Senors' Sunday Selections Wk 8

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Small & "for action" plays are not counted on my record.

My money/record plays are ranked from strongest to weakest
(top to bottom)

Of course they can change in rank
(& probably will) before gametime Sunday depending on the circumstances.


Oh ya gotta love the card for week 8 especially after last weekends.


Early heavy leans.......

Yup you guessed it....

Chefs +3
Falcons + 4
Da Bears + 1
J E T S - 3
Bills - 7
Cowbells - 2.5
'Zona + 8.5
Broncos + 3


best to all
SC


NFL
Sides 29-20-1
Totals 2-1-0
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Best Bet
Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots

Check the Patsies turnaround......
1st 3 games averaged 38 pts (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) but just 12 ppg in their last 3 (0-3 SU 0-3 ATS) Absolutely astonishing !!!
The "run & shoot" dies again.To top it off Belichicks "D" is being had (28 ppg last 4)

Broncos are 19-7 ATS play as dogs & a nice 11-3 ATS off KC.

Patsies are 11-31 ATS as non-division favorites.

Key game for the Patsies but I think the worng team is favored here.



Denver Broncos + 3 :clap:

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Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints


I bet the Falcons against the Giants, Vick goes down.
I lose.
I bet against them with the Panthers. Vick plays.
I lose.

LW Vick went up against the # 2 defensive team in the NFL & proceeded to hit on 16 of 22 passes and also rushed for 91 yds on only 6 carries.
Lets not forget that 44 yd TD run :eek:

Saints (6-1) counter with Duce who has rushed for 721 yds & Aaron (4 TDs vs 9ers).

Falcons have held its last 5 foes to just 9.4 ppg.

Atlanta has also covered an impressive 16 out of 17 trips to the Big Easy.

Reeves is a solid 9-4 ATS as a dog off a pair of SU wins.



Atlanta Falcons + 4 :brows:

Play stands


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Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs

What can I say ?
Chiefs choke another one (covered) but choked nonetheless.
No choke this week, as Chiefs dine on liquid Raider pops.

Earlier in the season Oakland looked unbeatable, but invincibility has taken a sudden turn, with not only a pair of SU losses, but ATS setbacks of 23 & 13 pts.

Oakland is 2-8-1 ATS as a division RF & only 5-14-1 vs the Chiefs.

KC is a 29-9-2 spread play as a HD & 14-3 ATS at home after allowing at least 30 pts.

Chiefs are only 6 pts from a 12-0 ATS run!!!



Kansas City Chiefs + 3 :cool:

Scratched over due to weather
Thanks guyz

------------------------------------------


Detriot Lions @ Buffalo Bills

I made a BIG mistake LW when I leaned heavily on the Bills only to reverse my selection to the Fins.
Something a capper should NEVER do.
Lay off maybe, but never reverse your selection.
I have done this before, unfortunately :drinky::nono:

Anyways, Buffalos (Buffaloes??) (sp)"D" (34 ppg allowed) took full advantage of Miamis backup QB forcing 6 TOs
(4 picks & 2 fumbles)

Bills in a division sandwich, but their potent "O" should dominate Lions 30th rated "D".

Detriot has allowed 34 ppg, before that OT squeaker vs Bears.
Lions has lost by 28 & 24 pts in their 2 non-division RGs to date & are 2-10 ATS in Oct vs non-NFC Central foes.

Bills are 18-8-2 ATS vs the NFC & are a solid 9-1 ATS at home off a road win.



Now hear this.... :director: Buffalo Bills - 7

----------------------------------------


Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings


Da Bears have covered 7 or their last 8 games at Minnesota
Vikings are just 6-14 ATS as home favorites since 1999.

With that said, this is a matchup between 2 teams who have disappointed their fans all year.

QB Culpepper has completely self destructed this year and he has tossed 12 INTs thus far.

Its going to be a long season for Minnesota fans.



Chicago Bears + 1
:brows:

---------------------------------------------

Seattle Seahags @ Dallas Cowbells


3rd chalk role for the Bells who stand 0-2 vs the pts in that setup.
A year ago, Dallas was installed as a favorite twice & went 0-2 ATS.
So, Seattle is the play here, right ?
Not so fast cowboy.

Seattle enters with but a single win & that of the fluky variety when they scored 4 TDs in a 1:47 span against the Vikings.

Checking the Seahags deficit at St Louis: FDs 28-13 YDs 478-290 TIME 40:27 to 19:33.

Seattle is ranked 27th offensively & 28th defensively.

'Bells at least have a decent "D" 912th) & have more than 120 RYs in 4 of their last 5 outtings.

Dallas is a 14-6 spread play as Oct hosts & are 10-4 ATS as host off 'Zona.



Ring the Bells - 2 :Yep:

----------------------------------------------

Small plays on Az + 8.5 & Pitt - 2.5
 
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Dizzayton

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love the falcons here also, Vick looks quicker than ever and on the turf in NO he could get real nasty, ATl's D ain't bad either. I think Atl may turn it around and be in playoff contention
 

pt1gard

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sr.

sr.

I love your falcon call b/c to me this is 4th sucker/curious line ive seen this year ...

tenn* at dallas

jags* at tenn

bills at fish*

all the * teams appeared to be sucker bets IMO and all lost SU as faves

so this week falcons line starts at 3.5, now 4 .. and havent they covered 16-1 in NO?


as far as SF, woohoo, yes!! IF JJ could play that'd help ... their 3rd down D sux, 20-29 permitted L2 weeks, but plummer only 49% comp. ... SF avg 17 pts per FH at home, Zona 7 on rd (one td in fh in 3 rd games) ... I bet -4 FH and teased SF to several games and bought them down to -6.5 on sunday night .. MUST GAME for SF, they have played well offensively last 4 weeks; Barlow felt terrible for fumbling vs saints, he might get lots of carries this week, cuz GH is hobbled some ... Zona lacks OFF, cant see them keeping up with 49ers at home ...

gl, gregg


:D :D
 

baby johnson

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this is copied off the nfl site:

ATLANTA
OUT
WR Darrin Chiaverini (Quadricep)
C Roberto Garza (Foot)


DOUBTFUL
RB T.J. Duckett (Foot)

CB Kevin Mathis (Knee)
T Todd Weiner (Calf)


QUESTIONABLE
FB Bob Christian (Concussion)


PROBABLE
CB Juran Bolden (Hip)


OLB Matt Stewart (Ribs)
OLB John Thierry (neck)

:eek:
 

PJ12

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CAREFUL on G-woMEN!!

CAREFUL on G-woMEN!!

Great spot for Birds, Giants get a beatin long overdue!!!!!!
Jus my opinion!
 

GM

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Yes, that NO/Atl line looks pretty strange. Tempting to take NO here, I'm starting to become a believer. The rest of the picks I would say I am in agreement on. Don't know if that means I actually bet 'em, but I doubt I will oppose 'em.

Good for you to learn your lesson...never switch sides!

No matter how it turns out, I love your style Senor....your posts are some of the best here.

Good luck.
 

DjGuey

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I'm not sure of T.J. Duckett is playing but he won't have much of a impact if he does. He's not cloe to 100% yet.

Take the O/U on the Bills/Lions game. It will be a high scorer. Hopefully my Lions can pull it out. They stopped the Saints offense maybe the Bills too.
 

Senor Capper

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Misc trends......

Misc trends......

Atlanta is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games at New Orleans against the Saints.

Arizona is 7-1 ATS last eight games on the road.

Chicago is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.

NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games at home.

Jacksonville is 3-0 ATS at home this season.

Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

NY Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at Philadelphia against the Eagles.

Oakland/Kansas City, the over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Oh ya &

Oh ya &

hats off to Andy Iskoe (Capper for Gaming Today)
Anywayz he went 13-0 ATS in last LWs games.
Selecting both sides and totals.

:Yep: Andy you rocked !!!

His selections this week, though don't expect to duplicate LW record & by the looks of them he won't ;)


Chiefs/Raiders OVER 55.5
Vikings - 1
Falcons + 4
Jets - 3
Steelers/Ravens UNDER 38
Lions/Bills OVER 50
Bucs/Panthers UNDER 33
Titans - 5.5
Seahags + 2.5
49ers - 8
Patsies + 2.5
Texans/Jags UNDER 38
Colts/Redskins UNDER 47
Giants + 7
 
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Crazy Fingers

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Capper, my initial thoughts are on the KC over as well, but it is currently raining......and should all day long.....will that change your outlook on that play?
 

jdh

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I would ask the same question. Rain=loose ball, slippery hands, falls, easy fumbling=not much scoring. Teams may try to run he ball more because of rain.
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Weather

Weather

Your from the area ? My weather guy says rain tomorrow cloudy today. Thanks for your input.

and Yes weather does affect totals in my opinion, especially when the totals over 55, however the KC side will still stand.

G/L & Best to you guyz


Thanks everyone
SC

now adding......My weather guy sucks (dropped him) dropping the over & doubling up on KC +3.
 
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Mosley

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Weather KC Over

Weather KC Over

Senor Thought I would share this with you I am from the area and it is miserable right now.
ej



UV Index: 2, Minimal
Click Here for Averages and Records
Sunday:
Showers this morning becoming a steady light rain during the afternoon hours. Temperatures steady in the mid 40s. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
Sunday night:
Occasional light rain. Low 42F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
45 ?F 42 ?F
 
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