Se?or Cappers Week 17

[Senor Capper]

What week do I hate more than 16 ?
This week !!!!




San Fran.
New England -14.0 39?o/u

New England Clinched #2 seed in AFC
SF-QB-Rattay-OUT, QB-Dorsey-Probable

===============

Pittsburgh
Buffalo -8.0 33?o/u



GAME OFF BOARD:
Pittsburgh Clinched #1 seed in AFC
PIT-QB-Roethlisberger, RB-Staley-Questionable
Buffalo needs win for possible Wild Card Berth

Bills -8 !!!

===============



Miami
Baltimore -9 34?o/u

Baltimore has outside Wild Card chance w/win

Ravens -9

=================


Minnesota -4.5 41o/u
Washington

Minnesota Wild Card affected by St Louis outcome Monday night
WAS-RB-Portis-Doubtful

Lean Wash

=================



Cincinnatti -3.0 41o/u
Phila.

Philadlephia plays Monday night
Philadelphia Clinched #1 seed in NFC
CIN-QB-Palmer-Questionable

==================


Green Bay
Chicago -3.0 35o/u


GAME OFF BOARD:
Green Bay may rest multiple starters
Green Bay Clinched #3 seed in NFC

==================



New Orleans
Carolina -7.5 46o/u


New Orleans has outside chance of Wild Card w/win
Carolina earns Wild Card w/win

Lean Panthers

================


Detroit -2.5 45o/u
Tennessee

TEN-QB-Volek-Upgraded to probable, QB-McNair, RB-Brown-OUT

Lean Lions

==================


New York-A -3.0 43o/u
St. Louis

GAME OFF BOARD:
St Louis plays on Monday
NY Jets clinch Wild Card w/win

===================



Cleveland
Houston -11.0 39o/u

CLE-QB-Holcomb-Questionable

===================


Tampa Bay
Arizona -2.5 39o/u

TB-QB-Griese-Questionable, QB-Simms-May start

LVSC Money Line: Tampa Bay (+115), Arizona (-135)

Cardinals -2.5

==================

Atlanta
Seattle -4.5 43o/u


Atlanta Clinched #2 seed in NFC
Seattle affected by St Louis outcome on Monday Night
ATL-QB-Vick-Questionable (Limited action at best)

Strong lean Seahawks -4.5
===================



Indianapolis
Denver -8.5 47o/u



Indianapolis Clinched #3 seed in AFC
Denver wins Wild Card w/win or Buffalo loss
Take down at start of Buffalo game.

Broncos -8.5

====================


Jacksonville -1.5
Oakland

GAME OFF BOARD:
JAC-QB-Leftwich-Questionable, RB-Taylor-Very Questionable
Jacksonville has outside chance of Wild Card berth

====================


Kansas City -3.0 55o/u
San Diego

San Diego Clinched #4 seed in AFC

===================


Dallas
New York-N -2.5 37?o/u

 

[bombercoops]

Like the three early leans SC! Looking forward to seeing the buff line!

 

[hogman14]

Buff 9/34
Stardust moved it to 7, while others stay put at 9....

 

[winw]

I like the Panthers even at 7.5.
I think they have been one of the most consistent
teams in December.

 

[Kdogg21]

liked carolina as well, but now at 8.5

 

[Senor Capper]

As far as Indy goes...
I believe they want to lose this game because they don't want Buffalo to make the playoffs. Indy knows they can handle Denver now & later on.
Just a thought.

Buffalo & Denver should cover easily

 

[ELVIS]

senor, happy to see your chefs eaked that one out last week. i had a rather large ml bet on the game. gl this week - i think this week is terrible. jmo.

 

[GM]

Carolina earns Wild Card w/win

Not quite, but they do need the win. Along with a win, they need a Minnesota or St Louis loss, or a win by Seattle, and they are in.

 

[bombercoops]

Would like to see the panthers and bills make it to the post season as I think they could cause some major headaches for the big teams. They have both been as hot as anyone of late and with a bit of luck, will hopefully earn a playoff spot. Should be an interesting month of playoffs this year.

 

[Baller]

So what we got so far from you is not the posted play yet, right? But I'm with you on the Bills & Ari. Good luck this week!! Looking forward to your six pack & Nsane

 

[Senor Capper]

BILLS
CARDS
BRONCOS
are posted plays :yup

 

[Senor Capper]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Arizona Cardinals -3

I could swear that Tampa Bay opened up as the favorite. Hmm oh well.

Tampa Bay is 0-7 ATS on the non-division road. They have been on a downward slide of late. Losing efforts as a host the last 2 out of 3 games by 12 & 20 pts ATS. They may very well be without Griese in this affair & their rushing "D" has allowed 100+ yards in 7 out of 8 games. Things appear bleak for the Bucs.

Arizona as a host has been a moneymaker for Se?or Capper & have only allowed 12.5 ppg in 5 of their last 6 HGs & covered their last hoster by 27 points!

Nsane Play....

Arizona Cardinals -3

 

[Senor Capper]

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills -8


Steelers playoff road is paved with home field throughout. Who would have thought them setting a club record 13 straight wins (10-3 ATS) but check topping 20 points in 1 of their last 6 games. Obviously they're going to rest their starters. Hence the rather large number.

Bills are smoking w/ 6 straight wins by an average score of 38-15 covering all 6 by 12, 34, 6.5, 18.5, 13.5 & 23 points. Check 220 running yards vs. the hapless 49ers. Buffalo earns themsleves a playoff spot w/ a Denver loss later ib the day. Bills do their part, then Indy lays down (on purpose) & Denver lays it on thick.


Buffalo Bills -8

 

[spanky2]

SENOR, How is every little thing ???
Thought I would fill you in on your thoughts regarding Cards/ Bucs.
I got Cards "opening " as a 1 point 'chalk', now I got it at 3 as well as you..
Good luck ALL....Spanky....

 

[Senor Capper]

Just fine & dandy Spanky

We should be safe if 'Zona can muster up at least 20 because I have my doubts if TB will score more than 13.
heyes

 

[CrazyHorse]

love your leans and plays!..gl this weekend.

only 1 lean i feel opposite about is Baltimore..think Miami is closing out the season strong and will want one more win to gain momentum going into next yr. I don't buy the adage about late season momentum carrying into the following season but the fins are the one team that needs any wins/momentum they can get in the worst way, esp to close our the year with 3 straight wins after the last 6 months they have had..plus they still have a solid defense and BAL is pretty weak on offense. Also with all the teams Baltimore needs to lose to have a chance at a wild card I'm not sure they don't really believe the season is over. That may be reaching but I think the fins + the pts look good here. Regardless I appreciaiate ur solid info and picks and hope you do well this weekend as i am on a few of ur picks on sunday.. Hope you continue your great run thru the playoffs.

 

[Senor Capper]

CrazyHorse
Getting them -9, I believe, was a gift. However the line is currently 11 or even 12 at some places. hard to recommend that but then again I would'nt take Miami with your money.
A 14-21 point victory would'nt surprise me in the least bit.

Best of luck
SC

 

[Senor Capper]

Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens -9

True the Ravens are on the outside looking in, as they have dropped 4 of their last 5. They've been a road disaster scoring just 3, 10 & 7 points in their last 3 guest appearences. However this week they play in the comforts of M&T Bank Stadium where they have run for 180 ypg in their last 2 hosters.

Baltimore feasts off this type of opponent , with a 31-11 ATS record vs. losing outfits & they play their best ball off Pittsburgh (7-1 ATS)

Another pair of interesting stats show them 16-1 ATS as non-division HFs & 13-5 ATS as December hosts.

The Fins are certainly improved but they're a lowly 2-14 ATS in road closures & are the owners of the 31st ranked "O" in the NFL.

Nsane Play......

Baltimore Ravens -9

 

[Senor Capper]

Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans -9.5



Last week @ Miami the Brownies showed the world that they've given up for the season. Nothing up their sleeves ? No fake punts ? No going for it on 4th and 1 ? Unreal.
Gotta expect the same this weekend @ Houston.
At least the Brownies snapped their 0-7 spread slide w/ their tight loss to Miami with their only score coming on a 59-yd pass.


This is a no-brainer. One team can score the other one can't & with the Texans only allowing 2.5 ppg, 9 FD pg & 165 yards pg in their last 2 contest (both on the road) that punchless trend of Cleveland should continue here.


Brownies are 7-14 ATS off road loss of less than 4-pts & wind up on a horrid 0-9 SU run.


Houston Texans -9.5

 

[Senor Capper]

Dang 4 posted favorites. Only dogs to catch my eye is the 'Skins +4.5 & maybe the "Money Train" SD + 3.5.