Well, 21-12-1 on posted plays this week, but had a miserable Hump Day per normal (day has killed me most of the year and didn't post yesterday, but it was a losing day as well). Coming off a nice Friday posting 3-1 and winning 2nd half Marquette and Princeton unposted. Wasn't around a computer late in the day/early evening. Hoping to get my percentage back to 67% for the week Saturday. So far, feel fairly confident in the plays listed below.
Vandy @ Kentucky - Vandy has been solid ATS on the road and I think they'll come ready to play against Kentucky. Wildcats have not been good ATS at home and just a feeling they're not as pumped for this game as Vandy who is seeking revenge. Kentucky has about 5 or 6 guys I see making NBA rosters (projected 5 drafted in top 20 of this year's draft if they all come out with Miller a 2nd round pick), but I believe Vandy has 3 looking as NBA draft pick in Jenkins, Taylor, and Ezell-sp? Typing more now, but line just dropped to 10.5 at my main book at 2 AM ET. Thinking Vandy has a chance to make this game very tight & will be surprised if Kentucky wins by double digits.
Vandy +12 (-120) for 5*
Va Tech @ Duke - Realize Va Tech may not be feeling great after another tough loss vs. Virginia, but I believe they'll come ready to play Duke as they typically play Duke very tough. Hokies are playing for pride and Seth Greenburg typically has his team playing tough late in the year. Hokies were drilling the trey to start vs. Vagina (started 7 of 11 if I remember correctly) and think they'll hit enough to make this game closer than 13 points. Small play for sure...
Va Tech +13 (-120) for 2.25*
Iowa State @ Kansas State - Huge revenge game for Kansas State as they really blew this game in Ames, but are the Wildcats really 7.5 points better than Iowa State who has been a great traveling team the entire season? Think this is a tough spot for Kansas State coming off their biggest win of the year. Kansas State also plays grinders and typically their games are close. I'm guessing this will be close as well and won't be shocked if Iowa State wins. Ejehm-sp? played brilliant last game and adds another wrinkle for Iowa State. Allen and Christopherson need to be hitting some outside shots and it would help if Babb was more than just a defensive stopper. I still expect him to give McGruder problems as Babb is an excellent defender and don't think Spradling or Samuels will have big games either (Samuels should be guarded by Royce White and Spradling by Allen). Bad spot for the Wildcats IMHO.
Iowa State +8 (-120) for 4.5*
UCLA @ Arizona - Really like the way Arizona has improved as the season has progressed and really don't like the way UCLA has looked away from home overall. The Wear twins can be total stiffs at times and UCLA's guard play leaves a lot to be desired most of the time. Thinking Zona covers this small number and the early start might help the home team. These Left coast teams are used to late games and not sure the early start helps the team playing in an unfamiliar gym...
Arizona -3 (-120) for 4.5*
North Carolina @ Virginia - Watched Virginia's game @ Va Tech and wasn't impressed. This team is short on athletes and don't feel they matchup well with UNC. Tar Heels already beat them by 18 very recently and UNC seems to be improving while UVA appears to be fading or playing more to their talent level. UNC currently has 4 of the top 17 players in nbadraft.net while other than Scott, seriously doubt Vagina has a single player make the NBA. Just a complete talent mismatch and Bennett's coaching won't be enough!
North Carolina -3 (-120) for 4.5*
Will have more tomorrow. Shocked KU is -8 vs. MU in the game of the day. I don't see MU winning this game, but not sure I see them losing by 9+ either...
Vandy @ Kentucky - Vandy has been solid ATS on the road and I think they'll come ready to play against Kentucky. Wildcats have not been good ATS at home and just a feeling they're not as pumped for this game as Vandy who is seeking revenge. Kentucky has about 5 or 6 guys I see making NBA rosters (projected 5 drafted in top 20 of this year's draft if they all come out with Miller a 2nd round pick), but I believe Vandy has 3 looking as NBA draft pick in Jenkins, Taylor, and Ezell-sp? Typing more now, but line just dropped to 10.5 at my main book at 2 AM ET. Thinking Vandy has a chance to make this game very tight & will be surprised if Kentucky wins by double digits.
Vandy +12 (-120) for 5*
Va Tech @ Duke - Realize Va Tech may not be feeling great after another tough loss vs. Virginia, but I believe they'll come ready to play Duke as they typically play Duke very tough. Hokies are playing for pride and Seth Greenburg typically has his team playing tough late in the year. Hokies were drilling the trey to start vs. Vagina (started 7 of 11 if I remember correctly) and think they'll hit enough to make this game closer than 13 points. Small play for sure...
Va Tech +13 (-120) for 2.25*
Iowa State @ Kansas State - Huge revenge game for Kansas State as they really blew this game in Ames, but are the Wildcats really 7.5 points better than Iowa State who has been a great traveling team the entire season? Think this is a tough spot for Kansas State coming off their biggest win of the year. Kansas State also plays grinders and typically their games are close. I'm guessing this will be close as well and won't be shocked if Iowa State wins. Ejehm-sp? played brilliant last game and adds another wrinkle for Iowa State. Allen and Christopherson need to be hitting some outside shots and it would help if Babb was more than just a defensive stopper. I still expect him to give McGruder problems as Babb is an excellent defender and don't think Spradling or Samuels will have big games either (Samuels should be guarded by Royce White and Spradling by Allen). Bad spot for the Wildcats IMHO.
Iowa State +8 (-120) for 4.5*
UCLA @ Arizona - Really like the way Arizona has improved as the season has progressed and really don't like the way UCLA has looked away from home overall. The Wear twins can be total stiffs at times and UCLA's guard play leaves a lot to be desired most of the time. Thinking Zona covers this small number and the early start might help the home team. These Left coast teams are used to late games and not sure the early start helps the team playing in an unfamiliar gym...
Arizona -3 (-120) for 4.5*
North Carolina @ Virginia - Watched Virginia's game @ Va Tech and wasn't impressed. This team is short on athletes and don't feel they matchup well with UNC. Tar Heels already beat them by 18 very recently and UNC seems to be improving while UVA appears to be fading or playing more to their talent level. UNC currently has 4 of the top 17 players in nbadraft.net while other than Scott, seriously doubt Vagina has a single player make the NBA. Just a complete talent mismatch and Bennett's coaching won't be enough!
North Carolina -3 (-120) for 4.5*
Will have more tomorrow. Shocked KU is -8 vs. MU in the game of the day. I don't see MU winning this game, but not sure I see them losing by 9+ either...
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