Be careful out there tonnight gang. Some very tight lines today. After fav's went 10-2 yesterday, expecting some non-covers today.
Really want to pull the trigger on Minnesota, but want a -12...no play for me at 12.5.
League: 31-3 SU (17-17...Av. win 12.1) home 10+ fav off 10+ ats win as home 5+ home fav. [Min]
League: 13-23 (Av. loss 15.4) away 10+ dog, no rest off 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog. [Mia]
5-9 (Av. loss 17.8) if opp was @ home.
2-7 (Av. loss 23.0!!) if opp won ats.
6-14 (Av. loss 17.2) if opp off any ats win.
4-10 (Av. loss 19.6) if they were fav's.
Min: 8-5 (Av. win 16.5) home -> home, 1 day 10+ fav.
Min: 5-4 (Av. win 18.2) home 10+ fav off ats win as 5+ fav.
Mia: 1-6 (Av. loss 21.4!) v. teams in that situation.
Mia: 4-10 (Av. loss 15.4) (3-10 since 2002) away 10+ dog off any ats loss.
1-5 (Av. loss 17.7) if loss was away.
Miami have av. 83.7 ppg last 9 away. Minni have topped 92 in 10 of last 10 @ home...av. 99.1.
Min won 88-79 @ Mia in November, but....Haslem had 11 rebounds (4 offensive), and Wade 19 points and 3 rebounds. BIG losses there.
Also, Minni had Madsen/Olowokandi starting, and they combined for 2 points and 1 rebound!!
Much better looking team with Spree @ SF and Hassell in the line-up.
Only problem I see is with Trent out, can Johnson/Madsen/Miller contain Odom? If he is limited then Minni should win easily.
Having said all that, I'm still a bit scared for some reason! :shrug:
Have said numerous times how bad I am at totals, but Philli @ Wash OVER 176 looks very generous. Both teams give up big numbers on no rest. AI yet to get going....Will give totals ONE LAST TRY!!
Good luck all
Really want to pull the trigger on Minnesota, but want a -12...no play for me at 12.5.
League: 31-3 SU (17-17...Av. win 12.1) home 10+ fav off 10+ ats win as home 5+ home fav. [Min]
League: 13-23 (Av. loss 15.4) away 10+ dog, no rest off 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog. [Mia]
5-9 (Av. loss 17.8) if opp was @ home.
2-7 (Av. loss 23.0!!) if opp won ats.
6-14 (Av. loss 17.2) if opp off any ats win.
4-10 (Av. loss 19.6) if they were fav's.
Min: 8-5 (Av. win 16.5) home -> home, 1 day 10+ fav.
Min: 5-4 (Av. win 18.2) home 10+ fav off ats win as 5+ fav.
Mia: 1-6 (Av. loss 21.4!) v. teams in that situation.
Mia: 4-10 (Av. loss 15.4) (3-10 since 2002) away 10+ dog off any ats loss.
1-5 (Av. loss 17.7) if loss was away.
Miami have av. 83.7 ppg last 9 away. Minni have topped 92 in 10 of last 10 @ home...av. 99.1.
Min won 88-79 @ Mia in November, but....Haslem had 11 rebounds (4 offensive), and Wade 19 points and 3 rebounds. BIG losses there.
Also, Minni had Madsen/Olowokandi starting, and they combined for 2 points and 1 rebound!!
Much better looking team with Spree @ SF and Hassell in the line-up.
Only problem I see is with Trent out, can Johnson/Madsen/Miller contain Odom? If he is limited then Minni should win easily.
Having said all that, I'm still a bit scared for some reason! :shrug:
Have said numerous times how bad I am at totals, but Philli @ Wash OVER 176 looks very generous. Both teams give up big numbers on no rest. AI yet to get going....Will give totals ONE LAST TRY!!
Good luck all
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