Senors' Leans/Selections Week 14

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Nov 14, 2000
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14 ???
My how time flys when were having fun.

Before you know it the Superbowl will be here & Jackers will be taking over Vegas! ;)


Six of this weekends 16 games are divisional rematches.

Early leans on the following:


My Favorite Favorites (played already)

Carolina Panthers - 3 $$$ Play
Kansas City Chiefs - 3 $$$ Play


New England Patroits - ......Strong Lean

Hungry Dogs

Atlanta Falcons + 4.5 $$$ Postal Play of the Day
Indy Colts + 2 $$$ Play
Seattle Seahags + 3..............Strong Lean
Dallas Cowbells + 5.5 $$$ Play
Detriot Lions + 1....................Strong Lean
Baltimore Ravens + 2.5 $$$ Play
New York JETS + 1.5..............Strong Lean[/b]
Da Bears now at + 10............Strong Lean

55-37-3 YTD
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St. Louis Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs

Absolutely amazing !!
Six games with Warner at the helm, all losses. Only 1 game out of those 6 did they top 17 pts. LW Warner accounted for 3 of the Rams 5 TOs where the Rams "O" was held to a mere 3 pts.

My Chiefs spanked the Cards LW 49-0 (Az worst loss ever) which included KC having a 477-122 edge in TYs.

3rd straight RG for Rams, who are 2-10 ATS vs AFC West.

Chiefs only 9 pts from a 16-1 spread run.

Dick Heads towards playoffs :)

Kansas City Chiefs - 3


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Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans

We are all aware of that fact that neither the Brownies or Texans field an upper echelon offense, but we shouldn't dismiss the Colts holding those 2 to a mere FG.
Hats off to Coach Dungy with what he has done with that Indy "D" (7th in the NFL).

This game is a revenge affair for the Colts, who threw it up 50 times in the 1st meeting.

The Titans are in off a splendid comeback win at the Giants
(my 3rd loser LW) behind Steve "I'm suppose to be hurt" McNairs 334 PYs & 3 TDs. That pushed the dog edge to 18-4 ATS in Tennessee games.

Titans are 8-20 ATS vs revenging division guests.

Colts are 10-4 ATS Dec dogs off win.

:director: Wrong team favored here
Indianapolis Colts + 2


========================

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Normally I would be all over the Bucs in this type of setup.
The host has covered the last 7 games involving Tampa, with the Bucs winning their last 4 HGs by 14, 14, 13 & 14 pts SU.
Which includes holding the GB Slackers to a single TD.

But with Vick at the helm of the Falcons "O" they are unstoppable & currently are on a 8 game winning streak.

Tampa is 15-1 ATS off a SU loss as a chalk.

Bucs @ home is 16-1 SU & 15-1-1 ATS when not favored by 4 or more points.

This has got to be the Postal Play of the Day which is currently 5-2 ATS

Lotta $$ coming in on TB driving up the number from 3.5 & now steady at 4.0 & 4.5

Atlanta Falcons + 4.5 :kiss:

======================

New Orlean Saints @ Baltimore Ravens

Ravens are back @ 500 off a pair of nailbiting wins.
Sneaked past Cincy LW & Tennessee the week before.

They're ranked 2nd to last in the NFL on "O" but have covered 8 of their last 10 games . :confused:

Should be able to stay with the Saints who are in off a physical win over TB.

Saints are 3-9-2 ATS vs the AFC

Colts are 15-2-1 ATS as Dec hosts as well as 12-1 ATS as non-division hosts.

Baltimore Ravens + 2.5 ;)

==========================

San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboyz

Last week I had the Niners I thought I was sitting pretty with a 31-10 lead in the 4th.
Forget about it.
2 Seattle TDs in the final 3:50 after managing just 1 in the first 56:10 Go figure.

The dog in this series is 18-7 ATS in Cowboy games & 7 of the last 9 Dallas games have been decided by 4 pts or less.

Do you hear what I hear ?
Dallas Cowbells+ 5.5 :brows:

======================

The "Who cares who wins" game of the week......


Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers

Bengals did it to me yet again LW. For the 3rd straight week. Cincy had a drive stall inside the 10 yd line in the dying moments. Unbelieveable !!! That loss to the Ravens LW was especially galling, with 2 of Balts TDs coming on a 98 yd int return & a blocked punt.

Bengals had a 25-15 FD edge & kept Ravens to under 100 PYs & still couldn't cover the spread.

Carolina is in off its 1st non-summer win in over 2 years, with 5 Cleveland TOs greasing the skids. Only 11 FDs & 234 TYs, but their 6th ranked "D" allowed only 2 FGs.

Panthers are 20-6 ATS in Dec & 11-4 ATS hosting AFC squads.

Bengals 5-14 ATS on Dec road.

(ironically both Cincy & Cleveland were 2 of my 3 losses LW)

In my mind & wallet, I'm going with Carolina -3 ;)

Not a strong play by any means, but a play nonetheless.
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Since were on the subject of WINNERS.

Since were on the subject of WINNERS.

:p

I would like to post this Numerical System play based on various factors.
This system was 8-2 in their "plays" LW, so I thought I would post it for those interested. If your not please hold your breath. Thank you. :)

Recommended plays are those teams with at least 4.0 differential from the **official Vegas line.
**Official lines vary from book to book.
Could be a 1/2 or full point difference depending where you go. ;)

Anyways......

Example: BILLS (+4) 0.2
(+4) Vegas Line
Bills favored by 0.2 over Patriots.
4.2 would mean a small play on Bills.
The higher the differential the stronger the play.


Without further ado......


BILLS (+4) 0.2
PANTHERS (-3.5) 3.5
JAGUARS (NL Brunell) NO RATING
CHIEFS (-3)11.4 ---------BIG PLAY
STEELERS (-13.5)16.8
FALCONS (+3.5)1.8 -------A Play
COLTS (+2) 1.4
REDSKINS (-2) 7.1 --------A Play
49ERS (-5.5) 1.4 small play on Dallas
EAGLES (-3.5) 6.6
AINTS (NL Brooks) NO RATING
LIONS(+1.5) 6.3-----------A Play
BRONCOS (NL @ printing) NO RATING
NYJ (NL @ printing) NO RATING
PACKERS (-9.5)14.7-----A Play
FINS (-8.5) 7.3
 
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Turfgrass

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Sep 26, 2002
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This is an interesting Numerical System. You posted that the system was 8-2 in their "plays" LW. I was just kind of interested to know if you had an idea of how they have done for the year.

I'd like to check it out if you had a web site for us.
 

ChrryBlstr

Registered User
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Feb 11, 2002
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Hoosier country
good luck, senor!!!


funny....i like all the plays (BIG & PLAY) that appear on the numerical system except for atlanta this week!!!

well....maybe just funny to me....*LOL*

:)
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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FYI

FYI

There is 30 K on the Colts & only 2700.00 on the Titans @ my book which consists 9 books around town.

Titans should be the play, YES.

KC has 28,400.00 Rams 2200.00 gotta go with the Rams there.

Miami 24K Bears 6300 Now at a plus +10.5 its going to be the Bears guyz

SC

BIG money is also opposite these so...

Over/Unders go with ....

UNDERS
Denver
Cleveland
Houston

OVERS
Washington

=================

However, I'm NOT backing out of my posted plays atop of this page.
 
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