Ny Reb...I've riddden your coattails many a time this year....straight to the bank. Sorry I didn't clue you in on last weeks lock vs AZ., but I will give you my insight on this, as I've attended every USC home game and seen all the rest on TV, including the OT loss against a supposedly weak Cal team, who I find to be quite dangerous in fact.
USC O vs UCLA D: the bruins have an atheletic D but are really dinged up at the moment. Their 2 best upfront players (Ball and Leslie) have been missing alot of action of late and while I expect to see them in this game, their effectiveness should be affected by injury. Likewise, Matt Ware, their best corner has a gimpy ankle though he played on it last week. The SC offfense has too many weapons and they are all on fire right now. QB Leinart, TB's Dennis (run, catch, block), White (powerback), and Bush (lightening speed running and catching), to go with Williams, Colbert, and 2 freshman who are on the rise on the outside, well....too much firepower to stop it all. The O line will overpower UCLA, especially with their injuries. Just look back over the past several weeks, without even checking, i can't recall when SC scored less than 40. Expect more of the same.
UCLA O vs USC D: UCLA is completely out of synch on O right now, and in fact, if you look at their numbers over the course of the season you'll probably see they rarely score more than 14 points in a game. What they do best (run), is what the Trojans defend best (well under 100/gm). When it comes to passing game, with UCLA going back to Olsen at QB, it probably helps them a little over the other guy, but the Trojans will be bringing it big time and I expect to see 4 or 5 sacks. I will be surprised if the bruins score more than 14 unless it's in garbage time.
Kicking game: shouldn't be a factor either way as I think Trojans will be superior on O and D.
One more thing: this is a rivalry game and most times you can throw out the records, but since Carroll has taken over there is an electricity in LA (unless you're a Bruin fan) that hasn't been here for ages. And after the Cal loss, they play at a consistently high level in every game, for 60 minutes. The Coliseum is sold out. The Trojans dominate. In fact, I don't remember last years spread but the Trojans went over to the Rose Bowl and had the spread well covered midway through the 2nd Qtr and won going away something like 52-21. I don't know if will be that easy again, but do expect them to go something like 45-14.
Having said all that, I have one concern. Slightly worried (only slightly) as to whether the BCS thing dilutes their concentration a little. However, the way Carroll has em focused week in week out, I think they will rise above it.
In fact, with all the talk amongst all the people here about who's best and all that, I have to say I think OSU, LSU and USC all deserve a shot. They each have one loss. However, if you look at the Trojans you'll see that they've covered the spread in all but 1 (CAL) game this year, and that's what I come to this sight for. So hail to the Trojans. One last thing, if you make this play and the game is even remotely close, play USC 2nd half. Carroll will make adjustments and trojans will pull away. I've played the 2nd half in every game this year on USC, except Hawaii as it was already out of reach, and won every time, even the Cal game. So that's a little inside tip for you as well.
I have won based on your input many times this year, even had a Houston winner from Augur last w/e. I hope this helps you and you win big.
Also curious of your expert SEC take on Auburn Alabama.
good luck NY Reb
best of luck.