Saturday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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i've been so focused on horses this week, haven't had much time to look at football. but here goes.

kentucky (+6.5) 1 unit. this vandy team shouldn't be laying points on the road in conference to anybody. they had lost 12 straight conference road games before winning at missouri, and i still don't count missouri as part of the sec.

minnesota (+10.5) 1 unit. i really like this kid nelson at qb for minnesota. i might even take a shot on the money line. only thing holding me back is the gophers' porous run defense, giving up 5 yards/carry. robinson might not have to throw a pass.

texas a&m/miss st over (60) 1 unit. a few factors at work here, and both involve alabama. gotta believe there's a huge letdown for miss st after the beating they took last week. and a&m just may be looking ahead to their battle with the tide next week.

buffalo (-3) 2 units. let me get this straight. a team that is 0-4 in conference is laying 3 points to a team that's 3-1. and UB's qb is doubtful? mother fuckers are making me play UB for the 2nd week in a row. thank god this one isn't on tv here, so i won't have to actually watch any of it.

tulsa money line 1 unit to win 3. why not? tulsa has won 7 straight games. after a brief resurgance, when it looked like arkansas may salvage their season, they lost at home to mississippi. hard to imagine the hogs are fired up to beat tulsa today.

indiana (-2) 2 units. the hoosiers have covered 4 straight games and, has been discussed here multiple times, this is the worst iowa team we've seen in a while.

texas tech (-6.5) 2 units. almost too easy, that that bothers me. the difference here will be defense. tech is playing it this year; texas is not.

duke (+12.5) 2 units. duke still struggles with very physical teams, but clemson won't outmuscle them. duke has covered 8 straight home games, and they are 5-0 SU at home this year.

uconn (+8) 2 units. surprisingly enough, paul pasqualoni may not have been the best choice for uconn. however, they are getting 8 points from a team that has lost 6 straight games, including the last 2 by a total of 3 points. and USF's next game is against miami.

uab (+3) 2 units. holy shit, what happened to southern miss? talk about a rapid decline. as good as they've been recently, uab has still won 3 straight games against the golden eagles. i think they'll make it 4 today.

alabama (-8) 1 unit. when's the last time lsu was getting 8 points at home? but i just don't see lsu scoring in this game, unless it's from the defense or special teams. alabama may only need 3 fgs to cover this.

ucla (-3.5) 2 units. classic letdown game for arizona. the wildcats are 0-2 on the road this year (that's right, this is only their 3rd road game). ucla gets it done on the ground tonight.
 

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,412
2,001
113
Upstate NY
almost forgot

almost forgot

arizona st (+3.5) 2 units. i think last week was just the start of the beavers' late season collapse.
 
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