Since the Points don't count on MNF.....

[ivabign]

I am taking the Rams... hell even the lowly Steelers came in here and won by 7...

Rams don't want to have to play a playoff game in Philly.. they will win the toss, score first and it's all downhill from there.

I usually will always play the home dog on MNF (won with Jets last week) but the team HAS to have a reasonable ability to score. Cleveland lacks that ability....

Rams for a dime -5.5... unless it gets to -7 by gametime, then a middle is in order.

 

[bej0101]

sounds about right..gl

 

[Marco]

Points don't mean much in any of the pro games.....

There was a stat I saw a quite a while back about the straight up winner covering about 74 or 75% of the time....I followed it for a while and from what I could tell it was basically correct and true to form

If you have a bookiesheet go back and circle who won the game and also circle who covered the spread. I think you will find most of the circles will be overlapping each other

Was about the same with college football, too.....

This "system" you might call it, covers dogs that win outright, and the favorite that covers the spread. It misses the favorite that wins but doesn't win by the pointspread.

A lot of the college games it missed when I tracked it were large favorites, say someone favored by 30 that started to party when they were up by 21....

Works great in theory if you can pick the straight up winner.....but how the hell do you do that with some of these crummy match-ups and the turnovers and prevent defenses that permeate this game? Not to mention the parity of teams.

My own opinion is that sides in pro football are the toughest of any of the major sports to win at.....easiest of sides or totals in any sport I think is baseball totals....

 

[ivabign]

ok... so the Rams didn't win the toss, but the Browns have to punt.... let's see if the Rams can run it down their throats...