Good luck to all, I'll be back later with my plays 
Courtesy of Don Best Sports
Here?s a profitable NFL trend that is worth tracking for the rest of the season. This money maker requires a little homework but it?s proved to be well worth the time, cashing at over 68% since 1996.
Wager on teams that average more than 1.25 yard per rush more than their opponent when they are favorites of four points or less. This simple system has only failed in one season since 1989.
There is four teams that fit into this category in Week 4: Baltimore, Philadelphia, Jacksonville and Dallas.
Another profitable ploy that doesn?t crop up too often is to wager against any team from -3 to +3 playing a non-conference game after a division loss. This has cashed at a 27-8 clip (77.1%). That makes the Patriots worth a look against the Redskins. Washington came up short in a division battle with the Giants last week.
NEW ENGLAND at WASHINGTON (-1 ?): A lot of trends and angles point to the Pats this week but that hasn?t stopped the public from jumping on Washington (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS). The Skins have floundered in 51 of their last 80 as favorites, including 16 of their last 22 at home in September. They have also failed in 14 of 18 at home after playing at home the week before and in 22 of 30 as a favorite off a loss. Washington has also come up short in five straight ATS the week after losing to the Giants. New England (2-1 SU& ATS) has its own share of negatives. The Pats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 outside the AFC-East, though they have ?covered? five of six versus NFC competition. New England will be looking to cash three straight for the first time since 2001. The Patriots have skipped ?under? in 12 of their last 16 on the highway when the number was between 42 ? and 49.
KANSAS CITY (-3) at BALTIMORE: The Chiefs have looked like the class of the AFC the first three weeks of the season while averaging nearly 37 points per game. It could be a different story against the stiff Baltimore (2-1 SU&ATS) defense. Kansas City (3-0 SU&ATS) has opened the season with four straight victories since 1996. The Chiefs have cashed 30 of their last 44 in September. The Ravens have ?covered? six of their last seven versus AFC- West competition and nine of 10 outside their division versus AFC rivals. Baltimore has also cashed eight straight against an opponent playing at least their second straight on the road. Kansas City has eclipsed the total in seven of its last nine, both overall and on the road. The Ravens, however, have trickled ?under? in 33 of 43 outside their division and 37 of 49 facing teams they meet only once a year. They have jumped the number in seven of eight at home when it was between 42 ? and 45.
PHILADELPHIA at BUFFALO (-3): The winless Eagles have had a week off to heal their wounds but their defense still won?t be at full strength. Philadelphia (0-2 SU&ATS) has lost three in a row since ?99, the last time it didn?t make the playoffs and it hasn?t failed to cash three in a row since way back in ?96. They have come away with the cash in 15 of their last 22 as road dogs and eight of nine on artificial turf. Philly has also cashed five of its last six off a bye. Buffalo (2-1 SU&ATS) has dipped ?under? in five of its last six at home versus the NFC-East. The Eagles have climbed ?over? in seven straight the week before facing the Redskins.
TENNESSEE at PITTSBURGH (-3): The Steelers have held the aces in this AFC rivalry, getting the money in four of the last five and six of eight at home. Pittsburgh (2-1 SU&ATS) was only 2-7 at Heinz Field last season but cashed in its home opener against the Ravens and 12 of 18 from 2000-01. Tennessee (2-1 SU&ATS) has come up short in seven of its last eight ATS on the road in the first half of the season. They have ?covered? 27 of their last 37 as underdogs, however. Six of the last seven series encounters jumped ?over?, including the last four and nine of the last 10 in the Steel City. The Titans have jumped above the limit in 14 of 19 against teams they face once a year and in nine of their last 11 after three straight ?under? outings. Tennessee has knuckled ?under? in eight of its last nine on the road following a home win and seven straight as underdogs when the total was at least 45.
CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (-5 ?): The Bengals have picked up where they left off last season, under rookie coach Marvin Lewis, losing three straight. Last year Cincinnati (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) stumbled out of the gate with seven straight setbacks and in 2000 they dropped six straight to being the season. Cleveland (1-2 SU&ATS) swept the season series with the Bengals last year and it has won and cashed three straight and three of four at home. Cincinnati has come up short in 11 of its last 14 ATS against teams with a losing record. They have also dropped 30 of 43 ATS in September and six of seven as road dogs of 3 ? to 7 points. The last four confrontations in Cleveland has dribbled ?under?. The Browns have gone below the number in seven of their last nine and the Bengals have followed suit in five straight, including all three tries in 2003. Cincinnati has jumped ?over? in seven of its last eight on the road when the number was between 35 ? and 42.
Courtesy of Don Best Sports
Here?s a profitable NFL trend that is worth tracking for the rest of the season. This money maker requires a little homework but it?s proved to be well worth the time, cashing at over 68% since 1996.
Wager on teams that average more than 1.25 yard per rush more than their opponent when they are favorites of four points or less. This simple system has only failed in one season since 1989.
There is four teams that fit into this category in Week 4: Baltimore, Philadelphia, Jacksonville and Dallas.
Another profitable ploy that doesn?t crop up too often is to wager against any team from -3 to +3 playing a non-conference game after a division loss. This has cashed at a 27-8 clip (77.1%). That makes the Patriots worth a look against the Redskins. Washington came up short in a division battle with the Giants last week.
NEW ENGLAND at WASHINGTON (-1 ?): A lot of trends and angles point to the Pats this week but that hasn?t stopped the public from jumping on Washington (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS). The Skins have floundered in 51 of their last 80 as favorites, including 16 of their last 22 at home in September. They have also failed in 14 of 18 at home after playing at home the week before and in 22 of 30 as a favorite off a loss. Washington has also come up short in five straight ATS the week after losing to the Giants. New England (2-1 SU& ATS) has its own share of negatives. The Pats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 outside the AFC-East, though they have ?covered? five of six versus NFC competition. New England will be looking to cash three straight for the first time since 2001. The Patriots have skipped ?under? in 12 of their last 16 on the highway when the number was between 42 ? and 49.
KANSAS CITY (-3) at BALTIMORE: The Chiefs have looked like the class of the AFC the first three weeks of the season while averaging nearly 37 points per game. It could be a different story against the stiff Baltimore (2-1 SU&ATS) defense. Kansas City (3-0 SU&ATS) has opened the season with four straight victories since 1996. The Chiefs have cashed 30 of their last 44 in September. The Ravens have ?covered? six of their last seven versus AFC- West competition and nine of 10 outside their division versus AFC rivals. Baltimore has also cashed eight straight against an opponent playing at least their second straight on the road. Kansas City has eclipsed the total in seven of its last nine, both overall and on the road. The Ravens, however, have trickled ?under? in 33 of 43 outside their division and 37 of 49 facing teams they meet only once a year. They have jumped the number in seven of eight at home when it was between 42 ? and 45.
PHILADELPHIA at BUFFALO (-3): The winless Eagles have had a week off to heal their wounds but their defense still won?t be at full strength. Philadelphia (0-2 SU&ATS) has lost three in a row since ?99, the last time it didn?t make the playoffs and it hasn?t failed to cash three in a row since way back in ?96. They have come away with the cash in 15 of their last 22 as road dogs and eight of nine on artificial turf. Philly has also cashed five of its last six off a bye. Buffalo (2-1 SU&ATS) has dipped ?under? in five of its last six at home versus the NFC-East. The Eagles have climbed ?over? in seven straight the week before facing the Redskins.
TENNESSEE at PITTSBURGH (-3): The Steelers have held the aces in this AFC rivalry, getting the money in four of the last five and six of eight at home. Pittsburgh (2-1 SU&ATS) was only 2-7 at Heinz Field last season but cashed in its home opener against the Ravens and 12 of 18 from 2000-01. Tennessee (2-1 SU&ATS) has come up short in seven of its last eight ATS on the road in the first half of the season. They have ?covered? 27 of their last 37 as underdogs, however. Six of the last seven series encounters jumped ?over?, including the last four and nine of the last 10 in the Steel City. The Titans have jumped above the limit in 14 of 19 against teams they face once a year and in nine of their last 11 after three straight ?under? outings. Tennessee has knuckled ?under? in eight of its last nine on the road following a home win and seven straight as underdogs when the total was at least 45.
CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (-5 ?): The Bengals have picked up where they left off last season, under rookie coach Marvin Lewis, losing three straight. Last year Cincinnati (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) stumbled out of the gate with seven straight setbacks and in 2000 they dropped six straight to being the season. Cleveland (1-2 SU&ATS) swept the season series with the Bengals last year and it has won and cashed three straight and three of four at home. Cincinnati has come up short in 11 of its last 14 ATS against teams with a losing record. They have also dropped 30 of 43 ATS in September and six of seven as road dogs of 3 ? to 7 points. The last four confrontations in Cleveland has dribbled ?under?. The Browns have gone below the number in seven of their last nine and the Bengals have followed suit in five straight, including all three tries in 2003. Cincinnati has jumped ?over? in seven of its last eight on the road when the number was between 35 ? and 42.
