Saturday's Fox Tip Sheet

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Saturday's Fox Tip Sheet

Saturday?s televised action on Fox continues this weekend with another trio of games, including a very important National League East battle between the Braves and Phillies. Philadelphia is fresh off a three-game sweep over the Cubs in Wrigley Field and remains in first place of the division. However, the club is only up by 4 1/2 games over the Marlins and six on Atlanta, who enters this weekend with a five-game winning streak before last night. Let?s take a closer look at this tilt, plus the other National League battle between the Giants and Mets as well.
Philadelphia at Atlanta

Gamblers have to be scratching their heads right now with the Phillies. The team has been so unpredictable this year, often stepping up when you think they?re down. After losing three straight at home to the Marlins, the team rebounds with the aforementioned sweep over Chicago. Philly scored 22 runs in the victories over the Cubs, but just nine in the setbacks to the Fish. The Braves have had the Phillies? number this year, winning seven of the first nine, including a home sweep just before the All-Star break.

Last night, Ryan Howard led off the ninth inning with a tie-breaking shot that gave the Phillies a 3-2 victory over the Braves.

On Saturday, Cole Hamels (7-7, 4.77 ERA) hopes he can get some offensive support since he hasn?t been on top of his game lately. Philadelphia has dropped two straight with Hamels, who has been tagged for 15 hits and 10 earned runs in the two losses. The lefty does own a 7-4 career mark against the Braves but in his one start this season against them, he was lit up for nine hits and seven earned runs in just four innings. Total players would expect Hamels to be an ?under? pitcher but it?s been the opposite. The ?over? is on a 7-1 in his last eight efforts. Lastly, the day games have been bad news this year for Hamels, who is 0-4 with a 5.45 ERA in six outings. If you?re looking for another reason to fade Cole, then look at the Braves? record (24-16) against lefties.





The Braves look to stay hot behind the right-handed Kenshin Kawakami (5-9, 4.12 ERA). Even though the club is just 1-4 in the last five, his most recent start opened up some eyes. Kawakami threw seven scoreless innings and gave up just four hits on Aug. 8 as Atlanta nipped the Dodgers 2-1. Kawakami faced the Phils on May 10 and he helped the Braves earn a 4-2 victory by giving up two hits and two runs over five innings. The Japanese product might not have the most glaring stats but he hasn?t been helped at all. Atlanta has gone 9-12 in his 21 starts and the offense has produced four runs or less in all 12 losses. In the nine wins, the team his notched four runs or more on seven occasions. Gamblers leaning to KK today might want to look at a team total ?over? instead.

All the numbers in the pitching matchup appear to lean towards Kawakami, but the oddsmakers have still made the Phillies a short favorite. It seems very fair considering the Phillies own a league-best 36-19 record on the road which has returned a profit of over 19 units.

San Francisco at N.Y. Mets

The Giants begin their 11-game road trip in Flushing against the banged-up Mets. San Francisco is eight games better than New York in the win column but that hasn?t mattered this year. New York captured three of the first four in the Bay Area and has owned the Giants on its home turf. San Francisco has lost five in a row in Queens and 14 of 18 while visiting the Mets, including Friday's setback. The Mets? Bobby Parnell went a solid six innings and the club blanked the Giants 3-0. The bullpen finished up the final three innings, and reliever Francisco Rodriguez notched his 26th save of the season.

If the team from Northern California wants to remain in the NL Wild Card hunt, then it better win this series. That?s a lot easier said than done for the Giants and its fair to say that Saturday?s matchup will be their toughest test.

New York will throw Johan Santana (13-8, 3.00 ERA) to the mound this afternoon. The lefty is coming off an impressive 5-1 victory over the Padres last Sunday, which saw him go eight innings. Santana hasn?t received much offensive support in the past but the Mets? attack has posted four-plus runs in each of his last six starts. The former Cy Young winner is 8-2 with a 2.07 ERA at home this season, plus he?s 2-0 in his career against the Giants. Santana has produced a 7-4 record with a 2.48 ERA under the sun this season. San Francisco is 17-13 versus lefties this year.

San Francisco will try to counter the Mets? dominance at home by Santana with its own road warrior Matt Cain (12-4, 2.44 ERA). The big right-hander gave up a season-high five runs in last Sunday?s 5-2 defeat to the Reds, which was his second straight setback. Despite the losses, he still boasts a 2.44 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. It should also be noted that in his four losses, the Giants? offense has managed a total of nine runs. The afternoon affair should help Cain, who has gone 4-2 with a 2.17 ERA in day games this year. He?s faced the Mets once this year and gave up no runs and three hits over six innings.



The White Sox own a league-best 14-4 record on Saturday, followed by the Rays (12-6) and Red Sox (12-6). Looking for a couple clubs that haven?t played well on this day? Take a quick peek at the Reds (4-14) and Indians (5-13).

?Chalk? players looking for automatic winners might turn their attention to Detroit (-250) against Kansas City and St. Louis (-230) over San Diego tonight. The Cards have beaten the Padres seven out of eight, and the Tigers own a 7-3 mark against the Royals. If you toss the pair into a two-team parlay, you?ll get an even-money return.

The New York Yankees have been on fire in the month of August, posting an 11-2 record. All gamblers know that you have to lay a healthy price when backing the Bronx Bombers but the run-line has been golden during this stretch. All of the 11 victories except one were by more than one run. After two more contests against Seattle, the Yanks head to Oakland for three and then a big three-game set at Fenway Park against the Sox.

It?s really amazes me looking at the Totals Report this year and seeing Texas as a clear-cut ?under? team, considering the ball used to fly out of Arlington. The Rangers have watched the ?under? go 71-39 (65%) on the season, including 37-19 at home. Even though Friday's game saw 12 total runs, 'under' backers were on the right side. The Red Sox put up a 6-spot in their final frame and rallied for an 8-4 win over the Rangers.
 

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TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT
Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 55 - 56 35 - 25 20 - 31 Under-1
Atlanta Braves 50 - 61 22 - 31 28 - 30 Under-2
Baltimore Orioles 56 - 54 25 - 31 31 - 23 Over-1
Boston Red Sox 48 - 58 23 - 28 25 - 30 Over-1
Chicago Cubs 50 - 60 27 - 29 23 - 31 Over-1
Chicago White Sox 47 - 68 22 - 39 25 - 29 Over-1
Cincinnati Reds 44 - 64 23 - 29 21 - 35 Under-3
Cleveland Indians 60 - 52 22 - 34 38 - 18 Over-1
Colorado Rockies 54 - 57 29 - 23 25 - 34 Over-2
Detroit Tigers 47 - 65 25 - 29 22 - 36 Under-2
Florida Marlins 60 - 50 35 - 22 25 - 28 Over-7
Houston Astros 52 - 57 24 - 30 28 - 27 Over-5
Kansas City Royals 51 - 56 33 - 24 18 - 32 Under-1
Los Angeles Angels 66 - 41 34 - 21 32 - 20 Over-2
Los Angeles Dodgers 57 - 54 28 - 27 29 - 27 Under-2
Milwaukee Brewers 60 - 50 29 - 26 31 - 24 Over-4
Minnesota Twins 53 - 56 33 - 22 20 - 34 Over-1
New York Mets 52 - 57 25 - 29 27 - 28 Under-1
New York Yankees 55 - 54 27 - 28 28 - 26 Under-1
Oakland Athletics 58 - 56 27 - 28 31 - 28 Over-1
Philadelphia Phillies 51 - 56 25 - 30 26 - 26 Under-2
Pittsburgh Pirates 49 - 60 22 - 30 27 - 30 Over-2
San Diego Padres 58 - 56 26 - 31 32 - 25 Over-4
San Francisco Giants 49 - 59 26 - 29 23 - 30 Under-2
Seattle Mariners 49 - 66 26 - 30 23 - 36 Under-1
St. Louis Cardinals 48 - 59 19 - 36 29 - 23 Over-1
Tampa Bay Rays 51 - 60 26 - 26 25 - 34 Under-1
Texas Rangers 39 - 71 19 - 37 20 - 34 Over-1
Toronto Blue Jays 53 - 57 25 - 28 28 - 29 Under-2
Washington Nationals 56 - 56 27 - 31 29 - 25 Under-3



TOTAL HOME AWAY STREAK
Florida Marlins 60 - 50 35 - 22 25 - 28 Over-7
 

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT
UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 8.89 19 7 9 12.4 7.5 1.7
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 7.21 19 14 3 14.5 7.9 1.8
ANGEL CAMPOS 8.86 14 8 6 15.8 5.9 2.7
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 9.15 20 10 9 13.0 7.3 1.8
BILL HOHN 8.53 17 9 7 13.3 6.1 2.2
BILL MILLER 8.79 19 12 6 15.7 5.9 2.7
BILL WELKE 10.32 19 9 9 14.5 5.9 2.5
BOB DAVIDSON 8.76 17 8 8 14.1 7.1 2.0
BRIAN GORMAN 7.42 19 12 4 14.2 6.5 2.2
BRIAN KNIGHT 8.68 19 11 7 13.8 7.1 2.0
BRIAN O'NORA 7.42 19 11 7 14.0 6.0 2.3
BRIAN RUNGE 8.22 18 12 4 13.5 5.9 2.3
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.75 16 6 8 12.0 7.6 1.6
BUCKNOR 9.84 19 8 11 13.4 7.5 1.8
CASEY MOSER 4.00 2 2 0 12.5 4.0 3.1
CHAD FAIRCHILD 9.06 18 10 8 14.2 6.4 2.2
CHARLIE RELIFORD 7.56 18 12 6 13.7 5.1 2.7
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.47 19 10 8 14.7 7.1 2.1
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 9.94 18 9 9 13.6 6.9 2.0
DALE SCOTT 9.89 19 7 11 13.6 5.9 2.3
DAMIEN BEAL 9.50 2 1 1 14.5 5.0 2.9
DAN BELLINO 4.67 3 3 0 16.7 3.3 5.0
DAN IASSOGNA 10.39 18 8 10 12.6 6.9 1.8
DANA DEMUTH 9.94 17 8 8 13.5 6.8 2.0
DELFIN COLON 7.33 3 2 0 12.0 4.7 2.6
DERRYL COUSINS 8.22 18 10 7 12.6 7.7 1.6
DOUG EDDINGS 9.39 18 8 10 14.7 6.2 2.4
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 9.05 19 8 9 13.7 7.5 1.8
ERIC COOPER 10.71 21 7 14 14.4 6.7 2.1
FIELDIN CULBRETH 8.28 18 11 6 13.7 7.3 1.9
GARY CEDERSTROM 9.79 14 8 6 13.6 6.3 2.2
GARY DARLING 8.29 14 8 6 13.2 6.0 2.2
GERRY DAVIS 10.26 19 8 8 13.0 7.7 1.7
GREG GIBSON 10.58 12 5 7 10.9 6.7 1.6
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT 9.42 19 9 10 13.9 7.3 1.9
JAMES HOYE 9.23 22 14 7 12.0 7.3 1.7
JEFF KELLOGG 7.95 19 12 7 13.3 8.3 1.6
JEFF NELSON 10.59 17 6 10 13.2 7.1 1.9
JERRY CRAWFORD 11.57 14 6 7 14.9 9.1 1.6
JERRY LAYNE 8.29 17 9 7 14.4 6.8 2.1
JERRY MEALS 9.68 19 7 11 14.5 7.2 2.0
JIM JOYCE 8.58 19 12 7 13.8 8.6 1.6
JIM REYNOLDS 8.77 13 5 8 14.2 7.0 2.0
JIM WOLF 10.00 18 7 10 13.1 6.9 1.9
JOE WEST 9.32 19 9 9 13.7 7.7 1.8
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 8.50 20 14 6 13.9 6.6 2.1
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 3.00 1 1 0 12.0 5.0 2.4
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.72 18 7 10 11.9 7.7 1.6
LARRY VANOVER 8.50 18 9 8 12.5 6.7 1.9
LAZ DIAZ 10.22 18 6 11 13.4 6.1 2.2
MARK CARLSON 9.06 16 9 7 13.8 7.3 1.9
MARK WEGNER 10.00 18 9 9 13.4 6.7 2.0
MARTY FOSTER 9.11 18 9 8 13.4 7.0 1.9
MARVIN HUDSON 8.05 20 10 10 15.5 7.2 2.2
MIKE DIMURO 9.17 18 9 9 14.7 6.6 2.2
MIKE ESTABROOK 8.25 8 4 4 13.0 5.1 2.5
MIKE EVERITT 10.42 19 8 11 12.8 7.4 1.7
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 8.00 2 1 0 14.5 8.5 1.7
MIKE REILLY 9.42 19 9 10 15.4 7.9 1.9
MIKE WINTERS 10.56 16 7 9 12.6 7.0 1.8
PAUL EMMEL 9.00 16 9 6 12.8 6.6 1.9
PAUL NAUERT 9.28 18 9 9 14.8 6.4 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 9.72 18 7 7 14.6 8.4 1.7
PHIL CUZZI 9.45 20 11 8 14.9 7.2 2.1
RANDY MARSH 10.47 19 6 12 11.9 8.4 1.4
REYBURN 6.33 3 2 1 10.7 2.3 4.6
ROB DRAKE 9.42 19 9 10 14.5 6.1 2.4
RON KULPA 8.60 10 7 3 14.2 6.5 2.2
SAM HOLBROOK 8.29 17 10 7 14.2 7.1 2.0
SCOTT BARRY 7.95 20 14 6 12.3 7.0 1.8
TED BARRETT 8.58 19 12 6 12.8 6.6 1.9
TIM MCCLELLAND 12.05 20 4 12 13.4 8.3 1.6
TIM TIMMONS 11.00 19 7 10 14.1 7.5 1.9
TIM TSCHIDA 10.53 19 8 10 13.7 8.3 1.7
TIM WELKE 10.47 19 9 10 13.6 7.3 1.9
TODD TICHENOR 9.06 17 10 7 13.5 7.5 1.8
TOM HALLION 8.40 20 9 10 13.0 6.5 2.0
TONY RANDAZZO 8.55 20 11 8 12.4 5.3 2.4
WALLY BELL 9.10 20 11 8 13.8 7.3 1.9
 

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Johan Santana, New York Mets

When he?s on his game, Santana is still one of the most formidable hurlers in the game. Lately, the Mets have seen the best of him.

Santana (13-8, 3.00 ERA) is 4-1 with one no-decision in his past six starts, with two shaky outings sandwiched in between four trademark, shutdown performances.
He has given up one or fewer earned runs in the four wins and lasted at least seven innings in those victories.

Doug Davis, Arizona Diamondbacks

Davis (7-10, 3.49 ERA) has been prone to the occasional crooked number, which has hurt his overall record. But lately he has found his groove and become a model of consistency for the Diamondbacks.

The 33-year-old lefty is 3-0 with one no-decision in his past four starts. He has given two earned runs in each of his past three starts, which includes wins over the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Slumping

Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds

Cueto has come to exemplify the struggles of the Reds? starting pitching, as he is 0-5 with two no-decisions in past seven starts.

The 23-year-old Cueto (8-9, 4.23 ERA) has been inconsistent, giving up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. He also has failed to make it past the sixth inning in each of his past six outings.

Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants

Cain might still be a candidate for the NL Cy Young Award, but the 24-year-old righty has had some recent struggles.

Cain (12-4, 2.44 ERA) is 0-2 with a no-decision in his past three starts. His losses include ugly outings against the Houston Astros and Cincinnati Reds in which he gave up nine earned runs in two starts.

He struggled with location in these losses and was tagged for a total of four home runs in the two-start span.
 

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Saturday's best MLB bets

Saturday's best MLB bets

Saturday's best MLB bets

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets (-120)

If you?re looking for a good spot to back Johan Santana and the Mets, it doesn?t get much better than Saturday?s tilt against the light-hitting San Francisco Giants.

Santana (13-8, 3.00 ERA) sometimes suffers from lack of run support, but he won?t need much to get by a Giants team that ranks No. 28 in Major League Baseball at 3.99 runs per game.

The Mets are also in a favorable spot against San Francisco?s Matt Cain (12-4), who has lost his past two starts and shown some trouble with his control.

If the Mets can find a way to get a couple of runs on the board early, they should be in great shape for bettors and this is about as good of a price you could hope for.

The Mets are 5-0 in Santana?s last five starts against the National League West, and 5-1 in his past six Saturday starts.

Pick: Mets

Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds (-180)

The struggling Cincinnati Reds and their woeful pitching staff might just the cure for the road-weary Nationals, who had won seven straight before starting another recent losing skid.

The heart of Washington?s lineup including Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Dunn blasted away against mediocre pitching during their winning run. They?ll have a chance to do the same against the Reds? Johnny Cueto, who is 1-4 in his last five starts against teams with losing records.

Conversely, the Nationals have posted a 5-1 mark against teams with losing records and face a Reds club that has given their home fans just two wins in their past 10 outings.

Pick: Nationals
 

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Today's MLB Picks
Seattle at NY Yankees
The Mariners look to rebound from yesterday's 4-2 loss and build on their 12-5 record in their last 17 games after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. Seattle is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has Seattle favored by 1/2 a run.

Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125).

Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 15
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 12.657; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 13.819
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165); N/A

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.808; Atlanta (Kawakami) 16.595
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+110); Under

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.847; Arizona (Davis) 15.554
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Under

Game 907-908: Colorado at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 15.649; Florida (VandenHurk) 15.914
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-110); Under

Game 909-910: Houston at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 14.203; Milwaukee (Burns) 15.212
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 13
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Over

Game 911-912: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martin) 16.339; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.156
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+155); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.111; NY Mets (Santana) 15.268
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Over

Game 915-916: San Diego at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 15.063; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.936
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+210); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.321; Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.033
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 15.415; Minnesota (Swarzak) 15.737
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-155); Over

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.486; Detroit (Jackson) 15.827
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-230); Over

Game 923-924: LA Angels at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 15.575; Baltimore (Matusz) 14.542
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 11
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Over

Game 925-926: Toronto at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 14.790; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 14.953
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Under

Game 927-928: Boston at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Penny) 15.903; Texas (Holland) 16.302
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-110); Under

Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mitre) 15.535; Seattle (French) 15.731
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Under
 
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