Senors' Leans/Selections Week 17

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
Leaning early towards the following.....

Chefs
Brownies
Vikings
Panthers
Patsies
Seahawks
49ers



================

Dallas Cowbells @ Washington Redskins

Well as everyone knows by now, Spurrier hardly set the NFL on fire. The phrase "Learning Experience" applies perfectly to his inaugural season. :p
Turnovers have been the main culprit in the 'Skins demise which stood at a -16 before last weeks +3 in the rout over the Texans.

In their 1st meeting with the Cowbells the 'Skins threw 4 INTs if they can limit their turnovers to like 0, they should cover this affair with room to spare.

Cowbells lost their last 2 division RGs by 31 & 34 points & are 1-12 ATS on the December road.

Don't believe I've played this team all year....
Washington Redskins - 6.5

=================


Minnesota Vikings @ Detriot Lions

Cashed in with the Vikings last week & I'm still smiling about it.
Am I pressing my luck here, on the road?

3 more Culpepper turnovers nearly offset the Vikings 368-239 yd edge. Minny has no troublle moving it
(3rd best total "O" & 2nd best rushing "O" in the NFL)
& its questionable "D" should hold its own against the Lions "O" which ranks 29th.
Last week backup QB McMahon tossed 3 INTs in the relief of Harrington & were held to only 12 1st downs.

Minnesota has covered its last 6 division games.

Minnesota Vikings -3.5

=================


Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots

Okay, where do I begin ?
Why not start with the futility, that is Miami on the December road ?
Dolphins loss at Minny was just the latest chapter in that series of failures, which has now reached 4-17 ATS on the Dec road.
Miami is also 1-13 ATS in division road finales, as well as 1-13 ATS vs anyone in road closures.

Bring in the Patriots, who are just the opposite, covering 9-1 in their final division GOY & 13-4 in home closures vs all opponents.

Fins "O" managed a measly 13 1st downs & 239 yds vs Minnys 29th rated "D".
With confidence suddenly shakened, things won't get any better vs avenging Patriots.
Throw in the possiblity of foul weather or/and snow & we have a recipe for a winnah.


New England Patriots +1

=================

Green Bay Slackers @ New York JETS

Last week the JETS (cha-ching) bounced back nicely after their lheart wrenching loss to Da Bears.
393-216 yard edge behind yet another fine performance from Pennington (AFC highest rated passer), along with Martins latest 100 RY game.

NY is only 9 points from a 10-1 sread run & has held its last 10 foes to 15 ppg. JETS "D" should hold Farve & Co. in check as the Pack lone TD drive vs Buffalo covered a mere 39 yards while GB is averaging just 13.5 points in its last 2 RGs.

NY is 14-5 ATS hosting .600 foes.


:director: J E T S JETSJETSJETS - 1

=================
 
Last edited:

noodle

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 27, 2001
1,910
13
38
54
Tennessee
good luck this week, Senor. continued sucess in the NFL and throghout the playoffs. Saturday's games look interesting and will try to find strong side(s) or total(s) in the meantime. Have to admit your Chiefs look tempting.;) :director: Merry Christmas to you and yours and happy new year...........
 

jr11

08-18-05
Forum Member
Jul 19, 2002
5,830
29
0
114
HELL
Senor, I interpretted your thread the other night obviously a different way. My mistake. I apologize. Hopefully no hard feelings. Good luck in the future.

jr11
 

djv

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 4, 2000
13,817
17
0
Im a little surprise at no NYG or NYJ. Vikes are cooking sure took a long time for the fire to get hot. Panthers ;) N Eng. I shall walk to the water with you.
 

Redhog

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
3,405
54
48
Hawg Country
Lanny I love the Brownies play this week as it might be my Biggest play, also like dem vikings...........good luck
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
JR 11

JR 11

Just saw ya there. Not a problem buddy & I got riled up for no reason. :toast:


Redhog
Brownies Best Bet ? I would'nt go that far... :nono:
Cleveland is an awful 3-13 SU in December
Falcons are 4-0 ATS on the non-division road.
Good Luck



Noodle
Chefs do look tempting. That may be a problem.
But I do see it as a FG game either way. :rolleyes:
 

Redhog

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 10, 2002
3,405
54
48
Hawg Country
Brownies are a contranian play....Home dog off a SU dog win vs an opponent off a SU home win playing on opp surface...also a very good system play.......:p
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
Channel Member
Nov 14, 2000
24,639
104
63
Vegas
www.SenorCapper.com
Gotcha

Gotcha

I like 'em myself but don't know yet to what extent.


Giants + 2.5 are also in a "play" situation like that but for the life of me I can't remember what it is.
Oh well I will tomorrow.
I do know that 2.5 point HDs have covered well this year.
 

clemson25

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 18, 2002
45
1
0
56
columbia sc
New Orleans needs a win against visiting Carolina on Sunday simply to have a chance at an NFC wild card spot and some teams who have faced the Saints in recent weeks feel quarterback Aaron Brooks is playing hurt. The four-year veteran injured his right forearm late in the Nov. 28 game against Tampa Bay, couldn't finish the contest, and hasn't been the same since then. Brooks denies there is anything wrong with his throwing arm, but he has not demonstrated much velocity the past three weeks and his accuracy certainly has been sketchy. In the past three games since, Brooks has completed just 48 percent of his passes and has only four touchdown passes. The saving grace is that he hasn't thrown an interception in that period. He finished last week's inexplicable loss at Cincinnati with 11 straight incompletions. "He isn't the same guy," said one New Orleans veteran, "but he's still better than anything else we've got. But, damn right, he's struggling." The one thing the Carolina defense will do is hit the quarterback, so Brooks can't expect any mercy from the Panthers, whose front four has continued to play well, even without the suspended Julius Peppers in the lineup.

Does this help make your lean a solid play for sunday?:confused:
 

djv

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 4, 2000
13,817
17
0
Senor i was going with N Eng. But after takeing second look at how well they can not stop the run. At least last 8 weeks they seem to for got how. Going to go Miami instead. GL with your plays even if we dont agree on this one.
 

ChrryBlstr

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 11, 2002
7,407
54
48
Hoosier country
good luck, senor....as always!!!

with ya on minny....against ya with my fish....i KNOW....EVERYONE is on them today....just can't seem to bet against my team, though....*L*

:)
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top