The last regular week of NFL action =A sad day for Se?or Capper.
Lots of work to be done here, so I will just post the Current Lines & Playoff scenarios, then edit as time permits.
===================
SATURDAYS ACTION:
Denver
San Diego -9.0 -- 44o/u
- DEN-Clinched #2 seed in AFC
- SD-OUT of playoff contention
Denver is 24-11 ATS as a dog, on a 11-3-3 ATS Divsion run & 10-2 Division pup of more than 1 pt.
Marty already stated that Rivers won't play at all this week.
The question here is whether Plummer, Bailey etc..
will sit. Thinkimg that they will....
Lean Chargers -9
-------------------------
New York-N -8.0 -- 43o/u
Oakland
- NYG-Need win for NFC East title and First Rd home game.
- OAK-OUT of playoff contention
- OAK-RB-Jordan-Doubtful
No brainer here as the Faders, who have lost 5 straight, have averaged a putrid 7.5 ppg in their last 4 outings.
Add the fact that the Faders are the worst finishers in the NFL 3-15 ATS in Home Closures & 6-15 as December hosts
Coughlin is 13-2 ATS off division game
Lean G-men -8
=================
SUNDAYS ACTION:
Arizona
Indianapolis -6.0 -- 44o/u
- ARZ-OUT of playoff contention
- IND-have clinched AFC South, the #1 seed and home field throughout
- IND-WR-Harrison-Doubtful
The straight-up winner is now 14-0-1 in Az games
Played Colts -6
--------------------------
Baltimore -3.0 -- 37o/u
Cleveland
* TOTAL CIRCLED: possible inclement weather
- Both teams are out of playoff contention
Defensive Showdown
Lean Brownie points (3)
----------------------------
Buffalo -2.0 -- 35o/u
New York-A
* TOTAL CIRCLED: possible inclement weather
- Both teams are out of playoff contention
JETS are 10-2 ATS off Monday Nighters & a perfect 6-0 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division HGs
Lean Vinny & the JETS +2
-----------------------------
Carolina -3.5 -- 42o/u
Atlanta
- CAR-Needs win to clinch playoff spot
- ATL-OUT of playoff contention
Carolina is on a 14-4-1 ATS road run & are 19-7 ATS off a SU loss as a chalk
Played Panthers -3.5
-------------------------------
Chicago
Minnesota -3.0 -- 35o/u
- CHI-Clinched NFC North and 1st Rd BYE
- MIN-OUT of playoff contention
Da Bears are 3-12 ATS in road finales & 3-9 ATS away into revenge
Vikes counter with a solid 11-4 ATS play in home finales & a superb 14-1 ATS as avenging HDs
Lean Vikings -3
------------------------------
Cincinnati
Kansas City -7.0 -- 46o/u
***GAME OFF BOARD:
- CIN-QB-Palmer-Questionable
- CIN-Clinched AFC North and First Rd home game
can earn #3 seed with a win or a New England loss
- KC-Needs a win, a Pittsburgh loss and a San Diego loss
------------------------------
Detroit
Pittsburgh -14.0 -- 35?o/u
* TOTAL CIRCLED: possible inclement weather
- DET-OUT of playoff contention
- PIT-Need a win, or a Kansas City loss or a San Diego win to get playoff spot
Pitt is 12-2 ATS favorite in their home finale & 13-4 ATS home off win of more than 13 pts
One would be acting the fool to play the Lions in this spot & I aint no fool
Lean Steelers -14 or Nutt'in honey
------------------------------
Miami
New England -5.5 -- 37o/u (NL)
- MIA-OUT of playoff contention
- NE-Clinched AFC East Division and First Rd home game.
Need to win last two games and have a Cincinnati loss to earn #3 seed in AFC
---------------------------------
New Orleans
Tampa Bay -14.0 -- 37?o/u
- NO-OUT of playoff contention
- TB-Needs win to clinch NFC South and First Rd home game
Again can't back a bad team in this situation.
Lean Bucs -14
----------------------------------
Houston -1.0 -- 38o/u
San Fran.
- Both teams are out of playoff contention
A must-see affair here.
Not worth my while
----------------------------------
Tennessee
Jacksonville -3.5 -- 38o/u
- TEN-QB-McNair-Questionable
- TEN-OUT of playoff contention
- JAC-QB-Leftwich-May return
- JAC-Have clinched #5 seed in AFC, will play a First Rd road game
Titans are 11-2 ATS in their season finales
A mild upset ?
Lean Titans +3.5
-----------------------------------
Seattle
Green Bay -3.0 -- 40?o/u
* TOTAL CIRCLED- possible inclement weather
- SEA-Have clinched NFC West, #1 seed in NFC and will have homefield throughout
Seahags are a solid 8-1 ATS in road finales
Lean Seahags +3
---------------------------------
Washington -7.0 37o/u
Phila.
***GAME OFF BOARD:
- WAS-QB-Brunell-Questionable
- WAS-Needs win to clinch a playoff spot
- PHI-OUT of playoff contention
-----------------------------------
St. Louis
Dallas -12.5 -- 43?o/u
- STL-OUT of playoff contention
- DAL-Needs a win and a loss by either Carolina or Washington
Dallas is too streaky for me so...
I'm not interested in this one
=============
NFC
AFC -10 -- 49o/u
SUPER BOWL XL
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
=============
Lots of work to be done here, so I will just post the Current Lines & Playoff scenarios, then edit as time permits.
===================
SATURDAYS ACTION:
Denver
San Diego -9.0 -- 44o/u
- DEN-Clinched #2 seed in AFC
- SD-OUT of playoff contention
Denver is 24-11 ATS as a dog, on a 11-3-3 ATS Divsion run & 10-2 Division pup of more than 1 pt.
Marty already stated that Rivers won't play at all this week.
The question here is whether Plummer, Bailey etc..
will sit. Thinkimg that they will....
Lean Chargers -9
-------------------------
New York-N -8.0 -- 43o/u
Oakland
- NYG-Need win for NFC East title and First Rd home game.
- OAK-OUT of playoff contention
- OAK-RB-Jordan-Doubtful
No brainer here as the Faders, who have lost 5 straight, have averaged a putrid 7.5 ppg in their last 4 outings.
Add the fact that the Faders are the worst finishers in the NFL 3-15 ATS in Home Closures & 6-15 as December hosts
Coughlin is 13-2 ATS off division game
Lean G-men -8
=================
SUNDAYS ACTION:
Arizona
Indianapolis -6.0 -- 44o/u
- ARZ-OUT of playoff contention
- IND-have clinched AFC South, the #1 seed and home field throughout
- IND-WR-Harrison-Doubtful
The straight-up winner is now 14-0-1 in Az games
Played Colts -6
--------------------------
Baltimore -3.0 -- 37o/u
Cleveland
* TOTAL CIRCLED: possible inclement weather
- Both teams are out of playoff contention
Defensive Showdown
Lean Brownie points (3)
----------------------------
Buffalo -2.0 -- 35o/u
New York-A
* TOTAL CIRCLED: possible inclement weather
- Both teams are out of playoff contention
JETS are 10-2 ATS off Monday Nighters & a perfect 6-0 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division HGs
Lean Vinny & the JETS +2
-----------------------------
Carolina -3.5 -- 42o/u
Atlanta
- CAR-Needs win to clinch playoff spot
- ATL-OUT of playoff contention
Carolina is on a 14-4-1 ATS road run & are 19-7 ATS off a SU loss as a chalk
Played Panthers -3.5
-------------------------------
Chicago
Minnesota -3.0 -- 35o/u
- CHI-Clinched NFC North and 1st Rd BYE
- MIN-OUT of playoff contention
Da Bears are 3-12 ATS in road finales & 3-9 ATS away into revenge
Vikes counter with a solid 11-4 ATS play in home finales & a superb 14-1 ATS as avenging HDs
Lean Vikings -3
------------------------------
Cincinnati
Kansas City -7.0 -- 46o/u
***GAME OFF BOARD:
- CIN-QB-Palmer-Questionable
- CIN-Clinched AFC North and First Rd home game
can earn #3 seed with a win or a New England loss
- KC-Needs a win, a Pittsburgh loss and a San Diego loss
------------------------------
Detroit
Pittsburgh -14.0 -- 35?o/u
* TOTAL CIRCLED: possible inclement weather
- DET-OUT of playoff contention
- PIT-Need a win, or a Kansas City loss or a San Diego win to get playoff spot
Pitt is 12-2 ATS favorite in their home finale & 13-4 ATS home off win of more than 13 pts
One would be acting the fool to play the Lions in this spot & I aint no fool
Lean Steelers -14 or Nutt'in honey
------------------------------
Miami
New England -5.5 -- 37o/u (NL)
- MIA-OUT of playoff contention
- NE-Clinched AFC East Division and First Rd home game.
Need to win last two games and have a Cincinnati loss to earn #3 seed in AFC
---------------------------------
New Orleans
Tampa Bay -14.0 -- 37?o/u
- NO-OUT of playoff contention
- TB-Needs win to clinch NFC South and First Rd home game
Again can't back a bad team in this situation.
Lean Bucs -14
----------------------------------
Houston -1.0 -- 38o/u
San Fran.
- Both teams are out of playoff contention
A must-see affair here.
Not worth my while
----------------------------------
Tennessee
Jacksonville -3.5 -- 38o/u
- TEN-QB-McNair-Questionable
- TEN-OUT of playoff contention
- JAC-QB-Leftwich-May return
- JAC-Have clinched #5 seed in AFC, will play a First Rd road game
Titans are 11-2 ATS in their season finales
A mild upset ?
Lean Titans +3.5
-----------------------------------
Seattle
Green Bay -3.0 -- 40?o/u
* TOTAL CIRCLED- possible inclement weather
- SEA-Have clinched NFC West, #1 seed in NFC and will have homefield throughout
Seahags are a solid 8-1 ATS in road finales
Lean Seahags +3
---------------------------------
Washington -7.0 37o/u
Phila.
***GAME OFF BOARD:
- WAS-QB-Brunell-Questionable
- WAS-Needs win to clinch a playoff spot
- PHI-OUT of playoff contention
-----------------------------------
St. Louis
Dallas -12.5 -- 43?o/u
- STL-OUT of playoff contention
- DAL-Needs a win and a loss by either Carolina or Washington
Dallas is too streaky for me so...
I'm not interested in this one
=============
NFC
AFC -10 -- 49o/u
SUPER BOWL XL
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
=============
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