saturday

[Innavation]

ncaa 46-39
nba 7-7
firsthalf 6-10
2nd half 17-9
overall 53-46


another full day of watching college hoops. Nothing i like more than the month of march. well recap of the day goes like this.. first haves were bad as they went 1-3--but i played each in the 2nd half and they all won but california..so i recouped most of the first half losses..sides were down as i sided with notre dame..sort of regret that only because many people i respect was on the cards, and thats usually a no play for me, but i was feeling good and felt i had things right... i made little money today as the plays i liked the most did well. ohio st--michigan 2nd half--indiana hurt me as all 3 were the same, but i did lay off indiana in 2nd half..
Bright spot was 2ndhalves--where i went 6an 1 for the day..only bad play i lucked out on was cuse..i was unsure to play them, pulled the trigger late,got really lucky with that cover. Definetly had the wrong side there. I have watched a lot of basketball this week, and i feel it will pay off tommorrow and sunday. I dont like a ton, but feel confident in these plays...

one play for now---mich st -4----------flat out, mich st is better, and they spent little energy yesterday.. like the match-ups---side note--the gym they are playing in has the softest rims i have ever seen, weird roles been going in past 2 days...maybe why all 4 games went over today...give me izzo and the more talented team..love the edge in front-court mich st has---

1 other play i am for sure on, waiting on the lines for duke/flordia st game---ohio st/michigan

lean--umass

 

[Innavation]

adding flordia st +3--------think this team has all the right pieces...think they win, like the points just in case.

ohio st first half-4------if they are tied will or up only 1 or 2 will play them again 2nd half, but michigan has short rotation, and ohio st has revenge on mind..next up beat blue today...


leans----colorado, mizzou (not sure yet)

 

[Innavation]

added thoughts and play--

ohio st imo is one of the best teams in country, and i feel the ass kickings they took at home vrs wisky and mich st really woke the buckeyes up.. they realized their talent alone was not going to win ball games vrs good teams..since then their defense of effort has been turned up, with ball pressure and great rebounding..craft does excellent job getting back on defense and stopping ball elimintating fast break points.. in this match up today i feel ohio st has big edge with deeper team and motivation.. they know burke is top point guard in county,and they will account for him at all times. i think the biggest edge and will be huge difference in game will be rebounding, we are bigger and deeper..minnesota hurt michigan bad on the glass and i expect much of the same today.. really believe we are catching good value with michigan in a back to back situation with shorter rotation, not only that the buckeyes i feel for once in the year are undervalued and we are getting good lines in backing them...really like my plays today--felt iit was a sweep--gurrantee 2 of 3..

next flordia st----i really feel that they might be better than duke, i do..think they have edge in the front-court--and think the guard play is pretty even...flordia st is a tough team,and duke has alot of determination..However i feel grabbing the points here is the way to go...i see this game being nip and tuck the whole way, if fsu can defend the 3 fairly well...duke shoots under 35 per from 3 fsu wins ----and i think they will...

adding colorado +3.5----interesting match-up here, i have been saying that colorado has alot of talent on that team, and they just need to take care of the ball. but this team does not want to lose, they are playing as hard as i have seen all year.. Getting 2nd chance oppurtunites, loose balls...relying on their atheltic abilty, well arizona i feel can match that intensity and athletic ablility, so will be interesting...feel it will be grind out low scoring game...Love both coaches here, but really feel colorado is playing at a high level,and their confidence is thru the roof..and they made some big time shots yesterday, step back 3's with defenders..and they simply would not be denied, i look for more of the same today...really feel they win, but 3.5 seems like a no brainer....

 

[Innavation]

was so close to playing mizzou----but thunder on baylor so big, keeping me off...big ten is my best,and big 12 is the least knowledge i have as far as games watched...but imo mizzou is a number 1 seed in the tournament, they play so hard and shoot the 3 so well. have multiple shooters. really like this teams will to win, they just want it more than the other team. baylor supertalented team that was going through the motions when they were undefeated thinking they were better than they were.. they too needed a few but whoopins to wake up and realize they have to bring intensity and defense to beat great teams...i will watching this first half and hopefully bayor is leading at half, cause i will be all over mizzou 2nd half--see the first half being really close 1,2,3 lead either way, but in the end feel mizzou will win!!! so hopefully good half time score presenting value..see at the half:0003

 

[Innavation]

colorado 2nd half under---i thought this would be a grind it out game, yes colorado tries to run off misses, however, both teams playing tenacious defense, and both offenses making tough shots..think we see more of same with the defense and game being tight late, alot of walk it ups and set up the offense, with both teams valuing basketball and trying to get good look..just hope no ot and we should cash this



also nba--ok.city first half -9.5

 

[Innavation]

thoughts on mizzou half -time---baylor is killing them on the glass,but in a game like this free-throws so important, give the major edge to mizzou...and 3point shot, just dont think baylor can stay within the number...passed on the game in hopes for mizzou losing at half, baylor made runs, but mizzou getting great looks at basket...lean would be mizzou and over--but hate losing 2.5 points off the game line at 4---and it opened at 3--so no value sits there with a capable baylor team..i do think the points will rack up especially late if baylor finds themselfs down 6-9 which i think is more likely...anyways just my 2 cents..not making any plays here--as i will root for the hometeam madjack, we need a baylor cover for the boys!!