SERIES INFO

RAYMOND

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BEGINNING TUESDAY AUGUST 10



Arizona at Montreal (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

Here?s how bad the Diamondbacks are: They were swept at home by the hapless Expos and were outscored 15-4 in the process. So, if you think that Arizona is capable of revenge against a team that is 5-2 at home since coming off a 28-day road trip, be our guest. PREFERRED: Expos in all games.

San Francisco at Pittsburgh (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Giants benefit here by probably not facing Kip Wells or Oliver Perez and, with Kris Benson now pitching in Shea Stadium, that leaves the disappointing Jason Fogg and the mediocre Ryan Vogelsong, among others. San Francisco avenges an earlier three game sweep. PREFERRED: Giants in all games.

St. Louis at Florida (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Marlins have been fading out of the playoff picture since mid-June (15-23) and their recent flurry of trades tells us to stay away from a team in this much flux. We?ll take the visitors (12-4 since the All-Star break) especially if they should face Dontrelle Willis (St. Louis is 8-3, +$495 on the road vs. southpaws) or Josh Beckett who has been on the DL three different times in the last two months. PREFERRED: Cardinals in all games.

Houston at N.Y. Mets (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Mets took two of three from the Astros earlier this year (+$380) and have now won six of the last nine (+$740). New York continues to get exemplary starting pitching (3.06 ERA is the best in MLB) and the additions of Kris Benson and Victor Zambrano won?t hurt. But, the Mets have folded faster than a cheap suit in August and are all but out of playoff contention. PREFERRED: None.

Los Angeles at Cincinnati (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

When the Reds could do no wrong a few months ago they swept LA in Los Angeles (+$440). But, it?s the Dodgers who are playing great baseball now while the Reds, who were 34-22 on June 4, have now lost 31** of their last 48 games. With a pitching staff that now consists of one legitimate starter, Paul Wilson, who is 6-1 at home and one real reliever (Danny Graves), we want no part of them right now unless Wilson trudges out to the mound. PREFERRED: Wilson/Dodgers vs. all but Wilson.

Milwaukee at Atlanta (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Braves just keep rolling along. They?ve won 13 of their last 18 home games (+$820 overall) and, once again look like the team to beat in the NL East. Taxes, death and, now, the Atlanta Braves. But, the Bravos, having put considerable distance between themselves and their NL East rivals, could be ready to tread water for a stretch, while the feisty Brewers and their vastly improved pitching staff (3.97 ERA) have never stopped hustling from the first game in April. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Braves.

San Diego at Chicago Cubs (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Padres are fighting for the NL West title or a wildcard slot, so expect good pitching and close games to be the order of the day. Carlos Zambrano (6-1 at home with a 1.99 ERA and a .174 BAA) is the closest thing to a sure thing as there is in this series and he?s our only recommendation at this time. PREFERRED: Zambrano.

Toronto at Cleveland (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Blue Jays and Indians hooked up for a four-game series in Canada last week, so please check those results. The Blue Jays are $1380 in the hole on the road and we don?t gave them much of a chance what with Miguel Batista and Ted Lilly scheduled to miss this series, but we?re not about to lay heavy lumber to prove the point. PREFERRED: None.

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Royals and White Sox played three games in KC last week, so please check those results. We?d love to use one of the Royals? southpaws here as the Sox generally have trouble against them, but we have little or none faith in any of them. And, with the White Sox prices being loftier than the prose in an acceptance speech at a political convention, we?ll pass for now. PREFERRED: None.

N.Y. Yankees at Texas (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

These frontrunners played a pair of exciting three-game sets earlier in the year and split them with each winning two of three in its own park. The Yankees have pulled away from the Red Sox and have almost a mortal lock on the AL East while the Rangers are struggling to win the AL West or capture the wildcard, so this may be a good time to take advantage of the experienced and relaxed visitors as opposed to the young Texans. PREFERRED: Yankees in all games.

Minnesota at Seattle (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

If the Twins are to defeat the White Sox in the AL Central, this is the kind of series, against a decidedly inferior opponent, that they can?t afford to lose. Minny has already won four of six (+$240). The Mariners have lost eight of their last 10 games, are -$555 in the red at home and 4-11 at home against portsiders. What is there to like about them? PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Mariners

Detroit at Oakland (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Tigers incredibly poor record (6-16, -$715) on the road against southpaws will not serve well against the likes of Mark Mulder, Barry Zito and Mark Redman especially at night where they are 1-13 (-$1165). PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Tigers.

Baltimore at Anaheim (3) 10th, 11th, 12th

The Angels jumped all over the Orioles (5-1, +$400) when Baltimore was pretending to be a contender. But, Anaheim did nothing to bolster a disappointing pitching staff before the trade deadline while the O?s starters have steadily improved since the early June under the patient tutelage of pitching coach Ray Miller. Sidney Ponson, after a horrendous start, has reeled off three straight wins including a route-going, one run/four hit performance vs. New York in the Bronx. He?s worth a look at nice odds. PREFERRED: Ponson.
 

RAYMOND

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BEGINNING THURSDAY AUGUST 13



Los Angeles at Chicago Cubs (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

The Dodgers seem to be in control in the NL West while the Cubs are starting to look like the Senior Circuit?s wildcard entrant. The Cubs? have had a ball all year at home vs. lefties in Wrigley (11-2, +$750) and the addition of Nomar only makes them that much stronger in that situation. LA has been playing great ball for a long time and are way overdue for a mini-slump. BEST BET: Cubs against Perez, Ishii and Alvarez.

Houston at Montreal (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

In Texas last weekend, the Expos took two of three, winning a small fortune for their backers. Of course, those results only add to our long held belief that the overrated Astros (-$3005) are as solid a Lone Star State investment as Enron. We want nothing to do with them,and remember that the ?Stros are 44-44 as chalk Yikes! BEST BET; Expos in all games.

San Francisco at Philadelphia (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

As is usually the case when things go awry, faulty pitching has contributed mightily to the Giants? disappointing season (4.55 team ERA). In San Francisco?s case, unreliable starters, outside of the great Jason Schmidt) has caused an iffy relief corps (5.40 ERA on the road) to collapse. The Phillies, by taking five of six on the road from San Diego and Los Angeles last week, showed that they have the stuff to stay in the hunt until the end. The Giants have seeded some kids into their starting rotation, a sure sign that they?re beginning to think about April, 2005. PREFERRED: Phillies in all games.

Colorado at Pittsburgh (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

The Rockies? ineptitude on the road (20-31) has been well-documented here especially vs. righties (13-25 averaging 3.8 RPG), so we?ll jump all over Jason Fogg and the underrated Kip Wells. The only current Colorado starter who is in the black on the road is Aaron Cook (+$365) and he?s not scheduled in this series. The Rockies are hitting 65 points lower on the road than at home (.242 vs. .307) and they don?t have the pitching to make up for that lack of production. PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. the Rockies.

Arizona at N.Y. Mets (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

We?re not the biggest fans of Mets? mentor Art Howe, but even he should be smart enough to figure out that pitching Al Leiter (3-0 at home with a 1.05 ERA and a .193 BAA) and Tom Glavine (2.34 ERA at home with a .219 BAA in 61.2 innings) in this series might be a good idea. The ?Backs are bank-breaking 8-29 vs. lefties (-$2385). We?ll try Johnson, who seems to be resigned to staying in the desert, but only off a Mets? victory. BEST BET: Lefthanders vs. the Diamondbacks. PREFERRED: Johnson off a Diamondbacks? loss.

San Diego at Cincinnati (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

Pitching, pitching, pitching is the theme of this analysis. The Padres have a ton of it, the Reds (starters? ERA is 4.54 at home, relievers? is 4.45) have almost none. Bad pitching makes good hitters of just about anyone, so we expect the moribund San Diego ?O? to come alive in the ?Great American Bandbox? against a staff whose ERA is outdoing itself lately (6.21 ERA last 10 games as opposed to 5.21 for the year). The Padres should also benefit here by playing a team no longer in the wildcard hunt. PREFERRED: Padres in all games.

St. Louis at Atlanta (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

Is this a preview of the NL Championship Series? That?s a good possibility. While we respect the Braves? recent resurgence, it?s not easy to play against the best road team in MLB (36-20, +$1785) and so we won?t. Against righties, the Cardinals are 28-13 on the road (+$1450) averaging six RPG. Your best opportunity with the Redbirds is Jeff Suppan who is 6-0 as a visitor this season with a 3.14 ERA and a .214 BAA. BEST BET: Suppan.

Florida at Milwaukee (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

Last weekend the Marlins stemmed the tide by taking two of three from the slumping (7-16 since mid-July) and offensively-challenged Brewers (4.1 RPG, second lowest total in MLB), so why should it be any different in Wisconsin? Well, Doug Davis, who did not start in the last series, is 6-2 at home (the Brewers are 8-4, +$445 in his 12 home starts) with a 2.75 ERA and a .223 BAA and the Marlins are 4-9 (-$660) on the road vs. southpaws. PREFERRED: Davis.

Baltimore at Toronto (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

Baltimore has won four of six (+$220) in this series and is giving signs of late (won 7 of their last 10, +$480, averaging an AL-high 6.4 RPG over that streak) that it has no desire to finish in the basement. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have lost seven of 10 (-$460) averaging 3.8 RPG over the same period of time. We?ll jump on the rejuvenated Sidney Ponson (five consecutive victories) and Daniel Cabrera (6-3 on the road with a 3.72 ERA). BEST BET: Ponson/Cabrera.

Chicago White Sox at Boston (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

Given those season-ending injuries to Frank Thomas and Maglio Ordonez, the White Sox should be easy pickings for Boston, especially in Fenway Park where they are 22-12 vs. righties averaging six RPG and wespecially vs. Jose Contreras (0-4 lifetime with a 16.34 ERA, 0-2 in 04? with a 13.09 ERA) BEST BET: Red Sox against Contreras. PREFERRED: Red Sox vs. righthanders.

Minnesota at Cleveland (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

The Indians are saying publicly that they?re in contention for the AL Central title. Now is the time to prove it. They have 13 games left with the front-running Twins (lost four of six, -$185 so far), but they?ve been relatively tough at home especially vs. righties (22-12, +$1165) and, for our money, the Twins? righties have been mediocre at best (no righty has an ERA lower than 4.40 on the road) all year. BEST BET: Indians vs. righthanders.

Tampa Bay at Texas (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

The Devil Rays are 13-27 (-$910) on the road against righties, but Texas, outside of Ryan Drese (6-2 at home with a 2.35 ERA and a .225 BAA), has no dependable righty starters. Drese has been terrific at home (6-2 with a 2.35 ERA and a .225 BAA), has allowed two or lees runs in five of his last six starts and is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 13 inning this season vs. Tampa Bay. With the Rangers below.500 at home (5-8, -$485) at home vs. southpaws, John Halama becomes the lone Rays? selection. BEST BET: Drese. PREFERRED: Halama.

N.Y. Yankees at Seattle (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

Even on the road, the Yankees might be too rich for our blood. New York?s all righthanded starting corps should thrive against a team that is playing so badly against them (29-50, -$2395), but at what price? Let?s hedge our bets a bit and recommend the Bombers off a loss and against southpaws (27-8, +$1560) PREFERRED: Yankees vs. lefthanders off a Mariners? victory .

Kansas City at Oakland (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

If you thought the prices on the above series would be high, wait until you see what Vegas has to offer here. A price as low as 2-1, would be a downright gift, so we?ll steer clear of the chalk. As far as the dog is concerned, the Royals have now lost 15 of their last 19 games. BEST BET: None.

Detroit at Anaheim (3) 13th, 14th, 15th

The Tigers won?t go away and are not to be overlooked vs. a team whose starting pitching is mediocre. No way we can trust the Anaheim starters outside of Bartolo Colon who has looked like the real deal since the All-Star break (5-0, 2.25 ERA) or Aaron Sele (Angels are 10-4, +$580 in his 14 starts), especially if either hooks Mike Maroth. The Tigers are 3-10 (-$550) in his 13 road starts where his ERA is 5.99 and his BAA is .308. PREFERRED: Colon/Sele vs. Maroth/Tigers (no Maroth) vs. Escobar, Lackey and Ortiz.
 
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