Rutgers (-1.5) 1 unit. in case you are unfamiliar with how weak Cincinnati's schedule has been, this is the first time all year that they are an underdog. rutgers' 3 losses this year are to fresno, Houston, and Louisville. both teams could be looking past this game - Cincinnati finishes the year with Houston and Louisville and Rutgers plays UCF on Thursday - but I think the game means more to Rutgers.
Indiana/Wisconsin over (68) 2 units. I've been riding this gravy train most of the year. Indiana games over the total. 9 out of 10 so far. Indiana has proven they can score on anyone (over their last 5 games, Michigan st has given up a total of 51 points. 28 of those were from Indiana). and Wisconsin could go over this total themselves. the last 3 years against Indiana, they've scored a total of 204 points. i'll do the math for you - they are averaging 68 per game their last 3 against the hoosiers.
wvu/Kansas under (47) 2 units. "winds 25-30 mph". that's all I needed to see.
Kentucky (+12) 2 units. very difficult to play the wildcats, as bad as they are. but talk about a perfect trap game. vandy coming off the huge win at florida. they play in-state rival Tennessee next week. and they beat Kentucky 40-0 last year. we're going to have a mediocre 12-point favorite who will be completely unfocused on this game. oh, and if you like the "double-digit rushing dog" angle, uk averages 4.4 yards/carry. vandy averages 3.7.
unc (pk) 1 unit. letdown for the panthers.
UConn (+14.5) 1 unit. ugh. please. somebody talk me off this one. I can offer no rational explanation for UConn staying within this number. but the line seems to be BEGGING for smu money. only thing I can figure - gilbert gets back to being gilbert, and throws 4 or 5 INTs.
Michigan (+3) 1 unit. as bad as Michigan has been (especially on the road), I have to take 3 points from a team that's lost 5 games in a row.
duke (+3.5) 2 units. seems like every year I finally get to the point where I trust duke enough to bet on them against a decent team, and they promptly lose that game every year. so here we go again. Miami is reeling after the beatdown from fsu. overall they have dropped 4 straight ATS. duke, on the other hand, is extremely confident, having won 5 straight and covering the last 4. what really scares me though is that in the last 2 games, boone has thrown for 0 TDs and 7 (yes, 7) INTs. he HAS to be better than that today for duke to have a chance.
k st (-11) 1 unit. this one is almost too easy. k st is on an absolute roll, covering 5 straight and blowing out their last 3 opponents. tcu has dropped 5 straight ATS, with their only straight up wins over Kansas and iowa st. very windy in manhattan, which should favor the team that can run the ball (k st).
ok st (-3) 2 units. is this one just too easy? and could ok st actually be looking past the longhorns to their game next week against Baylor? I doubt the cowboys will be overconfident, and I think they'll take care of business.
cal (+2.5) 2 units. as bad as the bears are, I like the buffaloes to find a way to lose. have to take the points in this one.
Louisville (-17) 2 units. i'm seeing too much love for Houston. I expect a dominant performance from Louisville, especially the defense.
houston/Louisville under (57.5) 3 units.
usc (+3.5) 2 units. may bump this up to 3 units. the key to Stanford's success is that they outmuscle their opponents. it didn't happen against Utah and it won't happen against this front 7 for usc. I expect another "shocker" in the pac 12.
Indiana/Wisconsin over (68) 2 units. I've been riding this gravy train most of the year. Indiana games over the total. 9 out of 10 so far. Indiana has proven they can score on anyone (over their last 5 games, Michigan st has given up a total of 51 points. 28 of those were from Indiana). and Wisconsin could go over this total themselves. the last 3 years against Indiana, they've scored a total of 204 points. i'll do the math for you - they are averaging 68 per game their last 3 against the hoosiers.
wvu/Kansas under (47) 2 units. "winds 25-30 mph". that's all I needed to see.
Kentucky (+12) 2 units. very difficult to play the wildcats, as bad as they are. but talk about a perfect trap game. vandy coming off the huge win at florida. they play in-state rival Tennessee next week. and they beat Kentucky 40-0 last year. we're going to have a mediocre 12-point favorite who will be completely unfocused on this game. oh, and if you like the "double-digit rushing dog" angle, uk averages 4.4 yards/carry. vandy averages 3.7.
unc (pk) 1 unit. letdown for the panthers.
UConn (+14.5) 1 unit. ugh. please. somebody talk me off this one. I can offer no rational explanation for UConn staying within this number. but the line seems to be BEGGING for smu money. only thing I can figure - gilbert gets back to being gilbert, and throws 4 or 5 INTs.
Michigan (+3) 1 unit. as bad as Michigan has been (especially on the road), I have to take 3 points from a team that's lost 5 games in a row.
duke (+3.5) 2 units. seems like every year I finally get to the point where I trust duke enough to bet on them against a decent team, and they promptly lose that game every year. so here we go again. Miami is reeling after the beatdown from fsu. overall they have dropped 4 straight ATS. duke, on the other hand, is extremely confident, having won 5 straight and covering the last 4. what really scares me though is that in the last 2 games, boone has thrown for 0 TDs and 7 (yes, 7) INTs. he HAS to be better than that today for duke to have a chance.
k st (-11) 1 unit. this one is almost too easy. k st is on an absolute roll, covering 5 straight and blowing out their last 3 opponents. tcu has dropped 5 straight ATS, with their only straight up wins over Kansas and iowa st. very windy in manhattan, which should favor the team that can run the ball (k st).
ok st (-3) 2 units. is this one just too easy? and could ok st actually be looking past the longhorns to their game next week against Baylor? I doubt the cowboys will be overconfident, and I think they'll take care of business.
cal (+2.5) 2 units. as bad as the bears are, I like the buffaloes to find a way to lose. have to take the points in this one.
Louisville (-17) 2 units. i'm seeing too much love for Houston. I expect a dominant performance from Louisville, especially the defense.
houston/Louisville under (57.5) 3 units.
usc (+3.5) 2 units. may bump this up to 3 units. the key to Stanford's success is that they outmuscle their opponents. it didn't happen against Utah and it won't happen against this front 7 for usc. I expect another "shocker" in the pac 12.
