been getting my ass handed to me in college football the last few weeks.
battle of georgia over (54.5) 2 units. my favorite angle in 'look-ahead' games is to play the over. and when the team that's looking ahead is facing the option, even better. i know it's a rivalry game, and if anyone knows differently, please share, but i gotta believe most of the players on georgia are thinking ahead to the sec championship game. the defensive line is going to get real sick of getting cut block very early in this game.
leaning northwestern, which seems to be a very, very popular play here on mjs today, but going back to '99, the road team has covered 9 of the last 10 games in this matchup.
cincinnati/syracuse under (49.5) 2 units. is this one too easy? any feedback is welcome here. even before collaros was hurt, cincinnati was cranking out unders, and now 6 of their last 7 have gone under the total. they put up 3 points at rutgers last week, legaux's first start. gotta believe both defenses will be fired up, as it seems like everyone in the big east is still alive for that bcs berth (can someone please explain to me why the big east has an automatic bcs berth? that's pathetic.) on the other side of the ball, syracuse's success depends on being able to run the ball, and cincinnati is giving up 2.7 yards/carry, which is 3rd in the country. one more reason to think cincy will be fired up for this game - revenge for last year's shellacking the orange put on them. 49.5 concerns me though... seems a few points too high. with my luck, this will be syracuse's, what, 4th OT this year?
oklahoma (-28.5) 1 unit. full disclosure - other than bowl games, i am terrible on oklahoma games. when i play 'em, they shit the bed. when i play against 'em, they look like the best team in the history of college football. *side note - i've notice landry jones really stares down receivers. have defensive coordinators not noticed this yet?* anyway, after the events of last week, i think most people will be on iowa st, especially because ok plays ok st next. it seems way too easy to take the 4 tds. so i'm counting on a big letdown from iowa st today, and something along the lines of a 56-7 beatdown.
maryland/nc st over (50.5) 1 unit. interesting that this total is creeping up. nc st has played 5 straight unders and maryland is now led by a backup qb. i'm hoping that's smart money driving that total up.
wku (-5.5) 1 unit. the hilltoppers have now covered 8 straight games. and this is always a tough spot for a team that's been bad for a long time and they start to experience success... being favored. but i'm going to keep riding this train until it finally derails. no reason to think they won't keep pounding rainey at a defense that's giving up 4.6 yards/carry.
alabama (-21) 2 units. alabama has dropped 3 straight ATS, but i think they run up the score here. i hate saban, but he's no idiot. i'm sure he's shown lots of film of their collapse against auburn last year. i'd even be a little surprised if the 'bama defense doesn't put up a shutout.
texas tech/baylor over (81) 2 units. i'd love to research how you'd do if you went over the highest total and under the lowest total every week. maybe whem i'm retired. anyway, the over is 7-1-1 in baylor games this year. first team to 50 today wins.
san jose st (+6.5) 2 units. another one that may just be too easy. fresno is 0-3 as a home fav this year, while san jose st has suddenly become somewhat competitive, going 7-4 ATS. they are 7-1 as a dog since being crushed by stanford to open the season.
battle of georgia over (54.5) 2 units. my favorite angle in 'look-ahead' games is to play the over. and when the team that's looking ahead is facing the option, even better. i know it's a rivalry game, and if anyone knows differently, please share, but i gotta believe most of the players on georgia are thinking ahead to the sec championship game. the defensive line is going to get real sick of getting cut block very early in this game.
leaning northwestern, which seems to be a very, very popular play here on mjs today, but going back to '99, the road team has covered 9 of the last 10 games in this matchup.
cincinnati/syracuse under (49.5) 2 units. is this one too easy? any feedback is welcome here. even before collaros was hurt, cincinnati was cranking out unders, and now 6 of their last 7 have gone under the total. they put up 3 points at rutgers last week, legaux's first start. gotta believe both defenses will be fired up, as it seems like everyone in the big east is still alive for that bcs berth (can someone please explain to me why the big east has an automatic bcs berth? that's pathetic.) on the other side of the ball, syracuse's success depends on being able to run the ball, and cincinnati is giving up 2.7 yards/carry, which is 3rd in the country. one more reason to think cincy will be fired up for this game - revenge for last year's shellacking the orange put on them. 49.5 concerns me though... seems a few points too high. with my luck, this will be syracuse's, what, 4th OT this year?
oklahoma (-28.5) 1 unit. full disclosure - other than bowl games, i am terrible on oklahoma games. when i play 'em, they shit the bed. when i play against 'em, they look like the best team in the history of college football. *side note - i've notice landry jones really stares down receivers. have defensive coordinators not noticed this yet?* anyway, after the events of last week, i think most people will be on iowa st, especially because ok plays ok st next. it seems way too easy to take the 4 tds. so i'm counting on a big letdown from iowa st today, and something along the lines of a 56-7 beatdown.
maryland/nc st over (50.5) 1 unit. interesting that this total is creeping up. nc st has played 5 straight unders and maryland is now led by a backup qb. i'm hoping that's smart money driving that total up.
wku (-5.5) 1 unit. the hilltoppers have now covered 8 straight games. and this is always a tough spot for a team that's been bad for a long time and they start to experience success... being favored. but i'm going to keep riding this train until it finally derails. no reason to think they won't keep pounding rainey at a defense that's giving up 4.6 yards/carry.
alabama (-21) 2 units. alabama has dropped 3 straight ATS, but i think they run up the score here. i hate saban, but he's no idiot. i'm sure he's shown lots of film of their collapse against auburn last year. i'd even be a little surprised if the 'bama defense doesn't put up a shutout.
texas tech/baylor over (81) 2 units. i'd love to research how you'd do if you went over the highest total and under the lowest total every week. maybe whem i'm retired. anyway, the over is 7-1-1 in baylor games this year. first team to 50 today wins.
san jose st (+6.5) 2 units. another one that may just be too easy. fresno is 0-3 as a home fav this year, while san jose st has suddenly become somewhat competitive, going 7-4 ATS. they are 7-1 as a dog since being crushed by stanford to open the season.
