nw/purdue over (58) 3 units. purdue is giving up 44 points/game in big ten play. and they're even worse at home. in two conference home games, they've allowed 49 and 62 to iowa and penn state. on the other side of the ball, northwestern has been beaten up the last 2 games by ohio st and wisconsin. i have a feeling purdue is going to be able to put up some points on a tired defense. i think the boilermakers are a live dog in this game, and i may place a small wager on the side, but i really like this total.
ucf (-10.5) 2 units. in cincinnati's 2 conference road games, they lost at uconn 20-9 and at temple 34-13. ucf is having a great rebound season after last year's debacle. i think they'll enjoy avenging a 52-7 loss at cincinnati.
indiana (+7) 2 units.
indiana (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. i'm simply not sold on this psu team. i know they somehow beat ohio st, but their other 4 conference wins are against maryland, minnesota, iowa, and purdue. not exactly a murderer's row. i don't think they should be laying a td on the road. indiana's defense has been showing some cracks lately, so the over is definitely worth a look, too. but the hoosiers are a very live dog today have should have a shot at winning this game.
wake/louisville under (54.5) 2 units. wake's defense has been very good this year. 4 weeks ago, they went to fsu and held the noles to 17 points. if they can hold louisville under 50, this game should stay under as it's hard to imagine wake scoring much in this game.
kansas (+10.5) 1 unit
kansas (ML) 1 unit to win 3.4. obviously kansas is horrible. but this bet is purely against a team that's 0-6 in conference laying 10.5 points on the road. iowa state's only win this year was against san jose. they've been competitive in just one road game, blowing a lead at ok st. in their other 3 road games, they've been outscored 110-29. as terrible as they are, i think the jayhawks are worth a shot. please don't let this game be on tv. i don't want to actually have to WATCH any of this shitfest.
tulsa (ML) 3 units to win 3.9. tulsa's offense is absolutely clicking right now, averaging 51 points/game their last 3. and they are incredibly balanced, getting 259 yards/game passing and 255 yards/game rushing. that ground game is going to be the key, as navy allows 4.7 yards/rush. this should be a shootout, but i think the game means more to tulsa, as the winner of this game will very likely play in the conference championship game. and this is only navy's 2nd year in a conference.
syracuse (+7) 3 units
syracuse (ML) 2 units to win 4.6. how often do you see a team that's 1-4 in conference laying a td at a team that's 2-3? this is just a bad line. nc st is great at stopping the run, but they are 93rd in the country, giving up 251 passing yards/game. syracuse, with babers' new offense, is 11th in the country, picking up 337 yards/game through the air. and that's after the ugly game at clemson. syracuse already has a home win over virginia tech. nc st is 0-3 on the road this year. granted, the last 2 road games were at clemson and louisville. but they still have to prove they can win on the road. and it's going to be tough to bounce back after they dropped an INT last week that would have sealed a win over florida st. i think syracuse is going to have a lot of success moving the ball today. may be a high-scoring game, but i love syracuse's chances to get a win.
alabama (-29.5) 3 units. all the talk i'm hearing this morning about alabama being tired after that lsu game.... this line is begging for bulldog money. i think the tide will roll today.
minnesota (+5) 2 units
minnesota (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. i'm assuming armstrong is playing for the huskers. if he's out, i'm probably not betting this game. right now, the huskers are reeling. after the tough loss at winconsin, they showed no heart whatsoever against ohio st. the gophers are benefiting from what has to be the easiest schedule in the big ten this year. i don't think they're all that good, but they're catching nebraska at the exact right time.
georgia st (-12) 2 units. monroe has been outscored on the road this year 250-72.
south florida (-3) 3 units. the difference will be the bulls' ground game that averages 6.5/yards/carry against a memphis run defense that gives up 4.8 yards/carry.
utah st (-1) 2 units. the most obvious "trap" on the board. a team that's 1-5 in conference is favored against a team that's 4-1. ok, i'll bite on the 1-5 team. maybe chuckie keaton is back for a 12th year of eligibility?
ucf (-10.5) 2 units. in cincinnati's 2 conference road games, they lost at uconn 20-9 and at temple 34-13. ucf is having a great rebound season after last year's debacle. i think they'll enjoy avenging a 52-7 loss at cincinnati.
indiana (+7) 2 units.
indiana (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. i'm simply not sold on this psu team. i know they somehow beat ohio st, but their other 4 conference wins are against maryland, minnesota, iowa, and purdue. not exactly a murderer's row. i don't think they should be laying a td on the road. indiana's defense has been showing some cracks lately, so the over is definitely worth a look, too. but the hoosiers are a very live dog today have should have a shot at winning this game.
wake/louisville under (54.5) 2 units. wake's defense has been very good this year. 4 weeks ago, they went to fsu and held the noles to 17 points. if they can hold louisville under 50, this game should stay under as it's hard to imagine wake scoring much in this game.
kansas (+10.5) 1 unit
kansas (ML) 1 unit to win 3.4. obviously kansas is horrible. but this bet is purely against a team that's 0-6 in conference laying 10.5 points on the road. iowa state's only win this year was against san jose. they've been competitive in just one road game, blowing a lead at ok st. in their other 3 road games, they've been outscored 110-29. as terrible as they are, i think the jayhawks are worth a shot. please don't let this game be on tv. i don't want to actually have to WATCH any of this shitfest.
tulsa (ML) 3 units to win 3.9. tulsa's offense is absolutely clicking right now, averaging 51 points/game their last 3. and they are incredibly balanced, getting 259 yards/game passing and 255 yards/game rushing. that ground game is going to be the key, as navy allows 4.7 yards/rush. this should be a shootout, but i think the game means more to tulsa, as the winner of this game will very likely play in the conference championship game. and this is only navy's 2nd year in a conference.
syracuse (+7) 3 units
syracuse (ML) 2 units to win 4.6. how often do you see a team that's 1-4 in conference laying a td at a team that's 2-3? this is just a bad line. nc st is great at stopping the run, but they are 93rd in the country, giving up 251 passing yards/game. syracuse, with babers' new offense, is 11th in the country, picking up 337 yards/game through the air. and that's after the ugly game at clemson. syracuse already has a home win over virginia tech. nc st is 0-3 on the road this year. granted, the last 2 road games were at clemson and louisville. but they still have to prove they can win on the road. and it's going to be tough to bounce back after they dropped an INT last week that would have sealed a win over florida st. i think syracuse is going to have a lot of success moving the ball today. may be a high-scoring game, but i love syracuse's chances to get a win.
alabama (-29.5) 3 units. all the talk i'm hearing this morning about alabama being tired after that lsu game.... this line is begging for bulldog money. i think the tide will roll today.
minnesota (+5) 2 units
minnesota (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. i'm assuming armstrong is playing for the huskers. if he's out, i'm probably not betting this game. right now, the huskers are reeling. after the tough loss at winconsin, they showed no heart whatsoever against ohio st. the gophers are benefiting from what has to be the easiest schedule in the big ten this year. i don't think they're all that good, but they're catching nebraska at the exact right time.
georgia st (-12) 2 units. monroe has been outscored on the road this year 250-72.
south florida (-3) 3 units. the difference will be the bulls' ground game that averages 6.5/yards/carry against a memphis run defense that gives up 4.8 yards/carry.
utah st (-1) 2 units. the most obvious "trap" on the board. a team that's 1-5 in conference is favored against a team that's 4-1. ok, i'll bite on the 1-5 team. maybe chuckie keaton is back for a 12th year of eligibility?
