Senors' Leans/Selections Week 11

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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NFL
SIDES 43-28-2
Total 2-3

Action Plays plays are not counted on my record.

My $$$ plays are ranked from strongest to weakest
(top to bottom)

Of course they can change in rank & probably will, before gametime Sunday, depending on the circumstances.


Looking forward to a most decent weekend in the 11th week of the NFL.

At this point in time I'm leaning towards the following:


Chefs -3.5 ;)
Aints (hoping to get 3)
Bengals + 3.5 :scared
Vikings + 7
Ravens + 4.5
Titans + 3
Seahawks + 6
Panthers + 9



Dogs come out full force this weekend.

:cool:
============================

Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins

Fins have yet to cash in following the loss of QB Fiedler going 0-3 both SU & ATS barely managing an identical 10 pts in each of those 3.
That being the case don't expect them to do much against the Ravens "D".
Granted Baltimores "D" hasn't been a stellar unit this year, allowing at least 20 pts in 7 of its last 8 outings.
But they continue to display big-play ability, including 2 return touchdowns and one should-be return TD (thank you, Ed Reed) last week against the Bengals.


Miami is a 10-3-1 spread play at home & 15-2 ATS vs non-division AFC squads.
Baltimore counters with Billicks 13-2 spread record as a RD.

MJs Ravens gives us the money 2 weeks in a row.


:director: Give me a B, give me a A ,give me a L,
hell I could be here all night
Baltimore Ravens + 4.5

small on moneyline

-------------------------------------------


And now, the much anticipated,as much appreciated, Postal Pick of the Week.


Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

Yup I was on the Vikings when they played the NYG (loser) & I going to give them another chance.
In that game Vikings amassed an amazing 224 RYs (Bennett 167)
but their 30th rated "D" couldn't hang when it counted allowing the winning TD in the final 2:43.

Despite their failure LW the Vikes have covered their 2 division HGs this year & are 17-5 ATS as HDs.

Vikes are an outstanding 9-1 ATS as HDs of >3 pts.

Pack keeps motoring with the NFLs best record but are a lowly 1-7 ATS on the Nov road off a DD win.

The Packers are well known for their struggles on artificial turf, having covered just 5 of their last 20 games on the fake stuff. Things get even worse for them when they play the Vikings in the Metrodome as Minnesota has beat the Packers in 8 of their last 10 home games.

The Vikings will be playing this game like its a playoff game & gives GB all they can handle.

Minnesota Vikings + 7 & what's that I smell ?
a Moneyline? (small)

:eek:

---------------------------------

Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks

LW the Seahawks put an end to their downward scoring trend with 27 1st half pts in their rout of the Cards.
In that one they held a 27-19 edge in FDs but undoubtedly the key was Seattle's 5-0 advantage in TOs.
Now they catch the Broncos off their epic Monday Nighter vs the Faders.

Host is 15-5-1 ATS in Denver games
Dog is 6-1-1 ATS in Bronco tilts this year.

Broncos are 2-9 ATS as a non-div RF of >2.5 pts

Seattle is 9-3 ATS as Nov dog.

Rufff Home Dog barks Seattle Seahawks +6

---------------------------------------
Since I will not use KC (the hook) or Aints (lack of hook) that leaves me..........

Cleveland Brownies @ Cincinatti Bengals

Cincy has turned it around lately averaging 30 ppg in its last 3 outings. Also check another 100 game from Dillon in the loss to the Ravens.
Granted the Brownies are well rested & getting better by the week but they do have the worst rushing "O" in the NFL.
In their 1st game Cincy had 28-15 FDs & 156-75 RY edges.

Bengals are 1202 in 2nd division HGOY.

Home division revenging dog

Cincinatti Bengals + 3.5

------------------------------

Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Let me get this straight.
On Oct 27th (week 8) 3 weeks ago TB traveled to Carolina & gave them 8 points.
TB won that game by the skin of their teeth 12-9.

This Sunday Carolina travels TB and are only catching 9?
What's wrong with this picture?

Bucs "D" ranks as the NFLs best holding foes to single digits.
Carolina has lost the last 6 in a row & averaged 12 ppg on the road.
This game could be the biggest blowout of the season
(yes bigger than GB 40-10 pounding of the Detriot).

Can't you see "Blow out of the Year" written all over this game ?

Vegas is begging you to to take the Bucs here. :p

Gimme the Panthers + the 9 :brows:

Carolina is 11-3 ATS as a November dog of >7.5 pts
& are 9-2 ATS on the road off a pair of HGs.

-------------------------------------------


LW the Postal Pick of the Week (Carolina) got the shaft by the Aints w/ 2 TDs in the last 31 seconds.
Which brings the Postal Picks to 4-1 ATS.
 
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Jhpga

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Senor.....follow your picks everyweek.I am a season ticket holder at the Titans and Id be a little worried about the mismatch between Pitts WR's and Tenn terrible secondary.Also Tenn is just not clicking on offense.I like Pitt by 7.But love the rest of your plays.Only thing I cant win on any Panthers game whether I bet on them or against them:shrug:

Good luck this weekend!!!!!
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Well

Well

1st of all the Titans "D" has been improving & playing well as of late. I'm anxious to see the Pitt "D" attempt to stop Eddie & McNair at the same time. I see Titans winning this one in front of their home crowd. Have a great time at the game. I'm predicting you will. :cool:


2nd of all could you do me the favor & lay a little lumber on the Bucs. ;)


SC
 
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kbyoda

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Hey Senor,

What's up my man.

Like your play on the Chiefs- Must W and we both know that. Love the spot here at home. Also hoping to get the 3 on the Saints-Don't want to buy the hook.

I am against yah on the Titans- and "might" be against yah on the 49ers. This home dog in SD is looking tasty- Could be let down week for SF w/ them looking ahead to next Monday night against philly! Titans are NOT good! Eddie has no burst and will get swarmed by Pitt D...especially Porter! McNair doesnt scare me eiter.. Think Pitt wins by 10+. I am personally not looki at the other 3 you mentioned...Mize loves Miami though- might have to ask him why! It is his GOY!

I know the ATS w/ Minn at home against GB is a lean to bet on Minn but this team is awful! They benched Daunte for cryin out loud!! Just curious as to how you are cappin this game- I might just 100% stay away, but just want to know you insights. You are a great Capper- just trying to learn a little more...
 

Thegridiron

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Like the Bengals play, man for man they are better than Cleveland but the erratic play of Kitna (Smith etc..) has killed this team. They will definitly be able to run on Cleveland, only downside I see is Bengals defense is losing guys left and right
 

4bubba

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Nov 14

SC

I like all the plays also, but I have not finished all the work yet.

Have you (or anyone) noticed that the Bengals receivers are as bad as the QBs? It seems when the football is on target, the WRs probably will drop it anyway. All those high picks they put out for the WRs they have were wasted.
 

tball

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to quote...."the RAVENS +9" imaginin werent gettin all eddy allen poe on us-and meant the Jpepper-less? panthers? gettin the nod plus the nine in tampa
 

gb-den

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the PACK

the PACK

I don`t care if the pack is playing out in the middle of the street, they are HOT and vikes cannot stop them. we need this game so GB can start getting shirts printed up. ahha yes sir yes sir go pack go. take the pack or watch.
 

greed

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Minnesota

Minnesota

Minnesota looks like the best play of the week being a packer fan I don't bet with them or against them. I am still not sold on the Packer defense as the schedule has been very kind to them. If Minnesota doesn't fall behind to early I think they will be successful running the ball against the Packer defense as Holliday is out and Hunt is doubtful. Anyone who bets the Pack in the Metrodome against the Vikings should have their head examined. They have lost 8 out of the last 10 and now they will be giving 7.
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
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"the bunker"
unfortunately

unfortunately

i disagree with your chiefs(bought to 4):shrug: ....no opinion on seattle....otherwise,your card looks as sharp as sammy davis at the sands...and i really mean that,man...chi-kung,chi-kung... ...g.l. you hep cat...
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Weasel

Weasel

I didn't post KC as a play Only a lean.

Anyways......

10-3-1 in NCAA yesterday Hoping to continue the streak today in the NFL.
Shoulda coulda woulda been 13-3-1
Fricken Boise State woulda been 14-3-1
:scared



Best to all

Lanny
 

DeDe

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POSTAL...PICK?????

POSTAL...PICK?????

Nice...job!!:thefinger
 
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