SUNDAY I was having trouble with my password, so I did not get this posted.
I noticed on SATURDAY that the HOME TEAMS went 6-1-1 vs. VISITORS.
One of my theories in the NHL is the "pendulum" or "bounce-back" theory, which has proven profitable this year. [Overall major trends, I guess, is what I am referring to, which always come back to the middle or norm]
So Sunday I played [at Olympic] the prop of VISITORS +4 goals - based on the fact that home teams were not likely to be as successful on Sunday. I have made this bet maybe 7 times this year, and lost only one time.
I think it may - stress MAY - be a bit easier to pick than the grand salami. However, if I see a day when the Salami goes WAY OVER or WAY UNDER, I give the opposite play a very close look the next day.
According to 1 source I use, here are some overall stats to date for the NHL this year:
HOME TEAMS: Won 581 - Lost 457 - Tied 140 vs. Visitors. That is a significant advantage to HOMERS !
FAVORITES: have won 610 games and DOGGIES have won 568 [very close here]
GOALS: 6166 scored for GPG of 5.23 - can you say Under 6 or Over 4.5 ??
OVERS 492 and UNDERS 686 [58%] - why not play UNDER on every game??? Probably because of the juice...
Of course, nothing will take the place of good handicapping for each game, but understanding these overall trends may make the difference on a particular bet. A good example of this was the Edmonton at ANA game on Friday night. I went against the trend and took home team ANA, based mostly on the HOME TEAM factor.
Friday was also a day which went WAY UNDER the total for the grand salami - 30 goals in 7 games. Saturday the Over hit easily...49 goals in 8 games...
Lets get more WINNERS this week...
GOOD LUCK
I noticed on SATURDAY that the HOME TEAMS went 6-1-1 vs. VISITORS.
One of my theories in the NHL is the "pendulum" or "bounce-back" theory, which has proven profitable this year. [Overall major trends, I guess, is what I am referring to, which always come back to the middle or norm]
So Sunday I played [at Olympic] the prop of VISITORS +4 goals - based on the fact that home teams were not likely to be as successful on Sunday. I have made this bet maybe 7 times this year, and lost only one time.
I think it may - stress MAY - be a bit easier to pick than the grand salami. However, if I see a day when the Salami goes WAY OVER or WAY UNDER, I give the opposite play a very close look the next day.
According to 1 source I use, here are some overall stats to date for the NHL this year:
HOME TEAMS: Won 581 - Lost 457 - Tied 140 vs. Visitors. That is a significant advantage to HOMERS !
FAVORITES: have won 610 games and DOGGIES have won 568 [very close here]
GOALS: 6166 scored for GPG of 5.23 - can you say Under 6 or Over 4.5 ??
OVERS 492 and UNDERS 686 [58%] - why not play UNDER on every game??? Probably because of the juice...
Of course, nothing will take the place of good handicapping for each game, but understanding these overall trends may make the difference on a particular bet. A good example of this was the Edmonton at ANA game on Friday night. I went against the trend and took home team ANA, based mostly on the HOME TEAM factor.
Friday was also a day which went WAY UNDER the total for the grand salami - 30 goals in 7 games. Saturday the Over hit easily...49 goals in 8 games...
Lets get more WINNERS this week...
GOOD LUCK
