skillrules

[gardenweasel]

how you been,bud?.......it`s almost ufc time again(the 31st,i believe)........

figured i`d check in with you on some of the matchups....

i took couture at -170 when it hit the board......went up to around -220....then they pulled it...?????....something going on?.....

penn looks to be in over his head,imo.....but,this isn`t my area of expertise,even though it seems like i`ve been watching these shows for a decade....and lovin` em.....

you are the guy to ask..i know it`s hard to form opinions without odds being on the board(i haven`t seen them-except for the couture/belfort line)..any opinions are appreciated.....

thanks again......

 

[skillrules]

Belforts sister has been missing for at least a week...there were a lot of questions as to whether he would fight and if he did, what his mental state would be. He has dropped out in the last two weeks more than any fighter in history, but it looks like he is going to fight. Hopefully, his sister is okay and doesnt turn up murdered.

"Good news for the UFC on Tuesday. Vitor Belfort has landed in Las Vegas and is relaxing from a very long plane ride. He seems to be in good spirits and looks forward to the fight.

Belfort arrived yesterday and despite everything that has been going on in his personal life, with his missing sister, Belfort is in great shape and looks forward to fighting Couture.

Vitor will train in Las Vegas over the next 9 days as he gets his body accustomed to Vegas from his home in Brazil and looks to focus on the UFC Light Heavyweight title as he told friends "I will bring the title back to my homeland of Brazil." He has said this fight will be a pleasant distraction from the events that has happened to his family. His sister is still missing and no new leads have been found in her case."

Taking a close look at Lee Murray. He stared out as an underdog, but looks like people have already jumped on it, went from +140 to a pick 'em -115.

 

[gardenweasel]

can`t find odds

can`t find odds

on the event....oly/5 dimes/pinny are all crapping out......i know oly will eventually post....

thanks for the info...

 

[skillrules]

*admin, no problem moving this post, I know its off topic, ill follow it.

this is what they have at MVP: (you can see you did well with your Randy number)

Odds to win the Fight
101 Vitor Belfort +185
102 Randy Couture -235
103 Draw +1350
* Note: **** $5,000 MAXIMUM WAGER***

BJ Penn vs Matt Hughes
Odds to win the Fight
201 BJ Penn +250
202 Matt Hughes -325
203 Draw +1350
* Note: ***$5,000 Maximum Wager***

Frank Mir vs Wes Simms
Odds to win the Fight
301 Frank Mir -235
302 Wes Simms +185
303 Draw +1350
* Note: ***$2,500 Maximum Wager***

Jorge Rivera vs Lee Murray
Odds to win the Fight
401 Jorge Rivera -115
402 Lee Murray -115
403 Draw +1350
* Note: ***$2,500 Maximum Wager***

Carlos Newton vs Renato Verissimo
Odds to win the Fight
501 Carlos Newton -300
502 Renato Verissimo +220
503 Draw +1350
* Note: ***$2,500 Maximum Wager***

Karo Parisyan vs George St Pierre
Odds to win the Fight
601 Karo Parisyan -280
602 George St Pierre +200
603 Draw +1350
* Note: ***$2,500 Maximum Wager***

Hermes Franca vs Josh Thomson
Odds to win the Fight
801 Hermes Franca -115
802 Josh Thomson -115
803 Draw +1350
* Note: ***$2,500 Maximum Wager***

Matt Serra vs Jeff Curran
Odds to win Fight
701 Matt Serra -450
702 Jeff Curran +300
703 Draw +1350
Note: ***$2,500 Maximum Wager***

 

[gardenweasel]

oly just posted

oly just posted

wonder if joey was browsing the forum...lol...

i was looking at hughes/penn under 3 rds....isn`t penn more of a puncher...i would think that being naturally smaller...and not nearly as strong,penn would try and stay on his feet....while hughes will take him down....and once it gets to the ground,i don`t see penn doing well....

what`s your take,skill?...

btw...just double checked and got couture at -148.....even if couture blows,it won`t devastate me odds wise....

g.l.

 

[skillrules]

So here is the deal with Penn, and the reason why Hughes isnt closer to a 6-1 favorite. BJ is a BJJ black belt and was the first American to win as such in the BJJ World Championships in Brazil. He did this several years ago. He was a phenom on the ground, with a great guard...of course to be a champ he is good from all ground positions.

So while in MMA he seems almost like a standup guy, he has the ground game that few posess. And with Hughes, he was TWICE submitted by Dennis Hallman, so it has been proven that Matt can fall victim to subs.

That said, there is no way I would put big money against Matt. Penn is going up a weight class to face the strongest guy that division has ever seen. Penn will have a much better guard than someone like Trigg would have, but its still going to be tough. Newton is crafty as hell on the ground, but Matt slaughtered him the last time.

Basically, I wont bet this fight and will root for BJ as the underdog, which is the role he said he prefers.

But just not to forget that Hughes is beatable, Check him get choked out (right click, save target)