Saturday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
temple (+3.5) 3 units. classic sandwich game for the bulls, between florida st and louisville. temple, coming off a bye, making their big east debut. lean to the under, too, but not ready to pull the trigger just yet.

ku/kst under (54) 2 units. just feels like it's begging for over money, doesn't it? the last 2 matchups, k st put up 59 by themselves. but at least the last 4 matchups between these two teams in manhattan went under the total.

nc (-5.5) 2 units. wow, this line is climbing. logan thomas is doing a terrible job taking care of the ball on the road this year. 2 TDs vs 5 INTs.

florida ML 2 units to win 2.4. just look at the difference in schedules for these two teams. UF has already played at tennessee and at texas a&m. not teams that will compete for the NC, but solid teams. lsu has played north texas, washington, idaho, auburn, and towson. washington is suddenly very overrated because of a win over a vastly overrated stanford team, and auburn is fairly mediocre. and lsu really struggled at auburn. i'm not saying florida is awesome, but they are MUCH better than anyone lsu has played this season.

purdue (+3) 2 units. denard robinson away from home this year - 48% for 1 TD and 6 INTs. i'll take a fg.

vanderbilt (+7) 1 unit. mizzou looking ahead to alabama next week.

texas (-7.5) 3 units. this line going over 7 tells me all i need to know.

georgia (+1.5) 2 units. time to start separating the wheat from the chaff, as they say. georgia's defense needs to answer the bell tonight, because they have NOT been good this year. i think they step up. probably playing the under, too.

nd (-14) 2 units. not even a true home game for the irish, but the line got up to 14. i'm trusting that kelly is smart enough to get rees in the game fairly quickly. at least he gives the irish some semblance of a passing game. the hurricanes are giving up 9.7 yards per pass attempt, which is horrible. if kelly stubbornly sticks with golson too long, miami will stay close in this game.

UTEP (-2.5) 1 unit. utep has covered 5 straight against smu. gilbert's career numbers between texas and smu: 17 tds and 32 INTs. if you don't get good qb play in june jones' system, you're not going to win.
 
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