Se?or Cappers Week 8

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
EARLY GAMES:


Washington
New York-N -2.5 42o/u

G-men covered their 1st 3 HGs by 20, 13.5, & 17 pts, before 1-pt setback vs the Broncos.

The pup in this series is a nice 8-2 ATS
The pup in Washington games of late are a decent 19-8 ATS.

NY checks in with its 6-12 ATS log as Division HFS.

Early lean on Da 'Skins
indian_chief.gif


------------------

Green Bay
Cincinnati -8.0 46o/u

GB-WR-Ferguson-Doubtful, RB-Green-OUT
GB-RB-Fisher-Expected to start

Cincy has a hard time stopping the run.
Not a problem here with GB ranking of 28th in League in overland production.

Sniffing for an Insane Play.
speechless-smiley-004.gif


------------------

Chicago
Detroit -3.0 32?o/u

Da Bears mauled the Lions in Week 2 to the tune of 28-6. Thanks in part to Harringtons 5 INTs.

Enter Garcia (329 yds LW) for the Revenge game.
Da Bears are 2-9 ATS on Da Road, facing an opponent w/ revenge.

Da Bears have only managed scoring 7,3,13,7,& 10 pts in their last 5 RGs.

Lean Lions
spudnikhalfback.gif



------------------

Minnesota
Carolina -7.5 44o/u
44o/u

Wouldn't bet Minny with BTJs money.

In my mind I'm leaning with Carolina

-----------------

Oakland
Tennessee

GAME OFF BOARD:
TN-QBs-McNair, Volek-Questionable

----------------

Arizona
Dallas -8.0 40o/u

DAL-RB-J.Jones-Questionable

The Boyz couldn't have asked for a better matchup here, HUGE bounceback game here for Dallas.

Cards have been outscored 79-21 on the road.

Boyz are 6-1 ATS play as a HF of late & 11-4 ATS at home vs an opponent off a SU win.

Da SU winner in Card games is 59-10 ATS (6-0 this year)

Played the Boyz who will be fired up!
SaiyanSmilie_anim.gif



-----------------

Cleveland
Houston -2.0 37?o/u

Brownies cost me dearly LW.
bur2.gif

Just how bad are these dudes? The mere fact that the winless Texans have been pegged as the chalk is a shining example as to the ineptitude of Cleveland.

Still Houston is 1-6 ATS vs AFC North teams.

Pass the Brownies & the Texans



---------------

Jacksonville
St. Louis

GAME OFF BOARD:
JAC-RB-Taylor-Probable
STL-QB-Bulger, WR-Holt-both Questionable

=============

LATE GAMES:

Miami
New Orleans -2.0 41o/u

Fins have an extra day to prepare for the Aints.

Saints come marching in & get the cover. Played
pop.gif


-----------------

Kansas City
San Diego -6.0 51o/u

Chargers are just 8 pts from a 21-2 ATS run.

Sd is 1.5 games behind KC which makes it a must for them, so my boys better be pumped for this one
kult.gif


----------------

Tampa Bay -11.0 37o/u
San Fran.


TB-RB-C. Williams-Questionable
SF-QB-Smith-Questionable


Another team I wouldn't put a dime on.

Tampa or nothing
costumed-smiley-056.gif


-----------------

Phila.
Denver -3.5 43o/u

I would love nothing more than the Broncos to
kngt.gif
here.


----------------

Buffalo
New England -8.0 44o/u

Da Bills have been busts on the road, losing by 12,16,& 21 pts away from home.

NE has outscored Buffalo 60-6 in the Bills last 2 trips to Foxboro.

Patsies are 9-2 ATS in division play of late & are a perfect 9-0 ATS as chalks vs a foe off a DD loss.

costumed-smiley-067.gif
Confucius say: New England SHOULD own here

---------------

MONDAY NIGHT

Baltimore
Pittsburgh -9.5 33o/u

BAL-LB-Lewis-Questionable
BAL-S-Reed-Doubtful

Lets see the chalk is 27-10 ATS in Raven games & this appears to be more of the same.

Steelers are 11-1 ATS as Monday Night hosts as well as 13-4 ATS at home off a win by at least 14 pts.

No tricks here. No treat either. So be a good neighbor & pass the treats out or :jerkit:


----------------
 
Last edited:

Dizzayton

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 8, 2001
1,747
6
0
They couldn't make the spread big enough for the Buffalo/NE game. HUGE mismatch.
 

BuffaloBill

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 15, 2004
1,119
3
38
Being that I am a huge Bills fan, I totally agree with Dizzayton here.

It seems like most people in this forum so far are saying that this line is inflated.

I am telling you that it is not inflated at all.

The Bills are a bad team.

They have no offensive line, they have no defense, and New England is coming off the bye and a loss to Denver.

Pats will roll in this game.

31-13 Pats.
 

Eternal

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 17, 2003
513
0
0
Massachusetts
As a staunch Pats fan, I don't think that this game will be that big of a blow out. The 'D' is very beat up.....

Offensive tackle Matt Light (ankle) -- out
Running back Kevin Faulk (foot) -- out
Cornerback Tyrone Poole (ankle) -- doubtful
Receiver Troy Brown (foot) ?- questionable
Running back Corey Dillon (ankle) ?- questionable
Cornerback Randall Gay (ankle) ?- questionable
Defensive lineman Jarvis Green (shoulder) ?- questionable
Defensive lineman Marquise Hill (ankle) ?- questionable
Linebacker/special teams ace Larry Izzo (thigh) ?- questionable
Outside linebacker Willie McGinest (finger) ?- questionable
Safety James Sanders (ankle) ?- questionable
Defensive lineman Richard Seymour (knee) ?- questionable
Cornerback Duane Starks (thigh) -- questionable

Add to that Rodney Harrison-ss, Guss Scott-ss, Tyrone Poole-cb, Chad Scott-cb are all on IR, and starting free safety Wilson reportedly has the flu. The Pats have literally been signing guys off the street (Mike Stone, Arturo Freeman, Hank Poteat) just to fill in roster spots. I think Pats win the game, but not so sure about the 9.5. If anything get them in a teaser that gets the number down to 3 or less.
 

BuffaloBill

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 15, 2004
1,119
3
38
Eternal,

Have you seen the Bills offense?

It is really bad.

The offensive line can't do anything.

I know the Pats are hurt, but no way do the Bills win this game.
 

Eternal

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 17, 2003
513
0
0
Massachusetts
I have not had a chance to see the Bills O, but I know that they are improved since Holcomb took over. Here's a few stats that can help you aprreciate how bad the Pats D is....

The Patriots allow more yards on first down than all but one team.

They are last in defending the red zone (15 touchdowns and four field goals in 19 opportunities).

They have intercepted the fewest passes in the league (one).

They are next-to-last in fumbles recovered (two) and tied for last in forced turnovers.

Of the league's 32 teams, New England's defense is 26th in yards allowed, 28th in yards allowed per play, 25th in rushing yards allowed, 30th in yards allowed per pass play, and 28th in points surrendered.

6.5 teaser: pats -2.5 over 37.5.....220/200
 

BuffaloBill

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 15, 2004
1,119
3
38
Eternal,

I know that the Pats D is bad, but I am basing this pick on things other than stats this week.

I just feel that it is a bad spot for the Bills to be in.

The Pats just lost to Denver, they are coming off a bye, they are at home, Bruschi is back, this game will be for the division lead, the Bills never win in Foxboro, the game is on Sunday night.......

I could go on all night, but I really just feel that the Bills get their asses kicked here.

Bills might put up some points, but Pats will put up more.

Stick with your teaser, and I think you have a winner.

Good luck.
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
Ended up playing............

NO -2


Washington +2.5 (unfortunately a popular pick) & OVER 42


Dallas -8


KC +6 (Insane Play of the Day) Going against the TOP 3 Vegas Bookies
speechless-smiley-004.gif




Best to all this weekend


SC
costumed-smiley-007.gif
 

Joe De

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 10, 2002
1,440
1
0
ooohhwwwweeee that insane play is way out there...glad you posted because i was gone to hammer San d.

think i'll re-think that play
 

thom24ad

UDFlyers
Forum Member
Sep 29, 2005
2,124
0
0
46
Columbus, OH
I am staying with Lem again this week, he didn't have the best week last week but I am sure he'll bounce back this week. Also taking Cincy and Dallas. good luck Senor, thx for the picks
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top