well, there's no way I'm having back-to-back perfect days, so tread lightly on these.
UConn (+2.5) 2 units. starting right off the bat with the huskies. ugh. but the fact that the line has crossed 3 tells me the huskies are very live today. after a solid start to the season, Rutgers really struggled, going 0-4 against the top 4 teams in the conference. they have also dropped 4 straight ATS after the tough loss at Louisville. the knights may be looking ahead to next week's trip to sunny southern florida. UConn has to be feeling good after getting their first win of the year with a huge second half comeback. I think they'll ride that momentum and get a win today.
Minnesota (+17) 2 units. great situational spot for the gophers. the Spartans are cruising into next week's big 10/12 championship game against ohio st. I don't know how focused they will be for this game today. Minnesota has covered 3 straight trips to east lansing.
florida/florida st under (45) 3 units. I hate this phrase, but I'm going to use it anyway.... this is Florida's bowl game. there's still a ton of talent on the defensive side of the ball for the gators, and I have to believe they will show up today. I just hope when they're down 24-0 early in the 3rd quarter they keep playing hard. obviously the gators will be lucky to hit double digits in points, so I'm counting on their d to play hard and hold the noles under 35. this is by far the best defense florida state has seen all year. I just need them to play like it.
unc (-4.5) 3 units. this line is begging for duke money. the blue devils have won 7 straight and jumped into the rankings. they even survived their trap game last week against wake. so how the hell is unc favored by more than a fg? well, after that tough loss against Miami, the heels have really turned things around. they've won 5 straight since that game and, including that game, have covered 6 straight. that shows a lot of character right there, as they easily could have folded after blowing that game against the hurricanes in prime time. I think the heels will be highly focused on knocking the devils down a peg, as duke may already be peeking ahead to the noles.
wake forest (+15) 1 unit. vandy's last 3 games... huge win at florida, sleepwalk through a home game against Kentucky that they never should have covered, followed by another big win at Tennessee. how focused are they going to be to face a team they crushed 55-21 last year?
wf/vandy over (43) 1 unit. I don't expect an intense defensive effort from either team. I just hope wake can get out of their own way enough to put up a few points.
UTSA (-15.5) 1 unit. huge dropoff this year for the bulldogs. with a win and a Tulane win over rice, the roadrunners will play in the conference championship game. not bad for a team in its 3rd year of existence. they should be pretty fired up today.
Alabama (-10.5) 1 unit. I think the tide will keep rolling. they'll do what they do - establish the running game and McCarron will make the plays he has to make when the running game gets bogged down. on defense, they'll shut down the run. if marshall can make enough plays to keeps auburn in the game without much of a running game, I will tip my cap to him.
iron bowl under (55.5) 1 unit. both defenses will be fired up. I don't expect either offense to get in much of a rhythm early.
Illinois (+3.5) 2 units. as bad as Illinois is, I have to take points from a team that's lost 7 straight games and covered 1 of their last 9. maybe Scheelhaase will get his shit together for his last game and won't turn the ball over 5 times today. as good as pat fitzgerald is, I don't see the wildcats being too fired up for this game.
Indiana (-20) 1 unit. I think the hoosiers will get revenge for the pasting they took at purdue last year. Indiana has proven they can put up a lot of points against mediocre defenses and purdue hasn't show any signs all year that they'll be able to keep up.
Idaho (+3) 1 unit. at least the vandals have a win over a D1 team this year.
UConn (+2.5) 2 units. starting right off the bat with the huskies. ugh. but the fact that the line has crossed 3 tells me the huskies are very live today. after a solid start to the season, Rutgers really struggled, going 0-4 against the top 4 teams in the conference. they have also dropped 4 straight ATS after the tough loss at Louisville. the knights may be looking ahead to next week's trip to sunny southern florida. UConn has to be feeling good after getting their first win of the year with a huge second half comeback. I think they'll ride that momentum and get a win today.
Minnesota (+17) 2 units. great situational spot for the gophers. the Spartans are cruising into next week's big 10/12 championship game against ohio st. I don't know how focused they will be for this game today. Minnesota has covered 3 straight trips to east lansing.
florida/florida st under (45) 3 units. I hate this phrase, but I'm going to use it anyway.... this is Florida's bowl game. there's still a ton of talent on the defensive side of the ball for the gators, and I have to believe they will show up today. I just hope when they're down 24-0 early in the 3rd quarter they keep playing hard. obviously the gators will be lucky to hit double digits in points, so I'm counting on their d to play hard and hold the noles under 35. this is by far the best defense florida state has seen all year. I just need them to play like it.
unc (-4.5) 3 units. this line is begging for duke money. the blue devils have won 7 straight and jumped into the rankings. they even survived their trap game last week against wake. so how the hell is unc favored by more than a fg? well, after that tough loss against Miami, the heels have really turned things around. they've won 5 straight since that game and, including that game, have covered 6 straight. that shows a lot of character right there, as they easily could have folded after blowing that game against the hurricanes in prime time. I think the heels will be highly focused on knocking the devils down a peg, as duke may already be peeking ahead to the noles.
wake forest (+15) 1 unit. vandy's last 3 games... huge win at florida, sleepwalk through a home game against Kentucky that they never should have covered, followed by another big win at Tennessee. how focused are they going to be to face a team they crushed 55-21 last year?
wf/vandy over (43) 1 unit. I don't expect an intense defensive effort from either team. I just hope wake can get out of their own way enough to put up a few points.
UTSA (-15.5) 1 unit. huge dropoff this year for the bulldogs. with a win and a Tulane win over rice, the roadrunners will play in the conference championship game. not bad for a team in its 3rd year of existence. they should be pretty fired up today.
Alabama (-10.5) 1 unit. I think the tide will keep rolling. they'll do what they do - establish the running game and McCarron will make the plays he has to make when the running game gets bogged down. on defense, they'll shut down the run. if marshall can make enough plays to keeps auburn in the game without much of a running game, I will tip my cap to him.
iron bowl under (55.5) 1 unit. both defenses will be fired up. I don't expect either offense to get in much of a rhythm early.
Illinois (+3.5) 2 units. as bad as Illinois is, I have to take points from a team that's lost 7 straight games and covered 1 of their last 9. maybe Scheelhaase will get his shit together for his last game and won't turn the ball over 5 times today. as good as pat fitzgerald is, I don't see the wildcats being too fired up for this game.
Indiana (-20) 1 unit. I think the hoosiers will get revenge for the pasting they took at purdue last year. Indiana has proven they can put up a lot of points against mediocre defenses and purdue hasn't show any signs all year that they'll be able to keep up.
Idaho (+3) 1 unit. at least the vandals have a win over a D1 team this year.
