the forum in which he heard that Ron Artest may not play todays game.In contrast the Cavaliers have been playing great ball. They should be able to roll over the Bulls in this one by around 15-18 points.

Also another angle I am looking at is REVENGE. The bulls beat up on the Cavaliers 103-80 last time these two teams played. Ron Mercer had 15 points .. Oak had 7 rebounds and 4 points .. Anthony had 10 points 5 assists .. Miller who is doubtful has 11 points and 6 rebounds .. Main point : Lots of their players who scored in that game not present. Another point is that this was the first game for their present coach Cartwright. When a team which is a low par team like the Bulls have a new coach the players have new energy and wanna impress the coach ..

Look for the Cavaliers to exact revenge .. Lucas did say lets see if this energy continues for the Bulls later on in the season and I am sure he has impressed the fact that they have to beat up the Bulls in this game ..

Playing this very very big.


4. Also playing Boston moneyline.
Seattle is a beat up team right now. Boston is not that good ATS back to back but look at boston to come out strong and beat up seattle who are missing couple of key players ..

Also looking at the under for the Boston/Seattle game.

Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

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Good Day today

had Cleveland big time full game. Also took them second half.

Also other bets won .. not sure of what total win loss is for today but the account deposit is 80% higher than in the morning ..

and yea .. the balance was small in the morning .. no five figures here ..

anyways thanx guys

Cheers !!!
Spock:D
 

Dragon

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good job Spock

good job Spock

Hit your Cleveland, Orlando, and Dallas plays nicely.

WTG :D
 

Spock

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One thing to learn from yesterday for me was:

If Boston is playing back to back and they won the night before then play against them in the second half of the second game if they are playing a equally matched or better team.

Have been observing this trend for long time where they just quit in the second half. In the first half we can see if their 3 balls are dropping and who is scoring. If one of the two have a very low scoring first half due to bad shots chances are more than likely the second half is gonna be and under in the back to back situation.

As Nolan Dolla refers to it as the Tunnel Vision I should have asked myself : Why should I not take Boston and lo and behold .. a possible answer is here.

Anyways all in all was a good day and will good luck and good analysis of all the good cappers here all will be good :D

Cheers !!!
Spock
 
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