WEEK 11 INFO
WEEK 11 INFO
Week 11 NFL schedule
Chargers (5-4) @ Jaguars (6-3)?San Diego is +13 in turnovers last five games (13 INTs), with four special teams TDs in last three games, but their passing game has gained just 4.3/3.3 ypa in last two games, as Rivers looked lost. In last three games, Bolts gained 237-229-177 total yards, and have just two offensive TDs on 23 drives (11 3/outs) in last two games; they?re 1-3 on road, routing Denver, but giving up 38-31-35 points in three losses. Jaguars are home for first time in four weeks; they?re 2-2 at Alltel- four of their last five games went over total. Chargers are 5-0 allowing less than 31 points. Would be very concerned about Charger offense.
Chiefs (4-5) @ Colts (7-2)?Indy lost last two games, now has major injury issues, with Harrison, Freeney, Clark all banged up; they allowed 24-23 points in losing last two games, after not allowing more than 20 in any of seven wins- they?re 3-1 at home, with wins by 41-10/38-20/33-14 scores. Chiefs are 0-2 since bye, losing by 11,16, allowing 30 peg; they didn?t have first down in first half of playoff loss here LY; they?re without QB Huard, star RB Johnson here, as Alabama alum Croyle makes first NFL start. KC is 2-2 on road, 3-1 as road dog. All four Indy games since its bye stayed under the total.
Raiders (2-7) @ Vikings (3-6)? Star rookie RB Peterson is out (knee) so Viking passing game (less than six yards per attempt in seven of last eight games) will need to produce, but they have started three different QB?s in last three games, so hard to have any continuity there. Oakland is 0-5 since its bye, with losses by 14-2-4-7-11 points; they?re 1-3 on road, 3-1 as road dog, with losses by 3-14-4 points. This is their only game all season on artificial turf. Vikings are 2-2 at home; this is first time they?ve been favored since Week 1, when they beat Falcons 24-3 (-3). Under is 4-0-1 in last five Raider games, but last three games at Metrodome went over.
Browns (5-4) @ Ravens (4-5)?Baltimore is back to Boller at QB, in midst of three-game skid (three TDs on 35 drives, 10 turnovers in last two games); they lost at home for first time in four tries last week. Ravens ran ball 32 times in last two games, with 73 dropbacks, too much passing for them. In their last 18 trips to red zone, Ravens have four TDs, which is awful. Browns scored 27+ points in each of last four games, behind Raven reject Anderson; they?re just 1-3 on road, beating the 1-8 Rams, allowing 27.8 ppg. Cleveland is 3-0 vs spread when favored this season. Five of last six Raven games stayed under total, but over is 8-1 in Cleveland games.
Steelers (7-2) @ Jets (1-8)?Indy?s recent struggles put #2 seed in AFC within reach for Steelers, so they can?t afford slip-up here vs Jet squad that last won in Week 3. Pitt is 2-2 on road, 6-3 vs spread as favorite; they scored 30.3 pg in four games since its bye. Jets lost last six games (1-5 vs spread); bye week gave new starting QB Clemens time to work. Last four Jet losses are by 7-7-10-3 points- they were 11-18 on 3rd down in Clemens? first start, after being 10-37 in previous three, so Clemens can make plays. In last five games, Steelers outrushed opponents by total of 691-323- they need to avoid letdown, after beating three divisional rivals in last three games, with Monday nighter up next.
Buccaneers (5-4) @ Falcons (3-6)?Tampa allowed 20-33-23-24 points in its losses, 14 or less in its wins; they?re 1-3 on road, winning only at Carolina. Bucs are 0-4 when they don?t win turnover battle, 5-0 when they do. Falcons scored more than 20 in only one ?07 game, although they did get 20 in last two games since bye, both wins. They allowed 14.5 pg in last two games, but opposing QB?s were Smith, Testaverde, so hard to get too excited, although win is a win. Bucs ran ball for 124-136-162 yards in last three games; they were +10/+14 in field position last two games. Last five Atlanta games, and five of last seven Tampa games stayed under total.
Cardinals (4-5) @ Bengals (3-6)?Arizona is 4-1 when it scores more than 21 points, 0-4 when it does not; Bengals allowed 24+ points in seven of last eight games, shutting down inept Ravens last week- they are 2-2 at home, allowing average of 27.3 pg. Cardinals are 1-4 on road, with losses by 3-3-2-7 points (4-1-1 as underdog, 2-1-1 on road). Bengals were +4/+1/+6 in turnovers in their three wins; they haven?t won a game without winning TO margin. Cards turned ball over 2+ times in each of last six games (-8 in last four games). Cincy is 2-3 as a favorite this season. NFC teams won six of last eight vs AFC, cutting season lead to 20-19.
Dolphins (0-9) @ Eagles (4-5)?Winless Miami gives BYU rookie Beck his first NFL vs blitzing Eagle defense that allowed 38-25 points last two weeks, after giving up 16.7 pg over first seven games of season. Fish may be 0-9, but they?ve lost five games by a FG, and are 2-1-2 vs spread as road dog. Eagles are 2-3 at home, losing last two there; they?ve only won field position battle twice this year, and both times it was by single yard, but Miami has lost FP by 13-20-17 yards last three weeks. Philly is 0-3 this season in game following a win; they?re 2-4 vs spread as favorite. Over last four games, Miami was outscored 82-20 in first half.
Patriots (9-0) @ Bills (5-4)?Buffalo is 4-0 since its bye, allowing 12 pg; they?re 4-2 at home, with pair of one-point losses (Denver/ Dallas); they?ve only lost field position battle in one game, but that was 38-7 loss at Foxboro in Week 3, when Pats outgained them 485-193, averaging 10.2 ypa, while Bills averaged just 2.8. NE scored 17 points on its four drives that started in Buffalo territory, while Bills went 3/out on six of 10 drives. Patriots come off bye; they?re 4-0 on orad, winning by 24-21-21- 21-4 points; seven of their nine games went over total. Bills won last four games that stayed under, but are 1-2 if games goes over total- they?re sticking with Losman as starting QB.
Redskins (5-4) @ Cowboys (8-1)?Dallas won last three games, by 10-21-11 points, scoring 31 pg; they?re 3-0 as home favorite this season, winning 45-35/35-7/24-14- seven of their nine games went over total, as did last four Redskin games. In their nine wins, Pokes outscored foes 170-60 in 2nd half (outscored 27-10 in second half by Patriots, their only loss). Redskins are 2-2 on road, losing 17-14 at Lambeau, 52-7 at Foxboro; they?ve been outscored 80-41 in second half of last five games. Redskins are
3-0 SU in game following loss this season, 1-1-1 vs spread as the dog. Redskin rush defense allowed 152-124-139 yards in their last three games.
Saints (4-5) @ Texans (4-5)- NO had won four in row before Rams ambushed them in Superdome last week; Bulger was 28-34/276 against Saints, not sure Texans can match that production (12+ IP?s in five of last six games). Saints beat Seattle, 49ers in last two road games- they averaged over seven yards per pass attempt in last three games. Texans are 2-2 at home; they?re 4-1 when allowing 21 or less points, 0-4 when they allow 26+. Saints scored 31-41-29 in last three weeks, and outsacked opponents 17-2 over last six. Saints played last six weeks in row; Texans are coming off their bye week. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Houston games, 4-1 in Saints? last five.
Panthers (4-5) @ Packers (8-1)?Green Bay won last four games, allowing 12.5 pg; they scored 67 points in last two games (six TD?s, seven FGA on 20 drives); their four home wins are by 3-7-3-34 points. Carolina has Vinny, Carr back at QB; they?re 0-3 since bye, scoring 9 pg, losing by 24-13-7 points. Panthers averaged 5.1 ypa or less in seven or less eight games, were outscored 41-10 in second half of last three games. Underrated Packer defense allowed only one of last eight opponents to run ball for 95+ yards- their last five foes are combined 12 for last 57 (21.1%) on third down. Last six Carolina games stayed under, as did three of last four Packer tilts.
Giants (6-3) @ Lions (6-3)?If playoffs started now, these would be two NFC wild cards, so big game in playoff positioning; Detroit has 29 takeaways in nine games, but are only +7, since March Madness doesn?t exactly stress ball security (five TO?s at Arizona last week). Lions lost field position battle in last six games; they?re 1-3 if they don?t win turnover battle. Giants had six-game win streak ended by Dallas last week; they won last three away games, allowing 12.3 pg, but averaged just 3.7/4.5/5.0 ypa in last three games overall. Detroit is 4-0 at home, scoring 31.8 pg- they somehow had -18 rushing yards last week, which isn?t easy to do in NFL.
Rams (1-8) @ 49ers (2-7)?St Louis is road favorite despite winning first game in Week 10, that?s how awful 49ers are. SF won first meeting 17-16, despite being outgained 392-186; Rams lost three fumbles in game, lost field position battle by 14 yards. Niners are on short week, with funeral of coach Nolan?s dad mixed in; they scored two TD?s on 36 drives in last three games, and scored just two TDs on last 26 drives at home. Rams came off bye and upset Saints in Superdome; Bulger was 28-34/276 in air. Despite records, thinking St Louis is in way better shape mentally at this point, especially with 49ers coming off MNF disaster- they?re four for last 25 on third down.
Bears (4-5) @ Seahawks (5-4)? Chicago?s QB situation is totally screwed up; they scored three TD?s on last 32 drives, but big one was 61-yard pass to Berrian that beat Raiders and kept Bears alive in race for playoffs. Chicago is 0-3 in game following a win; they?re 4-2 when allowing 20 or less points, 0-3 otherwise, and scored just pair of field goals in first half of last three games. Seattle is 1-3 after win; they had easy win on Monday, no travel, so it shouldn?t be too much of an issue. Bears been held under 100 rushing yards in each of last seven games. Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under total, as did Chicago?s last three contests.
Titans (6-3) @ Broncos (5-4)?Tennessee is 3-1 on road, losing only by FG at Tampa; three of their four road games were decided by three or less points- they had three-game win streak snapped by jags last week, as Jax outrushed Titans 166-62. Denver won for just second time in seven games at KC last week; they?re 2-3 at home, with both wins by FG. Bronco offense can?t carry team, scoring just three FGs on last 20 drives that started 80+ yards from goal line. Titans turned ball over seven times in last two games- they?re 4-1 if they turn it over less than three times. Under is 6-2-1 in Tennessee games, but seven of last eight Denver games went over.
