Extremely Early Peeks & Plays......
Played (3) Early Favorites before the lines start jumping.
Carolina -3.0 34?o/u
Chicago
--CHI-RBs-Benson-Doubtful, Jones-Questionable
Da Bears have won 5 straight & are 18-5 ATS in Nov when facing a winning opponent
Panthers are 1st in the league vs. the run & covered their last RG by 18.5 pts & are 9-1 ATS off holding foes below 7 pts.
I'd give a slight edge to the Home Pup here
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Jacksonville -4.0 39o/u
Tennessee
Even with the Jags scoring 30 pts vs. the Ravens giving a well rested Titans team more than a FG @ home, is tempting.
Tennessee is 10-4 ATS in this series
Jacksonville is 6-18 off a pair of SU wins
Another slight edge to the Home Pup
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Indianapolis -5.5 47?o/u
Cincinnati
Bengals with their best start in 17 years & with the leagues 2nd best passer, are fresh off a bye (which may not be a good thing * see below). They are going to need it vs. this Colts team.
Colts are 6-0 ATS on series road & 7-1 ATS in Nov off a pair of wins & covers
*Bengals are 1-7 ATS off a bye
The visitor has covered 14-2-1 in Cincy games of late
Lean Indy -5 or 5.5
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New Orleans
New England -10.0 45?o/u
The bad news is that the Patsies can't run the ball (28th), & are ranked 31st on "D".
The good news is that they are playing the Saints & are 10-1 ATS in Nov, 32-9 ATS as non-division HFs & also 15-3 @ home after holding a foe to below 18 pts.
Patsies or nothing ???
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Arizona
St. Louis -9.5 48?o/u I see 10s
Bulgers back & threw for 300+ yds @ Seattle (only 1 TD)
STL is on a 6-15 ATS slide & is only 3-12 ATS as DD chalk vs. opponent seeking revenge
Ever so small tilt towards the 'Cards +10
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Tampa Bay
Atlanta -6.0 38o/u
Simms "the Hero" impressed me LW comeback win vs. the 'Skins (279 PYS, No Picks, 3 TDs)
But the Bucs stop here cause they can't run the ball (43, 44, & 61 RYS in the past 3 games)
Not the case for the angry Falcons who lead the NFL in running. (more than 100 RYs in all 9 games)
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS as a HF in this series as well as an 11-2 ATS play as a HF of more than 3 pts
Tampa is 4-15 away off a SU win of less than 7 pts
Lean to Atlanta -6 here
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Oakland
Washington -6.0 42o/u
The chalk is 12-2 ATS in Raiders games, while the 'Skins are 6-1 ATS at home of late
Not interested here
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Detroit
Dallas
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Philly
New York-N
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Miami
Cleveland -2.5 36o/u
Peee-u.
Stinker.
Passing like gas
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Seattle -12.5 42?o/u
San Fran.
49ers 32nd ranked "D" vs. Seahawks #1 rated "O" ??
Seattle would be the play
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Buffalo
San Diego -10.0 42?o/u
--BUF-QB-Holcomb-Questionable
Checking the Bills last 2 games 24 FDS & 394 yds in the loss to the Patsies but just 9 FDs & 209 yds in the win over my beloved Chiefs.
Losman had better be at his best cause the Chargers are on a 16-5-2 spread run (just 9 pts from 23-2)
Buffalo's 31st rated Rush "D" & the long trip across the country convinced me to take the Chargers
Played San Diego -10
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New York-A
Denver -13.0 40o/u
6 Jet TOs in thier loss to the Panthers including Bollingers 4 INTs.
Check Broncos 1,319 - 536 RY edge in thier past 7 games & Plummers 193 passes w/o an INT and one would think that Denver would be the play here. Quite possible but note Denver is just 2-10 ATS as a chalk of more than 7 pts & 0-7 ATS at home before 2 RGS.
Not yet interested
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Pittsburgh
Baltimore
GAME OFF BOARD:
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable
PIT-QB-Batch-expected to miss
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Kansas City -6.5 43?o/u
Houston
--KC-RB-Holmes-OUT
Second Sunday Nighter for the Texans who were bombed 42-10 at Seattle last month.
Houston has lost by 20, 14 & 18 pts in 3 of thier HGs so far. Plus they rank 32nd in the NFL at stopping the run.
Texans on a mini 3-0 ATS run but only covering by 1, 6.5 & 3.5 pts.
Chiefs have 6 killers on deck & won't let this one get away.
Played KC -6.5 <----Homer :nooo:
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Minnesota
Green Bay -3.5 45o/u
Visitor is on a 21-9-1 spread run in Packer tilts but can't ignore Minnys 33-9 ppg road deficit before the FLUKE win over the G-Men.
Vikings are 2-13 ATS away vs. losing teams
Packers are 16-9 ATS at home vs. a foe off a pair of victories
Played Green Bay -3.5
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Played (3) Early Favorites before the lines start jumping.
Carolina -3.0 34?o/u
Chicago
--CHI-RBs-Benson-Doubtful, Jones-Questionable
Da Bears have won 5 straight & are 18-5 ATS in Nov when facing a winning opponent
Panthers are 1st in the league vs. the run & covered their last RG by 18.5 pts & are 9-1 ATS off holding foes below 7 pts.
I'd give a slight edge to the Home Pup here
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Jacksonville -4.0 39o/u
Tennessee
Even with the Jags scoring 30 pts vs. the Ravens giving a well rested Titans team more than a FG @ home, is tempting.
Tennessee is 10-4 ATS in this series
Jacksonville is 6-18 off a pair of SU wins
Another slight edge to the Home Pup
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Indianapolis -5.5 47?o/u
Cincinnati
Bengals with their best start in 17 years & with the leagues 2nd best passer, are fresh off a bye (which may not be a good thing * see below). They are going to need it vs. this Colts team.
Colts are 6-0 ATS on series road & 7-1 ATS in Nov off a pair of wins & covers
*Bengals are 1-7 ATS off a bye
The visitor has covered 14-2-1 in Cincy games of late
Lean Indy -5 or 5.5
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New Orleans
New England -10.0 45?o/u
The bad news is that the Patsies can't run the ball (28th), & are ranked 31st on "D".
The good news is that they are playing the Saints & are 10-1 ATS in Nov, 32-9 ATS as non-division HFs & also 15-3 @ home after holding a foe to below 18 pts.
Patsies or nothing ???
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Arizona
St. Louis -9.5 48?o/u I see 10s
Bulgers back & threw for 300+ yds @ Seattle (only 1 TD)
STL is on a 6-15 ATS slide & is only 3-12 ATS as DD chalk vs. opponent seeking revenge
Ever so small tilt towards the 'Cards +10
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Tampa Bay
Atlanta -6.0 38o/u
Simms "the Hero" impressed me LW comeback win vs. the 'Skins (279 PYS, No Picks, 3 TDs)
But the Bucs stop here cause they can't run the ball (43, 44, & 61 RYS in the past 3 games)
Not the case for the angry Falcons who lead the NFL in running. (more than 100 RYs in all 9 games)
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS as a HF in this series as well as an 11-2 ATS play as a HF of more than 3 pts
Tampa is 4-15 away off a SU win of less than 7 pts
Lean to Atlanta -6 here
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Oakland
Washington -6.0 42o/u
The chalk is 12-2 ATS in Raiders games, while the 'Skins are 6-1 ATS at home of late
Not interested here
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Detroit
Dallas
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Philly
New York-N
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Miami
Cleveland -2.5 36o/u
Peee-u.
Stinker.
Passing like gas
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Seattle -12.5 42?o/u
San Fran.
49ers 32nd ranked "D" vs. Seahawks #1 rated "O" ??
Seattle would be the play
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Buffalo
San Diego -10.0 42?o/u
--BUF-QB-Holcomb-Questionable
Checking the Bills last 2 games 24 FDS & 394 yds in the loss to the Patsies but just 9 FDs & 209 yds in the win over my beloved Chiefs.
Losman had better be at his best cause the Chargers are on a 16-5-2 spread run (just 9 pts from 23-2)
Buffalo's 31st rated Rush "D" & the long trip across the country convinced me to take the Chargers
Played San Diego -10
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New York-A
Denver -13.0 40o/u
6 Jet TOs in thier loss to the Panthers including Bollingers 4 INTs.
Check Broncos 1,319 - 536 RY edge in thier past 7 games & Plummers 193 passes w/o an INT and one would think that Denver would be the play here. Quite possible but note Denver is just 2-10 ATS as a chalk of more than 7 pts & 0-7 ATS at home before 2 RGS.
Not yet interested
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Pittsburgh
Baltimore
GAME OFF BOARD:
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger-Questionable
PIT-QB-Batch-expected to miss
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Kansas City -6.5 43?o/u
Houston
--KC-RB-Holmes-OUT
Second Sunday Nighter for the Texans who were bombed 42-10 at Seattle last month.
Houston has lost by 20, 14 & 18 pts in 3 of thier HGs so far. Plus they rank 32nd in the NFL at stopping the run.
Texans on a mini 3-0 ATS run but only covering by 1, 6.5 & 3.5 pts.
Chiefs have 6 killers on deck & won't let this one get away.
Played KC -6.5 <----Homer :nooo:
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Minnesota
Green Bay -3.5 45o/u
Visitor is on a 21-9-1 spread run in Packer tilts but can't ignore Minnys 33-9 ppg road deficit before the FLUKE win over the G-Men.
Vikings are 2-13 ATS away vs. losing teams
Packers are 16-9 ATS at home vs. a foe off a pair of victories
Played Green Bay -3.5
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Last edited:
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