REDSHEET
NOVEMBER 13, 2004 VOLUME 36, NUMBER 11
MINNESOTA 38 - Iowa 13 - (12:00 EST) -- Line opened at Minnesota minus 4, and is now minus 3. The
Gophers have hit hard times of late, after opening at 5-0. A win here (their final game of the
regular season), however, puts them at 7-4, & in line for a decent bowl slot. They've been
the epitome of road/away dichotomy, losing their last 3 visiting roles, not only SU, but by
42?, 26?, & 16? pt vs the pts. In their last 3 hosters, they are undefeated, with ****** of
21, 12, & 26?, along with a 6-pt miss. They live via the rush, where they stand 7th best in
the land, despite their recent road demises, & still average 315 RYs at home, with Maroney
& Barber holding down the 18th & 34th spot among the nation's runners. Hawkeyes hurting
at RB, & have a 91-53 pt deficit as visitors. Minny in this "must" affair.
RATING: MINNESOTA 89
PURDUE 33 - Ohio State 16 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Purdue minus 5?, and is now minus 4. Much like
Minny above, the Boilers have dropped from the collegiate heights over the past month,
after also opening at a perfect 5-0. They've suffered thru an unimaginable 4-game stretch,
in which they've lost by 3, 2, 3, & 2 pts. From a national title contender, to an also-ran. But
they finish with a pair of home games, & Tiller won't allow any towel tossing. A week ago,
they came back from a deep hole at Iowa, which says volumes about their no-quit attitude.
The Bucks present a solid opportunity for ship turning, as Purdue has 2 scores to settle with
Ohio St, after losing in the final 1:36, & in overtime in their last 2 meetings. Buck offense is
a disgrace, ranking 79th in rushing, 99th in passing, & 105th in total "O".
RATING: PURDUE 89
BALL STATE 31 - Central Florida 20 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Ball St minus 2?, and is now minus 3?.
Prediction: in the not-too-distant future, the Knights of Central Florida will be a legitimate
power in the MAC, & will find themselves among the lower teens in the weekly polls. That
is if O'Leary is given the proper time & resources. He is, quite simply, a winner. It has
become more apparent by the week, that the talent just wasn't there for any miracle turnaround
this season. That being said, the Cards of Ball St had an extra wk to prepare for this
one, which has suddenly become incentive-laden, as they aren't about to become the only
team to lose to Central. Host team is on a 12-2 ATS run in Card games. Again.
RATING: BALL STATE 88
Georgia 24 - AUBURN 22 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Auburn minus 5, and is still minus 5. Originally we were
hoping for a spot of 7 or 8 pts on this one, & as a result of the 5-pt line, we decided to drop
the Bulldogs from a high rating on Pointwise, although calling for a 1-pt Tiger win. However,
respected sources agree that the 'Dawgs are still the play. The Eagles have done just
about all that has been asked of them this season, climbing to the #3 slot in the land on both
polls, as well as the BCS column. They rank 5th, 2nd, 14th, & 7th in total, scoring, running
& passing "D" respectively, with the Bulldogs ranking 14, 13, 20, & 16. Campbell is among
the best, but Greene has proven his worth in big games. In a classic.
RATING: GEORGIA 88
Clemson 27 - DUKE 26 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Clemson minus 12?, and is still minus 12?. A perfect
spot for the Imps. Not only have the Devils performed better than expected in 6 of their last
7 games, but they have the advantage of catching the Tigers off no less than 3 true
heartstoppers. Clemson eventually won all 3, but note that the dog also paid off in all 3.
Next week, the Tigers take on intrastate rival, South Carolina, so a bit of peeking to that one
is expected. Whitehurst has had his way with the Imps the past 2 years: 751 PYs & 7 TDs,
but just a 1-1 split ATS, narrowly escaping in last trip to Durham, 34-31. The host is a 6-1
series play, and the puppy is on a 13-5 spread run when the Tigers take the field.
RATING: DUKE 88
Seattle 31 - ST LOUIS 24 - (1:00) -- Line opened at St Louis minus 1?, and is still minus 1?. Revenge is far
from an automatic "go-with" in the NFL, as our annual late column on that theory in Pointwise
attests. But there are certain setups which call for a more than average look. This one is a
case-in-point. The Seahawks opened impressively this year, opening 3-0, both SU & ATS,
& in game #4, they held a 27-10 lead over the Rams with under 6:00 left. But Bulger then
smoked Seattle for 3 TDs, including the winning 52-yd pass in OT. That one sent the
'Hawks into 3-game tailspin, but they've regrouped, behind the running of Alexander, & a
revitalized Hasselbeck. Rams have allowed 71 pts past 2 weeks. Upset.
RATING: SEATTLE 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Tulane, BowlingGreen, Texas, OklahomaSt -- NFL: Arizona, Cleveland, Dallas
LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest move): FresnoSt (-15? to -19); Texas (-17? to -21); Utah (-20 to
-23); Alabama (+10 to +7?); SMU (+9 to +7); TexasTech (+4 to +2?); Baylor (+26 to +24?); OregonSt (+1?
to Pick); UTEP (-15? to -17) -- TIME CHANGES: GaTech/UConn: now 1:00; Wisc/MichSt: 3:30; Syr/Temp:
12:00; TxTech/TxA&M: 3:30; Tex/Kans: 12:00; MOhio/WMich: 3:30; Ark/Miss: 12:30; Utah/Wy: 7:00; AF/
SDSt: 3:00; Unlv/ColSt: 12:00; Byu/NMex: 12:00; Fla/SoCaro: 7:00; ArizSt/WSt: 7:00; Okla/Neb: 7:00;
WkForest/NoCaro: 12:00; BG/Marshall: 12:00; Boise/SJSt: 12:00; Utep/Rice: 9:05; Lsu/Ala: 7:45....
RED SHEET ONLINE
RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY
============================
Northcoast Power Sweep
4* Utah Utes
3* Wisconsin Badgers
3* Oregon Ducks
2* Notre Dame Irish
2* Southern California Trojans
2* Oklahoma Sooners
Underdog Game of the Week:
Georgia Bulldogs
4* Kansas City Chiefs
3* Tampa Bay Bucs
2* Washington Redskins
2* Tennessee Titans
=========================
Pointwise
College
1 Tulane
1 Minnesota
2 Alabama
3 UTEP
4 NC St
4 Purdue
5 Fresno
5 TTech
NFL
2 Arizona
3 KC
4 Cleveland
4 Houston
4 New England
==========================
Gold Sheet
College Key Releases:
Duke plus
Utep by 30
La Tech by 16
Alabama over LSU (Tech Play of the Week)
NFL Key Releases:
Washington by 14
Green Bay by 13
Sea/STL OVER 50
Gold Sheet Extra
College Key Releases:
Cal
Boise St.
UTEP
Alabama
NFL Release:
Arizona
CKO
11 Utah
10 Pittsburgh (college)
10 Marshall
10 Oklahoma
10 Tampa Bay
Totals: Det/Jax UNDER (35.5)....NYG/AZ OVER (38)
Honorable Mention: Mississippi (+9)....Colorado St (-6.5)....BYU (-7)....Georgia (+5)....NE (-8.5)
NOVEMBER 13, 2004 VOLUME 36, NUMBER 11
MINNESOTA 38 - Iowa 13 - (12:00 EST) -- Line opened at Minnesota minus 4, and is now minus 3. The
Gophers have hit hard times of late, after opening at 5-0. A win here (their final game of the
regular season), however, puts them at 7-4, & in line for a decent bowl slot. They've been
the epitome of road/away dichotomy, losing their last 3 visiting roles, not only SU, but by
42?, 26?, & 16? pt vs the pts. In their last 3 hosters, they are undefeated, with ****** of
21, 12, & 26?, along with a 6-pt miss. They live via the rush, where they stand 7th best in
the land, despite their recent road demises, & still average 315 RYs at home, with Maroney
& Barber holding down the 18th & 34th spot among the nation's runners. Hawkeyes hurting
at RB, & have a 91-53 pt deficit as visitors. Minny in this "must" affair.
RATING: MINNESOTA 89
PURDUE 33 - Ohio State 16 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Purdue minus 5?, and is now minus 4. Much like
Minny above, the Boilers have dropped from the collegiate heights over the past month,
after also opening at a perfect 5-0. They've suffered thru an unimaginable 4-game stretch,
in which they've lost by 3, 2, 3, & 2 pts. From a national title contender, to an also-ran. But
they finish with a pair of home games, & Tiller won't allow any towel tossing. A week ago,
they came back from a deep hole at Iowa, which says volumes about their no-quit attitude.
The Bucks present a solid opportunity for ship turning, as Purdue has 2 scores to settle with
Ohio St, after losing in the final 1:36, & in overtime in their last 2 meetings. Buck offense is
a disgrace, ranking 79th in rushing, 99th in passing, & 105th in total "O".
RATING: PURDUE 89
BALL STATE 31 - Central Florida 20 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Ball St minus 2?, and is now minus 3?.
Prediction: in the not-too-distant future, the Knights of Central Florida will be a legitimate
power in the MAC, & will find themselves among the lower teens in the weekly polls. That
is if O'Leary is given the proper time & resources. He is, quite simply, a winner. It has
become more apparent by the week, that the talent just wasn't there for any miracle turnaround
this season. That being said, the Cards of Ball St had an extra wk to prepare for this
one, which has suddenly become incentive-laden, as they aren't about to become the only
team to lose to Central. Host team is on a 12-2 ATS run in Card games. Again.
RATING: BALL STATE 88
Georgia 24 - AUBURN 22 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Auburn minus 5, and is still minus 5. Originally we were
hoping for a spot of 7 or 8 pts on this one, & as a result of the 5-pt line, we decided to drop
the Bulldogs from a high rating on Pointwise, although calling for a 1-pt Tiger win. However,
respected sources agree that the 'Dawgs are still the play. The Eagles have done just
about all that has been asked of them this season, climbing to the #3 slot in the land on both
polls, as well as the BCS column. They rank 5th, 2nd, 14th, & 7th in total, scoring, running
& passing "D" respectively, with the Bulldogs ranking 14, 13, 20, & 16. Campbell is among
the best, but Greene has proven his worth in big games. In a classic.
RATING: GEORGIA 88
Clemson 27 - DUKE 26 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Clemson minus 12?, and is still minus 12?. A perfect
spot for the Imps. Not only have the Devils performed better than expected in 6 of their last
7 games, but they have the advantage of catching the Tigers off no less than 3 true
heartstoppers. Clemson eventually won all 3, but note that the dog also paid off in all 3.
Next week, the Tigers take on intrastate rival, South Carolina, so a bit of peeking to that one
is expected. Whitehurst has had his way with the Imps the past 2 years: 751 PYs & 7 TDs,
but just a 1-1 split ATS, narrowly escaping in last trip to Durham, 34-31. The host is a 6-1
series play, and the puppy is on a 13-5 spread run when the Tigers take the field.
RATING: DUKE 88
Seattle 31 - ST LOUIS 24 - (1:00) -- Line opened at St Louis minus 1?, and is still minus 1?. Revenge is far
from an automatic "go-with" in the NFL, as our annual late column on that theory in Pointwise
attests. But there are certain setups which call for a more than average look. This one is a
case-in-point. The Seahawks opened impressively this year, opening 3-0, both SU & ATS,
& in game #4, they held a 27-10 lead over the Rams with under 6:00 left. But Bulger then
smoked Seattle for 3 TDs, including the winning 52-yd pass in OT. That one sent the
'Hawks into 3-game tailspin, but they've regrouped, behind the running of Alexander, & a
revitalized Hasselbeck. Rams have allowed 71 pts past 2 weeks. Upset.
RATING: SEATTLE 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Tulane, BowlingGreen, Texas, OklahomaSt -- NFL: Arizona, Cleveland, Dallas
LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest move): FresnoSt (-15? to -19); Texas (-17? to -21); Utah (-20 to
-23); Alabama (+10 to +7?); SMU (+9 to +7); TexasTech (+4 to +2?); Baylor (+26 to +24?); OregonSt (+1?
to Pick); UTEP (-15? to -17) -- TIME CHANGES: GaTech/UConn: now 1:00; Wisc/MichSt: 3:30; Syr/Temp:
12:00; TxTech/TxA&M: 3:30; Tex/Kans: 12:00; MOhio/WMich: 3:30; Ark/Miss: 12:30; Utah/Wy: 7:00; AF/
SDSt: 3:00; Unlv/ColSt: 12:00; Byu/NMex: 12:00; Fla/SoCaro: 7:00; ArizSt/WSt: 7:00; Okla/Neb: 7:00;
WkForest/NoCaro: 12:00; BG/Marshall: 12:00; Boise/SJSt: 12:00; Utep/Rice: 9:05; Lsu/Ala: 7:45....
RED SHEET ONLINE
RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY
============================
Northcoast Power Sweep
4* Utah Utes
3* Wisconsin Badgers
3* Oregon Ducks
2* Notre Dame Irish
2* Southern California Trojans
2* Oklahoma Sooners
Underdog Game of the Week:
Georgia Bulldogs
4* Kansas City Chiefs
3* Tampa Bay Bucs
2* Washington Redskins
2* Tennessee Titans
=========================
Pointwise
College
1 Tulane
1 Minnesota
2 Alabama
3 UTEP
4 NC St
4 Purdue
5 Fresno
5 TTech
NFL
2 Arizona
3 KC
4 Cleveland
4 Houston
4 New England
==========================
Gold Sheet
College Key Releases:
Duke plus
Utep by 30
La Tech by 16
Alabama over LSU (Tech Play of the Week)
NFL Key Releases:
Washington by 14
Green Bay by 13
Sea/STL OVER 50
Gold Sheet Extra
College Key Releases:
Cal
Boise St.
UTEP
Alabama
NFL Release:
Arizona
CKO
11 Utah
10 Pittsburgh (college)
10 Marshall
10 Oklahoma
10 Tampa Bay
Totals: Det/Jax UNDER (35.5)....NYG/AZ OVER (38)
Honorable Mention: Mississippi (+9)....Colorado St (-6.5)....BYU (-7)....Georgia (+5)....NE (-8.5)
