Saturday

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
running late. just the noon games for now.

iowa st (-19.5) 2 units. this line baffles me. akron is coming off a win at northwestern. iowa st opened with losses against iowa and oklahoma and they have tcu next week (followed by 2 more ranked conference opponents). hard to believe they'll be fired up to play the zips today. so this line is BEGGING for akron money. which means, SIGH, i gotta play the cyclones.

akr/iowa st under (48) 2 units. sure, why not throw some more money on this game? much like the side, this total seems to be begging for over money. akron put up 39 at northwestern. and iowa st scored 27 against oklahoma. when they are begging for over money, i gotta go under.

nebraska (+18) 2 units
nebraska (ML) 1 unit to win 7.5. certainly not the start anyone expected for the scott frost era. but i'm just not sold on this michigan team. they did not look good at nd and they struggled to get going against a bad smu team. nebraska should be playing like a desperate team and they may have a shot to win this game.

minnesota (ML) 3 units to win .
under (47.5) 3 units. hill is only completing 51% of his passes, and that's not going to get it done against the gophers. i think they'll stack the box and make him beat them. on the other side of the ball, annexstad is a freshman making his first road start in his first conference game. we'll see a conservative game plan from minnesota (so what else is new?). i like the gophers to grind out an ugly win.

wake (+6.5) 1 unit. regardless of who starts at qb for nd, i like the demon deacons to keep this close. nd is playing their first road game, and they may get caught looking ahead to stanford. they are 0-3 ATS the last three years before stanford.
 

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,410
1,992
113
Upstate NY
virginia (-5) 3 units. i'm looking to wager against this louisville team every chance i get. if you count the indiana st game, they are 0-3 ATS so far.

tcu (-2.5) 2 units. maybe this is a sucker line. but tcu looked better than i expected against ohio st. i think they are simply a much better team than the longhorns. strong lean to the under as well.

coastal carolina (ML) 2 units to win 2.7. the rajun' cajuns might just be looking ahead to their trip to tuscaloosa next week. love the chanticleers to get a win here.

la tech (+19.5) 4 units. how many times have we seen LSU put up a clunker at home against a non-conference opponent? they are coming off that dramatic win at auburn and coming up they have ole miss, florida, georgia, miss st, and alabama. they might not be too focused on the bulldogs. if j'mar smith doesn't turn the ball over, this game could come right down to the wire.

indiana (ML) 2 units to win 3.7. i haven't seen anything from michigan st this year to indicate they should be favored on the road. indiana has looked ok so far, and has a legit shot to win this game.

and, wow, i'm off to a shitty start so far today.
 

ejthree

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 7, 2006
4,808
540
113
running late. just the noon games for now.

iowa st (-19.5) 2 units. this line baffles me. akron is coming off a win at northwestern. iowa st opened with losses against iowa and oklahoma and they have tcu next week (followed by 2 more ranked conference opponents). hard to believe they'll be fired up to play the zips today. so this line is BEGGING for akron money. which means, SIGH, i gotta play the cyclones.

akr/iowa st under (48) 2 units. sure, why not throw some more money on this game? much like the side, this total seems to be begging for over money. akron put up 39 at northwestern. and iowa st scored 27 against oklahoma. when they are begging for over money, i gotta go under.

nebraska (+18) 2 units
nebraska (ML) 1 unit to win 7.5. certainly not the start anyone expected for the scott frost era. but i'm just not sold on this michigan team. they did not look good at nd and they struggled to get going against a bad smu team. nebraska should be playing like a desperate team and they may have a shot to win this game.

minnesota (ML) 3 units to win .
under (47.5) 3 units. hill is only completing 51% of his passes, and that's not going to get it done against the gophers. i think they'll stack the box and make him beat them. on the other side of the ball, annexstad is a freshman making his first road start in his first conference game. we'll see a conservative game plan from minnesota (so what else is new?). i like the gophers to grind out an ugly win.

wake (+6.5) 1 unit. regardless of who starts at qb for nd, i like the demon deacons to keep this close. nd is playing their first road game, and they may get caught looking ahead to stanford. they are 0-3 ATS the last three years before stanford.

GL today Smitty...Against ya on Iowa St :-( But at least one of us will have a winner....lol
 
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