Baseball Betting: - Road Dogs
For the most part, baseball bettors are far more likely to bet the favorite rather than the underdog. The oddsmaker knows this and has a tendency to inflate the line presenting value with underdogs.
Keep in mind, just because a team is favored does not mean the club will win every time. The baseball season is a long, grueling one and there are days when teams don't give their best efforts, ace pitchers have an off day, relievers implode, hitters slump and/or costly errors are made.
A study of this season's baseball road underdogs shows the group winning just 46.2% of the games but increased betting accounts by +$505. To get a better take, we asked our MLB stat crunching machine to brake it down by line ranges to see which performed the best.
Road Dogs in the lower range (< $1.50) had 'Lot's of Byte' winning 48.0% of the time (72-78) stuffing +$728 into betting accounts. Road Dogs with some bite were found in the $1.50 to $1.70 range as they won at a 46.7% clip (7-8) cashing +$298 worth of tickets. But, Big Dogs higher than $1.70 were 'All-Bark-No-Bite' posting an 1-7 mark depleting accounts by -$521.
A betting nuggets found within the 'Lots-of-Bite' sweet spot. Road dogs in the range which lost it's previous road game by 2 runs or less are 19-14 next time out cashing +$836 at the betting window. While there's no guarantee that these road underdogs will continue to perform the rest of the way, the 'Lot's of Byte' road pups are definitely worth following, especially if the club is off a 2 or less run road loss the previous effort.
RESILIENCY
When it comes to bouncing back after a loss, here are the best and the worst Major League Baseball has to offer:
St. Louis Cardinals: 14-7 (.667)
Chicago Cubs: 18-9 (.667)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 17-9 (.654)
Cleveland Indians: 19-13 (.594)
Texas Rangers: 17-12 (.586)
Philadelphia Phillies: 13-28 (.317)
Miami Marlins: 13-23 (.361)
Milwaukee Brewers: 15-24 (.385)
Cincinnati Reds: 13-20 (.394)
Colorado Rockies: 14-20 (.412)
Note: The 34-30 San Francisco Giants rank sixth-worst in MLB in record when coming off a loss at 12-17 (.414).
THESE DOGS LIKE TO BITE
At the current moment, only four teams in Major League Baseball are turning a profit for bettors when posted in the underdog role. Those teams include:
San Francisco Giants: 18-9 (.667)
Minnesota Twins: 29-22 (.569)
Kansas City Royals: 14-11 (.560)
Houston Astros: 20-16 (.556)
A GOOD NIGHT?S REST
Which teams excel or falter the most when given exactly one day of rest?
San Francisco Giants: 6-1 (.857)
San Diego Padres: 4-1 (.800)
Washington Nationals: 6-2 (.750)
Detroit Tigers: 5-2 (.714)
Toronto Blue Jays: 5-2 (.714)
Minnesota Twins: 2-7 (.222)
Baltimore Orioles: 2-5 (.286)
Milwaukee Brewers: 2-4 (.333)
Tampa Bay Rays: 2-4 (.333)
Colorado Rockies: 3-6 (.333)
All stats as of Monday, June 15.
For the most part, baseball bettors are far more likely to bet the favorite rather than the underdog. The oddsmaker knows this and has a tendency to inflate the line presenting value with underdogs.
Keep in mind, just because a team is favored does not mean the club will win every time. The baseball season is a long, grueling one and there are days when teams don't give their best efforts, ace pitchers have an off day, relievers implode, hitters slump and/or costly errors are made.
A study of this season's baseball road underdogs shows the group winning just 46.2% of the games but increased betting accounts by +$505. To get a better take, we asked our MLB stat crunching machine to brake it down by line ranges to see which performed the best.
Road Dogs in the lower range (< $1.50) had 'Lot's of Byte' winning 48.0% of the time (72-78) stuffing +$728 into betting accounts. Road Dogs with some bite were found in the $1.50 to $1.70 range as they won at a 46.7% clip (7-8) cashing +$298 worth of tickets. But, Big Dogs higher than $1.70 were 'All-Bark-No-Bite' posting an 1-7 mark depleting accounts by -$521.
A betting nuggets found within the 'Lots-of-Bite' sweet spot. Road dogs in the range which lost it's previous road game by 2 runs or less are 19-14 next time out cashing +$836 at the betting window. While there's no guarantee that these road underdogs will continue to perform the rest of the way, the 'Lot's of Byte' road pups are definitely worth following, especially if the club is off a 2 or less run road loss the previous effort.
RESILIENCY
When it comes to bouncing back after a loss, here are the best and the worst Major League Baseball has to offer:
St. Louis Cardinals: 14-7 (.667)
Chicago Cubs: 18-9 (.667)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 17-9 (.654)
Cleveland Indians: 19-13 (.594)
Texas Rangers: 17-12 (.586)
Philadelphia Phillies: 13-28 (.317)
Miami Marlins: 13-23 (.361)
Milwaukee Brewers: 15-24 (.385)
Cincinnati Reds: 13-20 (.394)
Colorado Rockies: 14-20 (.412)
Note: The 34-30 San Francisco Giants rank sixth-worst in MLB in record when coming off a loss at 12-17 (.414).
THESE DOGS LIKE TO BITE
At the current moment, only four teams in Major League Baseball are turning a profit for bettors when posted in the underdog role. Those teams include:
San Francisco Giants: 18-9 (.667)
Minnesota Twins: 29-22 (.569)
Kansas City Royals: 14-11 (.560)
Houston Astros: 20-16 (.556)
A GOOD NIGHT?S REST
Which teams excel or falter the most when given exactly one day of rest?
San Francisco Giants: 6-1 (.857)
San Diego Padres: 4-1 (.800)
Washington Nationals: 6-2 (.750)
Detroit Tigers: 5-2 (.714)
Toronto Blue Jays: 5-2 (.714)
Minnesota Twins: 2-7 (.222)
Baltimore Orioles: 2-5 (.286)
Milwaukee Brewers: 2-4 (.333)
Tampa Bay Rays: 2-4 (.333)
Colorado Rockies: 3-6 (.333)
All stats as of Monday, June 15.
