Se?or Cappers Week 11

[Senor Capper]

Gonna have to put Week 10 behind me. I feel like the Cowboyz feel right about now.

Lets see what's in store for us next week....



St. Louis -2 40o/u
Buffalo

STL-WR-Holt-Questionable
LVSC Money Line: St. Louis (-120), Buffalo (EVEN)

Strong lean on Bills +
=====================


Dallas
Baltimore (- 7 ??)

GAME OFF BOARD
Dallas plays Monday night

:director:Gimme those RAVENS - opening line

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New York-A
Cleveland PK 37o/u

NYJ-QB-Pennington Out
LVSC Money Line: New York-A (-105), Cleveland (-115)

I'll take Brownies for 500 Alex

====================


Pittsburgh -4.5 40?o/u
Cincinnati

PIT-RB-Staley-Questionable
LVSC Money Line: Pittsburgh (-220), Cincinnati (+180)

Division Home Dog ??? :shrug:

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Indianapolis -7.0 44?o/u
Chicago

LVSC Money Line: Indianapolis (-330), Chicago (+250)

Haven't looked here

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Detroit
Minnesota -7.5 48o/u

MIN-WR-Moss doubtful
LVSC Money Line: Detroit (+280), Minnesota (-360)

Detriot for/against is a SC killer. Still lean on Minny

====================


Arizona
Carolina (-3 ??) 38o/u

GAME CIRCLED
CAR-QB-Delhomme-Questionable
LVSC Money Line: Arizona (+105), Carolina (-125)

No official line yet

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Tennessee
Jacksonville (-3.0 ??)

GAME OFF BOARD
TEN-QB-McNair, RB-Brown-Both Questionable
JAX-QB-Leftwich Out

No official line yet

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San Fran.
Tampa Bay -7.5 42o/u

LVSC Money Line: San Fran. (+280), Tampa Bay (-360)

Haven't looked here

====================


Denver -4.0 47o/u
New Orleans

LVSC Money Line: Denver (-220), New Orleans (+180)

Liking the points. Will wait fo mo

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Miami
Seattle -9.5 37?o/u

MIA-QB-Feeley will start in place of Fiedler
LVSC Money Line: Miami (+325), Seattle (-450)

I know one thing for sure...I Can't play the Fins.

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San Diego -3.5 49o/u
Oakland

LVSC Money Line: San Diego (-200), Oakland (+170)

The money train is back. "All Aboard !!" :yup


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Atlanta 2.5 41o/u
New York-N

NY-QB-Manning-Will start in place of Warner
LVSC Money Line: Atlanta (-125), New York-N (+105)

Atlanta under 3 looks tempting

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Washington
Philly

GAME OFF BOARD
Philadelphia plays Monday night

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Green Bay -3.0 49o/u
Houston

LVSC Money Line: Green Bay (-155), Houston (+135)

Gimme Points !!!

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New England (-3 ???)
Kansas City

GAME OFF BOARD
KC-RB-Holmes-Questionable

&%#$@ !!! :cursin:

====================

 

[ELVIS]

senor, pass the salt ! nice to have company in the afc west cellar :142lmao:

i was in the big easy this weekend and watched your chefs and the aints. row 9 , 45 yd line 20 bucks a ticket.

anyway, had to give you some chit. gl, this weekend, and (fyi) i will be on the money train myself :cursin:


probably will be my biggest play of the year. the raiders d is one of the league's worst. :sadwave:

 

[Senor Capper]

Elvis I didn't want you to feel lonely LOL

KC gave the game away with over 100 yards in penalties. They blow !!


Already played.........

Brownies PK
Buffalo +2
Ravens -7.5

San Diego -3.5 (insert Elvis' "Caught in a Trap") Watch LTs status!!

Also like Seahawks -9 (No -Hasslebeck No Play)

 

[RAYMOND]

ravens very big for me looking at cinin also

 

[Dizzayton]

Houston may be the bet of the week. GB is a very streaking team and they are playing well at the moment. But they have not been overly impressive all season. I look for the Texans to bounce back in a BIG WAY at home after to straight road losses to Denver and Indy. GB will not be able to stop the Houston attack. :clap:

 

[kneifl]

Lanny -

I like a lot of your picks this week. Here is what I think I might play this week.

Cleveland
Buffalo
San Fran
NO
Seattle
San Diego
Atlanta
Philly
Houston
NE

I know, I know lots of games :scared :scared :scared

Leans: Dallas, Chicago, Cincinnati, Detroit

kneifl

 

[Senor Capper]

That's a lot of games !!!

Anyway running waaay behind here.

Dallas Cowbells @ Baltimore Ravens -7.5

Before MNF I was ready to give the 7 w/ Balt but unfortunately Dallas got beat sooo bad that it appears they may have bumped it up a notch.
Not a prob Bob, as this is a great spot for the Ravens, catching the Bells in a sandwich, off the Monday Night Slug Fest and hosting a game on Turkey Day.

Baltimore is allowing only 12 ppg in their last 7 games, ranking 5th, 7th & 7th in total, rushing & passing "D".

To say Dallas has a bad "D" is a huge understatement, they can't run the ball, and are hurting in the WR department. It's hard to see the Cowboys scoring points on the road against this tough Raven's "D".
Dallas now ranks 25th in NFL rushing "D" so Jamal Lewis should have a productive afternoon for Baltimore. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS playing on grass, while the Raven's are 21-9-3 ATS as home favorites.

Dallas is lost on the non-division road, with its current 0-8 ATS run, by 10, 7.5, 20.5, 8.5, 16, 13, 17.5 & 23 points.
That meshes perfectly with the Ravens 14-1 ATS record as non-division HFs.

Last year at Baltimore they beat Dallas 27-0. Gotta believe it will be another double digit win here also. :yup

-7.5

 

[Senor Capper]

New York JETS @ Cleveland Brownies PK


Steelers burned the Brownies LW, being a Steeler hater I couldn't bare to watch. Only 12 FDs for Cleveland in that fiasco.

Brownies have scored 65 points in their 2 previous HGs & are 7-1 ATS at home off a DD loss, when facing a non-division opponent.

JETS help the equation with 19-33-3 ATS log vs non-division AFC loss.

Coach Edwards is currently 8-14-1 ATS when playing a team with a losing record.


Brownies are in a division sandwich but I still believe they're the play here.

PK

 

[bombercoops]

Like the plays SC! Will be tailing a few of these on sunday!

 

[Senor Capper]

Misc Trends..........

NFL TRENDS

St. Louis 3-10 ATS as a road favorite
Buffalo 12-4 ATS vs. NFC West opponents
Dallas 12-3 ATS off a division loss by 10+ points
Baltimore 8-2 Under vs. NFC East opponents
NY Jets 7-17 ATS vs. AFC North opponents
Cleveland 10-2 Under after allowing 150< pass yds
Pittsburgh 7-0 ATS over the last seven games
Cincinnati 1-7 ATS revenging a road loss
Indianapolis 5-1 ATS away after scoring 30+ points
Chicago 1-5 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
Detroit 9-1 Under after allowing 200+ rush yards
Minnesota 8-0 ATS after BB games as a road underdog
Arizona 5-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Carolina 2-8 ATS in November
Tennessee 32-15 ATS off BB Overs
Jacksonville 8-2 Under off a win by 6 points or less
San Francisco 1-7 ATS away off an ATS loss
Tampa Bay 6-1 ATS after allowing 200+ rushing yards
Denver 7-1 ATS off a bye week
New Orleans 5-1 Over off a win as an underdog
Miami 1-7 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less
Seattle 6-1 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
San Diego 8-0 ATS off a home win by 21+ points
Oakland 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Atlanta 5-1 Under as a favorite
NY Giants 2-8 ATS at home off an Under
Washington 0-6 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Philadelphia 6-0 ATS vs. conference opponents
Green Bay 3-10 ATS away off 4+ wins
Houston 6-1 ATS off BB ATS losses
New England 5-1 ATS off a win
Kansas City 7-21 ATS vs. AFC East opponents


__________________

 

[Senor Capper]

San Diego @ Oakland Raiders +3.5


I hear that train a com'in... Okay I spare you my Johnny Cash impersonation, but you get the point. Chargers have been the best Money Train for me this year & I'm not hopping off. I bought another ticket this week & hope to get a refund by games end.

No doubt the Chargers hated to see their Bye Week come up & hopefully they don't come out flat & derail. They won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss by 1 point to at Atlanta. Mr. Brees is making it happen with a stellar 18 TDs & 3 INTs.


San Diego is on a 6-0 ATS run by an average of 16.4 points.
Oakland is on a 1-5 ATS slide with their losses by an average of 15.6 points.

Chargers piled up 32 FDs in the 41-14 thrashing of the Faders on Halloween.

Chargers are 19-7 ATS off SU win of at least 15 points.

A Trap Game ? I will gladly take the chance. :yup
Chuga chuga choo-choo....

-3.5

 

[beertime]

appreciate the trends post.

shotty has been a money machine of late and the raiders are pathetic but both off a bye week...

marty finds a way to eff up a good thing if he has time to think so ill skip that one.


that being said the chargers will win by 28!

i teased balt and minny. and oh i hate that rap dancing video game minny but i did.

gl this week senor :SIB

 

[Senor Capper]

St. Louis Rams @ Buffalo Bills +2


Backing Buffalo ?
What's your major malfunction, Numbnuts ?

Bills were obviously no match for the Patsies LW with an embarrassing 428-123 yard deficit as well as a 298-50 RY disadvantage.

Rams were the opposite 482 yards in a mild upset of Seattle.

Check that the Rams lost their last 3 non-divisional RGs by 21, 19 & 22 points ATS and are a disappointing 5-16 ATS in Nov off a SU win.

Bills are a perfect 9-0 ATS off the Patsies & 21-11 ATS hosting non-division squads.

+2

 

[Senor Capper]

Good luck to you also Beertime.

Now if I could just pull another Nsane Play out of my

 

[AM2kidz]

Come on Senor. Pull it out!! Lets make it 11-2

GL today on all your picks..
Love the Bills and Brownies

Am2kidz

 

[Baller]

Let's get Nsane!!

 

[Senor Capper]

Nsane Play of the Day........

Going with my 1st play of the week.....

RAVENS -7.5

Best to all

SC

 

[Baller]

Good luck this week!!

 

[Senor Capper]

Thanks, you also. I need it after LW.

 

[watrdogg]

Good luck Senor :clap: