Saturday's Picks........11-12-05

I

INtheBLUE

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Just had time to sit and write but played a couple early yesterday that fit really well into the way I do things.So here they are:

Fresno St -6.....-101.....$101 / $100

Auburn +4.........-109.....$109 / $100

Arkansas / Mississippi ...Under 41.5....+104....$100 / $104

And I just played these today:

Alabama +3...-101....$101 / $100

Central Fla +7.5...-110...$110 / $100

Rutgers +21.5...-105.....$105 /$100

Northwestern +16...-104...$104 / $100

I have a bunch more that fit but the line is moving my way so stay tuned:

Lotta dogs are fitting this week, when favs covered more last week. Very unsettling.

Season +$560
 
I

INtheBLUE

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Decided to pull the trigger since the vig was so nice:

Southern Miss.. -6.5...-109.....$109 / $100 (bought half point)

Season +$560
 
I

INtheBLUE

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Hey Juu3, I would feel wrong just calling you Juu, glad to hear from you. Wish I could go to the game. Damn friends got married and I have to go outta town. I only bet on them because my numbers say they will win by 9. I know that sounds like BS, and I completely agree, but I have to bet the numbers or I will be lost huh. I'm not in it to win every game, but at least 70%.

Hey Money, thanks for passing some of that luck over here, notice the money management so far? I am not getting screwed by Cal this week, even though I think there is value in the line.

GL to all. I got two more comin this week too, stay tuned.
 
T

taoist

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INtheBLUE said:
I'm not in it to win every game, but at least 70%.
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...no offense, but if you think that, you need to lower your standards. If you can manage 56-58% clip over the long haul, you will make money...good money. ;)


No one...and I mean NO ONE can manage a 70% clip on a long term basis.....


Best of luck this weekend. :)
 
I

INtheBLUE

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taoist said:
...no offense, but if you think that, you need to lower your standards. If you can manage 56-58% clip over the long haul, you will make money...good money. ;)


No one...and I mean NO ONE can manage a 70% clip on a long term basis.....


Best of luck this weekend. :)
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I know but we all have to have a goal dont we?

Thanks, tao, I know my standards are high, but I have been working on fine tuning this for 6 years (seriously betting for the last ten), and every year I get closer to my goal. The first year was a miserable failure at 43%, the second was better but still losing by normal standards at 54%. Every year since that has been over 60%. I hope to one day quit throwing my personal bias in and just bet straight numbers and hit 70%.

So yeah, VERY lofty goal and an extremely high standard. I bet a lot more than I post on here, as I am sure most of us do, but these posts are to publicly show my picks based on my equations of how things should turn out for record sake.

If I stick to money management (already fvk*^ up once this year, thanks CAL), and I hit 70% of the time with standard vig, I should make a 15% return on original investment, since I use Pinny and Betjamaica alot with reduced vig, I should make more. We will see when it is all said and done. You can call me a dumbass then if I am wrong.
 
I

INtheBLUE

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Adding one now because of the WTF factor:

Alabama / LSU under 46.5....-110.....$110 / $100 (betjamaica)

Season +$451
 
C

Cabo

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Blue, looks good to me!! Havent yet decided on my plays for saturday, but am leaning towards Wis,Ga,FSU,Bama and a few others. Hope all is well, and hope you nail em all..Cabo...
 
I

INtheBLUE

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Really like the FSU play, I'm line surfin right now on that one. Also really like the numbers on Colorado. REALLY like them. Wisky doesnt fall into my "place a bet" category, but my gut says load up!!

GL this weekend, and thanks for visiting my thread.
 
I

INtheBLUE

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GLad we all got the win on Fresno!!

Adding one more now:

Florida State -1......-102......$102 / $100

Season +$551

Still have one more that I am waiting to pull the trigger on, stay tuned.
 
I

INtheBLUE

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HEY Juu3!!

HEY Juu3!!

Hey Juu3,

Your in Athens right? Ever go to Thomas Pit Bar-B-Q? BEST potato salad in the world!! MMMnnnn... Huuunngggry!!!
 
I

INtheBLUE

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Here should be my last ones of the week.....SHOULD:

Colorado -2.5.....+101.....$100 / 101

Colorado / Iowa State...OVER 47....-105....$105 / $100

Parlay:
Colorado -2 / OVER 47 ...$100 / $260

That should do me in!

Season +$551

GL to all this weekend. I'll be out of town till Sunday night, which is probably a good thing, I wont make any degenerate bets!! Be back Sunday Night
 
I

INtheBLUE

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Juu3 said:
hell yeah it is, but there ribs suck ass! Well, I shouldn't say that, their just not near as good as Dreamland, not the knock off's, the original in Ttown!!

ALABAMA 16
LSU 9

Where r u?
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Yeah their ribs suck, their BBQ is ok, but when I lived in Madison, I would by their potato salad 2 quarts at a time, and it would be gone in a day! Do they still get the 2 mile line down US72 on Friday afternoon? That always cracked me up. You wait in line and see all these cats roaming around the back smokehouse. Kinda answered why they never ran out of meat!! :scared

I'm in Trussville now, but lived in H'ville / Madison for 6 years. Grew up in Florence too! Still go wakeboarding at Wheeler in the coves every year. Smoothest water in the state! and built for 10 minute runs! The fishing boats always follow me to jump the 3' wake of my boat. Their boats will come completely out of the water for about 2 seconds. Then they cuss at me when I go by while they are fishing! :mj07: :s4: So I know your neck of the woods pretty well.
 
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