I'm sitting here thinking to myself... "Self don't you think your're due for a GREAT week?"
Well I hope I can answer that in a postive way, after the Monday Night game in Seattle. :mj09:
Kansas City Chiefs @ St. Louis Rams -2.5
KC-QB-Green-Out
How bout them Chefs ? Count 'em 30 FDs, & 500 yds in the win over those Seahawks. Oh ya How bout that backup QB? Huard is now 8/1 !!
The game wasn't as easy as it looks. Check 7 lead changes.
KC last RD was at Pit & we all know happened there. 45-7.
The Rams can't seem to stop the run (150 RYs 5 times) & ceded 34-30 pts in their last 2 HGs.
Oh ya How bout that QB Bulger who is 12/1!!
Chiefs are on a 3-13 ATS run when visiting the NFC & 2-7 ATS vs winning teams, on the road. Not good :nono:
Rams enter with a 13-4 ATS streak when hosting the AFC.
Tough Call. Think I'll just root for my beloved.
-------------------
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens -3.0
Ravens enter this game 1 up on Cincy in the AFC North. Bengals continue to struggle running the ball (outrushing 1 opponent since Week 2).
Palmer is looking decent at 11/4 for the season.
Cincy is still a moneymaker on the road, winning 2 of 3 so far. (the one loss: a controversial at 1-pt play at Tampa).
Plenty of reasons to back Jacks Ravens here....
Ravens are 12-3 ATS hosting Cincy & 14-3 ATS as a HF vs a foe off a SU chalk loss.
You would have to be a complete idiot to play the Bengals here. :s4:
Give me the Cincinnati Bengals +3.0 for the NSANE Play of the Day.
------------------
Houston Texans @ New York Giants -12.5
Four in a row for the G-Men, all in dominating style, I may add. Check time edges: 8.5, 9.5, 5 & 11 minutes. Last 2 hosters were almost identical: 19-3 vs Wash & 17-3 vs Bucs. In their 4-game win streak feature wins by 16, 13, 14, & 14 pts.
Texans haven't yet covered on the road this year.
Houston is a horrid 1-7 ATS vs the NFC.
NY is 28-10 ATS at home off a home win & 20-8 ATS at home off allowing SDs.
played the New York Giants -12.5
------------------
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars -9.0
JAC-QB-Leftwich-Questionable
Jaguar "D" is hurting but you would never had known it when the shut down the Eagles at home last week. Check a 74-17 pt edge at home & pitching 2 shutouts in their last 2 host roles (9 & 34 pts covers).
Titans are on their first 2-game win streak, in 3 years.
Jags are 19-5 ATS in the 1st of 2 HGs.
Titans are 5-12 ATS in division play.
SU winner is 20-2 ATS.....
played the Jacksonville Jaguars -9.0
------------------
Dallas Cowboys -3.0 @ Washington Redskins
WAS-RB-Portis-Questionable
WAS-QB-Brunell-Probable
WAS-WR-Moss-Questionable
Not interested in this one.
Skins are 8-2 ATS off a bye.
Boys are 8-2 ATS series play.
Pass
------------------
Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills -3.0
Not too hip about this on either or is it neither?
Anywho...
GB has Vikings & Patsies on deck, & are a shocking 0-7 ATS on the Nov road, & 109 ATS on the Nov road off a DD SU win.
Buffalo is 9-3 ATS off a bye, & 10-2 ATS off a SU division loss, & a perfect 7-0 ATS as a Nov host vs a foe off 2 wins.
Lean Buffalo Bills -3.0
-----------------
New Orleans Saints -1.0 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NO-RB-Bush-Probable
First RG for the Saints since Oct 1st.
The dog in Saint games have covered 6 out of 7 games.
Revenge game for the Bucs who lost 4 weeks ago, 24-21, despite a 398-314 yd edge.
Tampa is 14-2 ATS as a HD, (3-0 so far this season), & 9-2 ATS as a Nov dog vs a foe off a SU loss.
Lean Tampa Bay Buccaneers outright
------------------
Atlanta Falcons -6.0 @ Detroit Lions
Vick is on a mission, w/ no less than 7 TDs passes at the Steelers & Bengals.
With the win over Cincy the dog has covered all 3 of Atlantas RGs, by 9, 24, & 5.5 pts. ALL UPSETS.
So are we looking at a letdown here? Maybe so, and with the Lions are fresh off their bye, who knows.
Lions are 1-6 SU, with that win coming by a measly 3-pts.
This game looks too easy.
Lean Detriot Lions + 6.0
-----------------
Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears - 13.5
Not much to say here except "I'm laying the chalk, baby".
I'm going to ride this Bear Circus for another ticket cashing week.
Fins are a pathetic 0-6 ATS on the road vs more than .750 opponents.
Bears are 17-4 ATS when hosting the AFC.
played the Chicago Bears -13.5
-----------------
Minnesota Vikings -5.5 @ San Francisco 49ers
A stinker, in my book. I hope the 49ers beat 'em outright.
Minny is a horrid 0-5 ATS as a RF of 4 or more pts, & 1-8 away vs the NFC West, & 6-19 ATS as a grass RF.
Add 2-14 ATS a chalk before GB.
Go 49ers, Pass
----------------
Cleveland Browns @ San Diego Chargers -12.5
SD-LB-Merriman-OUT (4 game suspension)
I missed the SD play last week, & kick myself in the ass for it. Not this week though.
SD is both 3.0 SU & ATS at home, winning by an average score of 34-15.
Chargers are 9-2 ATS hosting losing teams.
Browns are 3-12 ATS as Nov dogs when below .500.
played the San Diego Chargers -12.5
----------------
Denver Broncos @ Pittsburg Steelers 3.0
Haven't gave much thought in this affair. But gut instiinct says take the 3, while it's still available.
Will Big Ben be benched?
Pitt is 16-6 ATS at home off 2 losses.
Denver is 26-10 ATS in the dog role, & an identical 26-10 ATS in 1st of 2 RGs.
Pass
---------------
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots -3.0
The Bookies are going to give us 3 pts with a 7-0 team? Ok so most believe they have got to lose sometime, and a 5-1 team at home with Belichek on the sidelines, just may do the job.
They only game the Patsies have left an impression on me was the wipeout at Cincy. Sure they made mincemeat out of the Vikings on Monday Night. Whoopee. Otherwise they show me nothing, ranking just 15th in "O".
Their "D" on the optherhand does impress me, they've held all 6 opponents to 17 pts or less. Sweet.
Last year the Colts came to town with switches, and gave the Patsies a good ass-whoop'in to the tune of 40-21, (453-288 yd edge). Unfortunately for Colt backers, that was the only cover in the last 9 shots at New England.
No way we see a hook here but I still....
Lean Indianapolis Colts +3.0
=========
MONDAY NIGHTER
Oakland Raiders @ Seattle Seahawks -7.0
SEA-RB-Alexander-OUT
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-OUT
pending
=========
Best to all
SC
Well I hope I can answer that in a postive way, after the Monday Night game in Seattle. :mj09:
Kansas City Chiefs @ St. Louis Rams -2.5
KC-QB-Green-Out
How bout them Chefs ? Count 'em 30 FDs, & 500 yds in the win over those Seahawks. Oh ya How bout that backup QB? Huard is now 8/1 !!
The game wasn't as easy as it looks. Check 7 lead changes.
KC last RD was at Pit & we all know happened there. 45-7.
The Rams can't seem to stop the run (150 RYs 5 times) & ceded 34-30 pts in their last 2 HGs.
Oh ya How bout that QB Bulger who is 12/1!!
Chiefs are on a 3-13 ATS run when visiting the NFC & 2-7 ATS vs winning teams, on the road. Not good :nono:
Rams enter with a 13-4 ATS streak when hosting the AFC.
Tough Call. Think I'll just root for my beloved.
-------------------
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens -3.0
Ravens enter this game 1 up on Cincy in the AFC North. Bengals continue to struggle running the ball (outrushing 1 opponent since Week 2).
Palmer is looking decent at 11/4 for the season.
Cincy is still a moneymaker on the road, winning 2 of 3 so far. (the one loss: a controversial at 1-pt play at Tampa).
Plenty of reasons to back Jacks Ravens here....
Ravens are 12-3 ATS hosting Cincy & 14-3 ATS as a HF vs a foe off a SU chalk loss.
You would have to be a complete idiot to play the Bengals here. :s4:
Give me the Cincinnati Bengals +3.0 for the NSANE Play of the Day.
------------------
Houston Texans @ New York Giants -12.5
Four in a row for the G-Men, all in dominating style, I may add. Check time edges: 8.5, 9.5, 5 & 11 minutes. Last 2 hosters were almost identical: 19-3 vs Wash & 17-3 vs Bucs. In their 4-game win streak feature wins by 16, 13, 14, & 14 pts.
Texans haven't yet covered on the road this year.
Houston is a horrid 1-7 ATS vs the NFC.
NY is 28-10 ATS at home off a home win & 20-8 ATS at home off allowing SDs.
played the New York Giants -12.5
------------------
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars -9.0
JAC-QB-Leftwich-Questionable
Jaguar "D" is hurting but you would never had known it when the shut down the Eagles at home last week. Check a 74-17 pt edge at home & pitching 2 shutouts in their last 2 host roles (9 & 34 pts covers).
Titans are on their first 2-game win streak, in 3 years.
Jags are 19-5 ATS in the 1st of 2 HGs.
Titans are 5-12 ATS in division play.
SU winner is 20-2 ATS.....
played the Jacksonville Jaguars -9.0
------------------
Dallas Cowboys -3.0 @ Washington Redskins
WAS-RB-Portis-Questionable
WAS-QB-Brunell-Probable
WAS-WR-Moss-Questionable
Not interested in this one.
Skins are 8-2 ATS off a bye.
Boys are 8-2 ATS series play.
Pass
------------------
Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills -3.0
Not too hip about this on either or is it neither?
Anywho...
GB has Vikings & Patsies on deck, & are a shocking 0-7 ATS on the Nov road, & 109 ATS on the Nov road off a DD SU win.
Buffalo is 9-3 ATS off a bye, & 10-2 ATS off a SU division loss, & a perfect 7-0 ATS as a Nov host vs a foe off 2 wins.
Lean Buffalo Bills -3.0
-----------------
New Orleans Saints -1.0 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NO-RB-Bush-Probable
First RG for the Saints since Oct 1st.
The dog in Saint games have covered 6 out of 7 games.
Revenge game for the Bucs who lost 4 weeks ago, 24-21, despite a 398-314 yd edge.
Tampa is 14-2 ATS as a HD, (3-0 so far this season), & 9-2 ATS as a Nov dog vs a foe off a SU loss.
Lean Tampa Bay Buccaneers outright
------------------
Atlanta Falcons -6.0 @ Detroit Lions
Vick is on a mission, w/ no less than 7 TDs passes at the Steelers & Bengals.
With the win over Cincy the dog has covered all 3 of Atlantas RGs, by 9, 24, & 5.5 pts. ALL UPSETS.
So are we looking at a letdown here? Maybe so, and with the Lions are fresh off their bye, who knows.
Lions are 1-6 SU, with that win coming by a measly 3-pts.
This game looks too easy.
Lean Detriot Lions + 6.0
-----------------
Miami Dolphins @ Chicago Bears - 13.5
Not much to say here except "I'm laying the chalk, baby".
I'm going to ride this Bear Circus for another ticket cashing week.
Fins are a pathetic 0-6 ATS on the road vs more than .750 opponents.
Bears are 17-4 ATS when hosting the AFC.
played the Chicago Bears -13.5
-----------------
Minnesota Vikings -5.5 @ San Francisco 49ers
A stinker, in my book. I hope the 49ers beat 'em outright.
Minny is a horrid 0-5 ATS as a RF of 4 or more pts, & 1-8 away vs the NFC West, & 6-19 ATS as a grass RF.
Add 2-14 ATS a chalk before GB.
Go 49ers, Pass
----------------
Cleveland Browns @ San Diego Chargers -12.5
SD-LB-Merriman-OUT (4 game suspension)
I missed the SD play last week, & kick myself in the ass for it. Not this week though.
SD is both 3.0 SU & ATS at home, winning by an average score of 34-15.
Chargers are 9-2 ATS hosting losing teams.
Browns are 3-12 ATS as Nov dogs when below .500.
played the San Diego Chargers -12.5
----------------
Denver Broncos @ Pittsburg Steelers 3.0
Haven't gave much thought in this affair. But gut instiinct says take the 3, while it's still available.
Will Big Ben be benched?
Pitt is 16-6 ATS at home off 2 losses.
Denver is 26-10 ATS in the dog role, & an identical 26-10 ATS in 1st of 2 RGs.
Pass
---------------
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots -3.0
The Bookies are going to give us 3 pts with a 7-0 team? Ok so most believe they have got to lose sometime, and a 5-1 team at home with Belichek on the sidelines, just may do the job.
They only game the Patsies have left an impression on me was the wipeout at Cincy. Sure they made mincemeat out of the Vikings on Monday Night. Whoopee. Otherwise they show me nothing, ranking just 15th in "O".
Their "D" on the optherhand does impress me, they've held all 6 opponents to 17 pts or less. Sweet.
Last year the Colts came to town with switches, and gave the Patsies a good ass-whoop'in to the tune of 40-21, (453-288 yd edge). Unfortunately for Colt backers, that was the only cover in the last 9 shots at New England.
No way we see a hook here but I still....
Lean Indianapolis Colts +3.0
=========
MONDAY NIGHTER
Oakland Raiders @ Seattle Seahawks -7.0
SEA-RB-Alexander-OUT
SEA-QB-Hasselbeck-OUT
pending
=========
Best to all
SC
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