Saturday

Smitty

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sorry about the unc play thursday. i really thought larry fedora had been fired. :facepalm:

big surprise... i'm on some doggies.

temple (+6.5) 2 units
temple (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. last year's solid temple defense returns all 11 starters. and they're going to be ready to avenge their loss to the nittany lions. that 30-13 game was actually a lot closer than it appears. they were tied at 6 midway through the 3rd when the wheels fell off for the owls. they gave up back-to-back runs of 37 & 38 yards for a TD and 2 plays later, a pj walker pass was picked and returned to the temple 8. 1 play later, another TD made it 20-6. the owls came right back with a 75-yard td, and then their d stepped up, holding psu to a 3-and-out and a 5-and-out. but then walker, who threw about 16 INTs that day, threw another one that was returned for a TD. that effectively ended the game. to recap, let's look at psu's scoring "drives"...

12 plays, 64 yards (fg)
9 plays, 55 yards to set up a 50-yard fg at the end of the 1st half
2 plays, 75 yards (td)
1 play, 8 yards (td)
6 plays, 20 yards (fg)

so psu really only had 2 long scoring drives the entire game, and those both ended in fgs. the others, back-to-back long runs and the 2 set up by turnovers, were aberrations. the psu offense did very little in that game. IF pj walker can limit the to's (he actually threw 4 INTs that game), this is a very, very winnable game for temple.

temple/psu under (44) 2 units. while i obviously don't expect psu to do much offensively, it's hard to expect much offense from temple either. first team to 17 wins.

fau (+4) 2 units
fau (ML) 1 unit to win 1.6. more owls? this is getting weird. should i also play rice, laying 30 to wagner? anyway, fau was 6-1 ATS as a dog last year, and 19-6 the last 3 years. and they beat tulsa 50-21 last year.

byu (+6) 2 units
byu (ML) 1 unit to win 1.8. mike riley's a good coach, but tommy armstrong running a pro-style offense? yeah, the 'huskers may struggle a little offensively.
 

boobietrap2

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Welcome back Smitty!!! I always look for your thoughts.
Best of Luck this season with college and pro plays.
 

Smitty

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thank you both.

hopefully i can get off to a great start like i did last year.

go owls!
 

Smitty

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GL this year smitty

like the temple play think im bout to take the FAU play myself:toast:

thank you, sir. i was getting nervous, but i really like how fau finished the half. hopefully they can bring that momentum into the 2nd.
 

Smitty

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GL this year neighbor! How about this weather? Grabbed a fish fry at Harbor House the other day and good as always!

hey, morris, how's it going? yeah, i'm sick of the heat and especially the humidity. i'm ready for fall.

i just saw the other day that you've been posting in the at the track forum. wish i saw that earlier in the meet. i could have given you all the horses i've been betting so you'd know who you could throw out.
 

Morris

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hey, morris, how's it going? yeah, i'm sick of the heat and especially the humidity. i'm ready for fall.

i just saw the other day that you've been posting in the at the track forum. wish i saw that earlier in the meet. i could have given you all the horses i've been betting so you'd know who you could throw out.

Yeah been playing a few. Sister rents to a groom for Mott but he hasn't come thru with anything. Need a get away horse this year for sure!
 

Smitty

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Yeah been playing a few. Sister rents to a groom for Mott but he hasn't come thru with anything. Need a get away horse this year for sure!

one thing i've learned over the years about the "inside scoop".... they have no idea how fast the other horses are. sure, it's nice to know if a horse is in good shape, but there could be 3 other faster horses in the same race. that said, when i get one of those tips, i still usually throw a few bucks on it. 'cause i just can't help myself. :facepalm:

i'm ready for belmont!
 

Smitty

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Nice job today, Smitty!! :)

GL this season!

:0074

thanks, bill. gl to you, too. i think i just used up all my luck for the season when byu hit that hail mary. i definitely needed just a bit more with fau. just horrible play calling once they got inside the 5 in OT. at least they still got the cover.
 
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