SEA/OAK....Sunday

dr. freeze

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Aug 25, 2001
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Oak has won the first two games.
Statement has been made.
Seattle must respond to statement.

I believe that Seattle will be up for this game big time. To be swept with their ace on the mound would be a HUGE lift for the A's. Seattle NEEDS this game I think.

Garcia has been absolutely outstanding lately and probably is the hottest pitcher in baseball.

A's are the hottest team in baseball with Mulder -- who probably is their second best starter right now -- on the hill.

This game should be well-played and low scoring.

I have the OU at 8 and the Mariners as slight dogs.

I see it as great value to take them with Garcia on the hill.

Think about it:
1. Hottest pitcher in basball on the mound
2. Team approaching baseball's all time win totals
3. Team trying not to be swept -- need especially to play well to avoid giving psych. edge

Downside: A's are hottest team in baseball at home.

I see this a superb play.

Two ways to play this one for value purposes:

1. Parlay Seattle and the Under

Need Garcia to pitch well and offense to score a couple runs -- looks like this should happen nearly half the time.

2. Play Seattle -- Garcia pitches well and or offense breaks out against Mulder

Also play the Under -- should cover your ass in case Mulder throws a solid game -- which is way more probably in that he throws a bad one IMP -- in which case the A's would almost surely lose -- so that you come out even here.

The obvious key to this play is Garcia....will he keep it up? I think so. He has been amazing.

I am playing the under and the Mariners separately. Not playing the parlay. However, I see a correlation between the under and the Mariners as well so I think that is a good play too.

Pinella I think will pull out the stops to win this one -- don't see OAK scoring more than 3. This tells me that Seattle and the Under separately should be the play.

[This message has been edited by dr. freeze (edited 09-23-2001).]
 

superbook

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Jun 26, 2001
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This is a well thought-out analysis, you've talked me into putting a unit on SEA +100 and a unit on SEA Under 8.
smile.gif


I agree, I can't see the Mariners getting swept at this point and Garcia at even money is a real value.
 

dr. freeze

BIG12 KING
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i think under is a good play too -- but could see Mulder getting rocked -- don't see it as likely though....gl on it.
 

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

ad interim...
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Dec 27, 2000
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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
very disturbing to see Seattle getting blown out like that on the road yesterday...glad i didn't play the under cause Piniero has problems pitching on the road against +.500 and good hitting teams, that's why I laid of that game...

I agree with the under play though today...Seattle doesn't wanna get on a big losing streak just before the playoffs...
 
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