Saturday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
boston college (+6) 1 unit. i'm expecting a big letdown from unc after narrowly missing a big win against Miami.

bc/unc over (59.5) 2 units. I think that letdown will manifest itself primarily on defense. also, bc is coming off their 2nd bye of the season. off their last bye, they scored 34 points against fsu.

texas tech (ML) 1 unit to win 1.9. i'm not completely sold on this texas tech team, since they haven't beaten a good team yet. if their run defense is for real (allowing 3.3 yds/carry, 20th in the country), then they can definitely win this game today. and it's hard to believe ok could be looking past a 7-0 texas tech team, but their next game is a Thursday night game at Baylor.

tt/ok under (59) 2 units. here's the national ranking in passing yards/game of tech's opponents - 96th, 115th, 41st, 110th, 55th, 106th. so they haven't exactly been lighting up tough pass defenses. Oklahoma is giving up 150 passing yards/game, #1 in the country.

florida st (-33.5) 1 unit. this line is crazy, right? everybody knows that nc st always plays fsu tough. nc st has covered 7 of the last 8 against fsu, including 4 outright wins. fsu is coming off that huge win at Clemson and may be looking ahead to Miami. just a classic trap game. it's seems so obvious to take nc st that I have to lay the points. and hope I don't choke on all that chalk.

Kansas st (-12.5) 2 units. this line keeps going up, and it doesn't make any sense. k st is a shell of the team it's been the last couple years and wvu has played some good teams pretty tough. there's no reason for this line to be higher than 7.

south Carolina (+3) 2 units. ok, if Missouri wins this game, i'll finally be a believer.

tcu (-2.5) 2 units. after their big win over ok, texas had an extra week to sit back and relax, thinking about how great they are once again. I, for one, think they are going to fall right back into mediocrity. this game shouldn't even be close.

FAU (+23.5) 2 units. talk about your classic trap game. auburn coming off that huge win... no way are they prepared to play this game today.

Washington (-29.5) 2 units. wow, you have to go back to 10/13 last year to find the last game when cal covered the spread. how the hell am I just realizing this now?
 
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