This is a very interesting topic and I would like to contribute to it. I am a firm believer that only about 10% of people max will win in the long run sports betting. I believe the people that do will earn the honor of profiting from sports betting. I would say 80% of sports bettors will lose simply because they don't take the time to do their homework, they don't take time to understand the psychology of the line - one of the most important factors i look at when playing a side or total - they want to make the "quick buck" - which doesn't exist. Only through hard work, research, instinct, psychology, and discipline can a person win on a conisitent basis. I love this forum - but honestly I think there are a lot of people who believe by just browsing this message board they can find all the miracle answers from every single person - and the truth is you just can't. Not everyone here is winning, and probably because they just are not putting in the full effort needed to consistently win. Of the other 20% who truely do put time into research and understanding, still only half of these people will be successful. That is where i come up with the 10% estimate of overall successful bettors. Of the 20% who do put time into it, half will either not look at the right stuff, or just simply not manage their money well enough to win in the long run...this being said I am a person who fits in the category of the 10% long term winning sports bettors.
Personally, I have been sports betting for the start of my 6th year now. I am 27 years old, and did not start betting sports for money until i had the funds to do so - i am a firm believe people should be betting w/ a bankroll they started from excess funds they have available AFTER they pay for all bills, mortgages, car payments, credit cards, food, utilities, other expenses, and AFTER they have put money away in their 401K (if you are not taking advantage of your employer's 401K - do it now and thank me later!) and AFTER they put money aside in savings, money markets, bonds and other investments like mutual funds and individual stocks. I approach this as investing in sports...just as i put away money every month in mutual funds, savings, stock investments, i put money away for sports investing, and use this money on my sports investments...now i went to college and have a double major in MIS and Finance - and have been a successful Information Technology Consultant for the past 5 years...the 4 years i was in college i always was intrigued by sports betting and spent a lot of time making my picks and i documented everything but did it w/o putting actual money at risk - but wanted to track how i would do - i figured i didn't have money to risk while in college - and advise college kids looking for the quick buck or spending the last of what they have to wait and do what i did...now i know it's not that exciting to see what overall "paper record" and "paper win/loss" you have - but after 4 years of tracking - and i track NFL, NBA, NCAA college bb & fb, and MLB - i had 3 winning years and 1 losing year, the losing year being the 2nd year i tracked...like i said i have really looked at the ins and outs of how the line is set - track where money is flowing, what the public likes, and all sorts of factors...anyways i totally felt comfortable and confident i could make some decent money sports investing as soon as i graduated and had a nice income coming in.
So i started in January 2000 as a "rookie sports bettor" putting my money at risk for the first time...but i kind of felt like a seasoned veteran because of the research and tracking i did for 4 years while in college...anyways the rest is history - i have bet sports for 5 complete years, this month starting my 6th, and all 5 years i have bet for money have been winning years...always have ups and downs - but by each years end have showed a profit...last season was my best overall season ever making five figures over the course of the year for the second year in a row...have built up a very nice "sports fund" (i actually treat this as my very own mutual fund where i am the fund manager) over the past 5 years and i don't feel it is because of luck...i put in 100% honest hard work and take pride in doing it well...i have several close friends i help out w/ advice...i drive a 2003 BMW M3 and bought a 2004 Mercedes C230 Kompressor Sport Sedan for my wife over the summer...live in a nice new house i bought a few years ago...life is good - and yes sports investing success has something to do w/ being able to drive both a BMW and Mercedes...but at the same time the hard work i've invested into going to college, securing a good career, and investing in other investments is the main reason for having a nice lifestyle - and people should not lose sight of that - they shouldn't expect to get rich quick sports investing...i've always had the philosophy of paying myself first - and putting money away in several investments, and not to carry too much debt (always pay for at least 50% of my vehicles w/ cash) - and never put money at risk you need - if you are betting money if lost would cause you to have a different lifestyle - you are doing something very bad if you do this - stop immediately - only invest in sports after you put money away for savings, investments, and pay all your bills...
My advice to everyone who invests in sports is to treat it like a business and to not take it lightly - don't bet for the action - make winning a goal and achieve it...just as you can't blindly invest in stocks - you must research the heck out of companies - you must do your research EVERY day you plan to invest in sports...i know i will not play a play unless I truely feel confident in the play...
As many may gather by my long post (i tend to write alot sometimes) i really enjoy writing and I have been working on writing my own sports investing and money management book, which i have the end goal of being published someday soon in the near future...have no deadline set - but my mission is to write a book in which people upon reading will say "wow - this is powerful - this guy truely understands what it takes to be successful while investing in sports, and i can apply what he does to be just as successful"...honestly i think w/ all the books out there, there is a lack of quality sports investing books...i have read several - and most of them just don't get down to explaining to someone w/ absolutely no sports investing experience what they need to do to be successful in the long run...we all no there is no magic formula that makes sports investing simple - however there are lots of things one can do to prepare themselves to make the best possible wagers and become a successful sports investor. So far i have over 200 pages of the book written, and i will continue to refine it until i think it is truely a complete text...I speak of systems i use, what i look for, what i've learned over the years, different ways to manage your money, and go into great detail about what i believe are the most important indicators of finding successful picks...so hopefully someday in the future it will become published...i always accomplish any goal i set, so i know it will.
In conclusion - yes - you can make money sports investing...but at the same time if you are consistently losing there becomes a point where you have to ask yourself "Why am i losing?"...I believe in evaluating plays before and after...learn from your losses as well as from your wins.
I believe ANYONE can win at sports investing...it may take years of hard work to figure it all out - but when you do it is a BEAUTIFUL thing!
Good luck!
--SAVE IT!