SB

[rocky mountain]

Slum did some digging for you into Pats O vs Seahawks D. Favors Seattle with their "Dark Side heavy Nickel package..

Based on the 2025-2026 season data, the Patriots' offense has found the most success against base defenses (typically 3-4 or 4-3 alignments with fewer defensive backs) rather than sub-packages. The team has demonstrated high efficiency (0.13 EPA per play) when passing from under center against base defenses.

• Pass Efficiency: Non-play-action passes against base, heavier boxes, and non-disguised coverages have been highly effective.
• Performance Metrics: The passing offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 8.6 yards per pass (Rank #1) and a 69.66% completion percentage (Rank #2).
• Context: The offense has, however, faced challenges against top-tier, disciplined defenses in the playoffs, where their passing rhythm and consistency have been tested.

In 2025, the Seattle Seahawks, under head coach Mike Macdonald, utilized a dominant, "Dark Side" 3-4 base scheme that actually relied heavily on a specialized Nickel package to lead the NFL in scoring defense and DVOA. They rarely used traditional base personnel, instead trusting a 3-4 front four with a hybrid nickel linebacker/safety, rookie Nick Emmanwori, to provide elite, versatile coverage and run defense.

 

[Smitty]

I have pretty sizeable interest from a business standpoint if Patriots win with a "if win" tee ready to launch Monday. An A Bomb tee, if they win. So that clouds me a bit with Pat bias...

Well now I'm rooting for the Pats.

Slum, I really don't have much on this game. Gun to my head, I'd bet NE because I still trust Maye more than Darnold. But we don't know how Maye's shoulder is. I really like the Under, BUT.... Championship games just seem to find ways to go Over. I think we've had more Unders in recent SBs, but I'm too lazy to confirm.

The last couple years, I've done well with my posted Props, but I don't even have much in that regard. I have placed some Prop bets the last few days using the DK "Happy Hour" Boosts.

Eh, fuck it. I'll start my own thread and post some thoughts.

 

[rocky mountain]

Well now I'm rooting for the Pats.

Slum, I really don't have much on this game. Gun to my head, I'd bet NE because I still trust Maye more than Darnold. But we don't know how Maye's shoulder is. I really like the Under, BUT.... Championship games just seem to find ways to go Over. I think we've had more Unders in recent SBs, but I'm too lazy to confirm.

The last couple years, I've done well with my posted Props, but I don't even have much in that regard. I have placed some Prop bets the last few days using the DK "Happy Hour" Boosts.

Eh, fuck it. I'll start my own thread and post some thoughts.

Definitely Smitty, we got to have it!