SEA still favored to win series?
- Thread starter MadJack
- Start date
I agree. Trends say CLE has a 71% shot at winning series. I'll take even money on a 71% tend play.
Took them yesterday morning at +240
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Tito
The quickest way to double your money is to fold it over and put it back in your pocket!
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Tito
The quickest way to double your money is to fold it over and put it back in your pocket!
I still like the play on Seattle for the series at this low fav price.
Seat having to win 3/4 looks great for Clev, but everything really hinges on Game 2.
If Seattle wins game 2 then all of the pressure is on Clev in game 3. Then again maybe all the pressure in Seattle after the reg season. On the other hand if Clev wins Game 2 it is 99% over for the fish. I just don't see Clev winning game 2.
I am just playing for 1 Seattle win in the series. Lost 1 unit at -175 on the 1st game and will be going with a 3 unit play at -180 in game 2.
Seat having to win 3/4 looks great for Clev, but everything really hinges on Game 2.
If Seattle wins game 2 then all of the pressure is on Clev in game 3. Then again maybe all the pressure in Seattle after the reg season. On the other hand if Clev wins Game 2 it is 99% over for the fish. I just don't see Clev winning game 2.
I am just playing for 1 Seattle win in the series. Lost 1 unit at -175 on the 1st game and will be going with a 3 unit play at -180 in game 2.
from Baseball Prospectus:
The Daily Prospectus: One Up
by Joe Sheehan
Yesterday, the Braves, Indians, and Diamondbacks took an important first step towards advancing by winning the opening game of their respective series. How big a step? In the 24 Division Series played to date, the winner of the first game has gone on to win 16 times. That's two-thirds of the time, 66.7%.
The biggest story, of course, is the Indians, who upset the 116-46 Mariners in Seattle behind Bartolo Colon's eight shutout innings. The Braves also won on the road, thanks to a Chipper Jones three-run home run. I thought the Indians had a shot to steal their series, and winning yesterday puts history on their side: teams that open the Division Series with a road win are 7-3.
Looking back a bit further, teams that opened with a win in the five-game League Championship Series (1969-1984) were 22-10. Teams that opened with a road win were 11-4.
Let's put those together to see, independent of team quality, how the Mariners/Indians (and Braves/Astros) series changed yesterday. The following table covers all MLB five-game postseason series (save the 1981 first round).
Road Team Home Team
Wins Game One Wins Game One
1969-1984 11-4, .733 11-6, .647
1995-2000 7-3, .700 11-5, .688
Total 18-7, .720 22-11, .667
Had the Mariners won yesterday, history would give them a two-thirds chance of winning the five-game series. Now, having lost, they're staring at bucking a serious trend: more than seven times out of ten, a home team that loses the first game goes back home to stay within a week.
This isn't a perfect tool--I mean, teams that win at least 114 games are 1-0 in Division Series play--but it does indicate just how important that win was for the Indians.
The Daily Prospectus: One Up
by Joe Sheehan
Yesterday, the Braves, Indians, and Diamondbacks took an important first step towards advancing by winning the opening game of their respective series. How big a step? In the 24 Division Series played to date, the winner of the first game has gone on to win 16 times. That's two-thirds of the time, 66.7%.
The biggest story, of course, is the Indians, who upset the 116-46 Mariners in Seattle behind Bartolo Colon's eight shutout innings. The Braves also won on the road, thanks to a Chipper Jones three-run home run. I thought the Indians had a shot to steal their series, and winning yesterday puts history on their side: teams that open the Division Series with a road win are 7-3.
Looking back a bit further, teams that opened with a win in the five-game League Championship Series (1969-1984) were 22-10. Teams that opened with a road win were 11-4.
Let's put those together to see, independent of team quality, how the Mariners/Indians (and Braves/Astros) series changed yesterday. The following table covers all MLB five-game postseason series (save the 1981 first round).
Road Team Home Team
Wins Game One Wins Game One
1969-1984 11-4, .733 11-6, .647
1995-2000 7-3, .700 11-5, .688
Total 18-7, .720 22-11, .667
Had the Mariners won yesterday, history would give them a two-thirds chance of winning the five-game series. Now, having lost, they're staring at bucking a serious trend: more than seven times out of ten, a home team that loses the first game goes back home to stay within a week.
This isn't a perfect tool--I mean, teams that win at least 114 games are 1-0 in Division Series play--but it does indicate just how important that win was for the Indians.
MJ:
While I personally disdain the fact that you are a Ravens fans, as I bleed orange and brown
, it is nice to have you on board the Tribe train. I got 'em yesterday at +250.
While I personally disdain the fact that you are a Ravens fans, as I bleed orange and brown
I would think that you would be better off playing them on the individual games.
They are sure to be dogs in all of them, giving you a better return on your cash.
You are banking on them winning 2 of 4 games.
What the hell do I know, though.....I have not posted on the individual games yet, but was 0-4 on my thoughts yesterday, and like Zona -1' today, and they are down 2-0!
Good luck!
They are sure to be dogs in all of them, giving you a better return on your cash.
You are banking on them winning 2 of 4 games.
What the hell do I know, though.....I have not posted on the individual games yet, but was 0-4 on my thoughts yesterday, and like Zona -1' today, and they are down 2-0!
Good luck!
i know exactly how you feel as i felt the same way when our colts were stolen. you'll get over it
hey.....at least you guys got to keep your team name and colors. irsay stole all that from us!!
good luck!
