Saturday

Smitty

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temple (+12) 3 units. psu has beaten 2 teams this year by more than 6 points - umass and akron. temple is a lot better than umass and akron. a small ML play ain't a bad idea either. first team to 10 wins this game.

temple/psu under (40) 2 units.

army/wku over (70) 3 units. first team to 50 wins.

Georgia tech (ML) 2 units to win 2.4. Clemson has given up 31 points to GT each of the last 3 years. they've gotten away with it the last 2 years because they put up a ton of points on offense. but their offense is, shall we say, not as productive as it was in those years. I think this year's matchup is going to be similar to their 2011 game, which was the last time these two teams played in Atlanta. gt was a 3.5 point dog that day, and they won 31-17.

Virginia tech (ML) 2 units to win 2.9. did boone break his leg? only reason I can think for this line drop this morning. somebody is hammering vt like they already know the outcome of the game. ok, only other thing that makes sense is that maybe the dookies are looking ahead to their Thursday night game against unc.

Utah (+9) 2 units
Utah (ML) 1 unit to win 2.8. this game is all about whether or not Utah can refocus after what happened last week. if they can, and that's a huge if, they will win this game. they may be even more physical than Stanford is and I love their chances to grind out a nice win. all that said, if they can't forget about last week, then Stanford may take out their frustrations from their upset loss at Utah last year.

Miami (ML) 3 units to win 3.6. duke johnson, duke johnson, duke johnson.

Georgia southern (ML) 3 units to win 3.9. really like the eagles today. they're playing well, having won 7 straight. and they only lost by 4 at Georgia tech, so they've already seen an option team this year. that's a huge advantage.

northwestern (+17.5) 2 units. well, I've been saying since the psu game that northwestern's unionized football players agreed to play hard in 2 road games this season... psu and nd. and here we are. should pretty much be a repeat of the last time these teams met.... a 17-15 nw win at south bend. ok, so that was in 1995, when some of these players weren't even born. *I'm going to quietly sob for a few minutes.*

Alabama (-10) 3 units. dammit, why didn't I grab this at 7? well, hopefully it won't matter. I should only need 11 points for the tide to cover this game, as they're going to shut down Mississippi st. so check this out... compare the stats for the 2 starting qbs in this game.

151 of 245 for 2243 yards, 17 TDs, 3 INTs

146 of 239 for 2231 yards, 18 TDs, 7 INTs

guess which one is a leading candidate for the Heisman and which one is a first-year starter?

ok, I won't leave you hanging. the first set of stats belongs to blake sims.

also, a quick look at the defenses... Alabama is giving up 275 yards/game. miss st gives up 427.
 

Smitty

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thanks, Hudson. gl to you, too.

just be careful with the utes. they've had 2 really tough losses the last 2 weeks. first the OT loss at az st when Phillips, who's normally very reliable, missed about a 37-yard fg. then they should have been up 14-0 over Oregon last week, and we all know what happened there. obviously I'm counting on them to bounce back again, but last week may have been the dagger to the heart of that team.
 

Smitty

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alright, the tide have been as dominant as I expected, and I haven't seen any reason to expect anything different in the 2nd half.

Alabama (-3) 2.6 to win 2

*full disclosure... I'm slightly intoxicated. :toast:
 
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