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Smitty

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memphis (+16) 2 units
memphis (ML) 1 unit to win 5.8. obviously it's going to be tough for the tigers to repeat their big win from last year. this is their first road game of 2016. they've beaten up on 3 bad football teams. but this is a huge game every year for memphis, and they'll have confidence from last year's win. even though ole miss will be looking for revenge, they are coming off games against alabama and georgia, and they play arkansas next. i think memphis can hang around, turn over kelly a couple times, and maybe have a shot to win in the 4th quarter.

northwestern (+12.5) 4 units
northwestern (ML) 2 units to win 7.4. i've been looking at this game all week. i can't decide if it's a generous line, or a huge trap. obviously i'm betting it's a generous line. iowa is only 1-3 ATS. they are really struggling offensively. they only scored 14 at rutgers last week. you know who else put up 14 at rutgers this year? the howard bison. and the loss of vandeberg is not going to help. northwestern can hang in this game all the way.

kansas st (ML) 4 units to win 5. bill snyder vs dana holgorsen. they have matched up the last 4 years. k st has won all 4. the scores: 55-14, 35-12, 26-20, 24-23. sure, wvu is getting closer. but, man, k st was bad last year. and, to me, the most important part of those scores... wvu is averaging 17 points/game against bill snyder. k st gets another win in morgantown.

ball st (-4) 2 units. my god, what happened to northern ill? they have dropped off a cliff this year, even before hare got hurt. the cardinals would like nothing better than to kick the huskies while they're down, and reclaim the bronze stalk trophy. yup, that's right. the winner of this game gets the coveted bronze stalk trophy. you are welcome for that useless bit of knowledge.

emu (ML) 3 units to win 3.3. holy shit, don't look now but eastern michigan is 3-1. and bowling green has been TERRIBLE under the new coach.

ohio (-3) 2 units. wow, a lot of MACtion this week. i feel like i play one road fav every week, and every week i tell myself i will never do that again. but here's the situation today. for the last 3 years, miami ohio has played their hearts out against cincinnati. and every time they have fallen just short as double digit dogs. and the following week, they lay an egg. they are 0-3 ATS after cincinnati. let's make it 0-4.

michigan (-10.5) 3 units. i am simply not sold on the badgers. and this line tells me vegas agrees. to me, jim harbaugh against paul chryst is a complete mismatch. the wolverines are for real.

indiana (+6) 3 units.
indiana (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. let me get this straight... indiana lost by 5 last week to wake forest, and they're only a 6-pt dog to michigan st? hmmmm.... this may be a long season for sparty. that win at nd doesn't look nearly as impressive now.
 

Smitty

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thanks, ej. if northwestern can hang on, that will be huge.

i think it's time for a beer.
 

Smitty

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Sparty/ Hoosier will be a public blood bath.

i certainly hope you are right, sir. i loved indiana early in the week. and the line drop told me all i needed to know. 'cause it sure wasn't the guys betting $20/game who drove that line down.
 

ejthree

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thanks, ej. if northwestern can hang on, that will be huge.

i think it's time for a beer.

Pop the top brother and hope it's ice cold cause you seem a little hot to me....
 

Smitty

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hey, morris, how are you doing?

i hope you had a better season at saratoga than i did.
 
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