Senors' Leans/Selections Week 12

Senor Capper

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44-32-2

Concentrating too much on NCAA 'skin & not enough on the NFL.
Got to get it together this weekend.



Dolphins - 3.5 Money Play
Brownies + 7 (played early) Money Play
Still STRONG @ 6.5

Bills + 3 (wrong team favored here) Money Play
Ravens + 2 Money play
Packers + 3 Opposite Money Play
Colts + 6.5 Money Play
Chefs - 3.5 Postal Money play

======================

My $$$ plays are ranked from strongest to weakest
(top to bottom)


Going balls out with 7 selections this weekend.

======================


Buffalo Bills @ New York JETS

The glaring stat from LWs Bills' loss to my Chefs is 139 yds in penalties walked off against Buffalo, with KCs winning TD practically gift wrapped (Merry Christmas) ;)

Bills find themselves tied with the JETS & a game behind Miami.
Buffalo's 4th rated "O" should move itvs JETS' 30th ranked "D".

Surely (no I'm not calling you Shirley) Bills remember vividly the opening week OT loss to NY thanks to a pair of TDs off KO returns.

Visitor is 3-0 ATS in Buffalo division tilts & Da Bills covered their last division RG game by 18 points!!

:director: Gimme a B, gimme a I, gimme the Bills + 3
Moneyline seems to be on the menu too.

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Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos

This one marks the Broncos' 4th night game & so far Denvers 3 defeats have all come under the lights.

Broncos whooped up on the Seahags LW, that one snapped a 6-0 line run by the dog in Denver contests.

Colts covered their last RG by 31.5 pts.

Indy is in off a pair of solid wins & covers & ranks 12th in the NFL defensively.


Gotta be the Indianapolis Colts + 6.5 :yup


====================

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tough game here. One that I shouldn't even fool with, the way the Packers played @ Minny LW. Gave up 218 RYS & Brett tossed 3 INTs & another 3 that should have.

Now they take to the road again only to face a foe with their identical record (8-2).

Tampa has won its last 4 HGs by 12, 14, 14 & 13 pts & is on a 24-13 host spread run.

Senors' Opposite Pick of the Week....
Green Bay Packers + 3 :scared


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San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins

Appears that the Fins are finally Fiedlerless schneid, with an error free rout of Baltimore :mad: after being plagued by giveaways over the previous 3 weeks.

Lucas was 18 of 26, with NO INTs. Williams102 RYs.
Thus, Miami has covered its 2 non division hosters by 19 & 14 pts.

This is setup # 3.

Brees coming in off a career high 336 PYs but traveling to Miami is another matter.

Fins are an amazing 16-2 ATS vs non-division AFC foes
& are 12-2 ATS as Nov chalks.

:hail King Lucas & the Miami Dolphins - 3.5

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Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens

Titans are on a nifty 5-game run & currently tied with Indy atop the AFC South. That streak coincides with the ressurection of their overland game which has been dominate since their embarassing loss to the Skins in week 5.

Ravens are in off a 337-157 yd shortage vs Miami & have allowed more than 19 pts in 8 of their last 9 games.

Dog is on a 16-3 spread run in Titan games &
9-2 ATS run on this series.

Ravens are 6-1 ATS in series & 10-3 ATS in Nov.

Baltimore Ravens + 2 (to right their wrong LW) :mad:

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Brownies + 6.5 over Aints
=====================
Just about forgot @ the Postal Play of the Week
(5-1 ATS for the season)

Going against the "Bills Battle Trend" which has not lost yet this season.

Gimme :hail Da Chefs -3.5 "Merry Christmas" from the Postal Play of the Week. :kiss:

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Skanoochies

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Question for Senor Capper.

Question for Senor Capper.

Sir, is your opinion that the Hilton consensus should be bet on or faded. I see them printed in threads every week but wasn`t sure what people actually think of them.


Thanx in advance Senor.

Skanoochies.:confused: :confused:
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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The cappers in the Hilton Contest don't know anymore or are any better than most of us.
I'm sure there are some who coat-tail the leaders.

I do think its kinda fun to predict what the TOP 3 or 5 will be come friday, though. Also to see if their Top picks are anywhere close to mine.


I follow nobody. :nooo:
Do you own homework & be happy with yourself or kick yourself in the ass depending on your outcomes. ;)



If you don't want to do you own work, find a hot capper & coat-tail him/her til they go cold. Or a cold capper & fade 'em.


Best to you
SC
 

jmizeus

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GL SENOR! havent capped much yet,but before i do u might want to be alittle cautious on miami! as they have buffalo next week in the ralph. im sure u are aware of it though gl!
 

jmizeus

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good luck lanny! like the ravens as well, still not sure if im going with them though! btw where are the banker's play's? gl
 

Senor Capper

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Ok so

Ok so

I change my postal play from detriot to KC ^=& get screwed BIG !!!!!!!

Leaves me even at 3-3 for the day. :mad:

Laying the lumber on Indy + 6.5


Thanks to PEP for the moneyline on the Texans + 205 or I would be really pissed.


Also Indy + 227 moneyline

;)
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Sweeeeeeet

Sweeeeeeet

49-35-2
Keeping my head above water.
Postal Play now 5-2 ATS :(

Opposite play of the week isn't going to work for me, loved TB but took GB. Shoulda been called Idiot Opposite potw.
Won't do that again.

Got the win with Colts + 6.5 & moneyline came in nicely. Merry Christmas to me I'm going shopping !!!!
 
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