Small Schools

Musca

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Mar 3, 2005
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All of my lines are from 5 dimes.

Totals 1st:

Stony Brook Under 35: Stony Brook travel across the country to battle UND in the dome. Both teams have anemic offenses but decent defenses. UND loss last week to Mo. State really was a result of special teams and turnovers putting the nail in the coffin. Stony Brook scored 20 on AIC last week... 20? So, low scoring battle here. 17 to 9

Drake Under 37.5: This line has already dropped from 39. Both defensive teams... or offensively stagnant schools. I believe Marist will be lucky to score. I see this game being similar to Georgetown last week. 23-6

Furman Under 34.5: Again the defenses are well ahead of the offenses. Ugly game. First to double digits win.

Eastern Washington O/76: Vernon Adams is a stud. Montana State knows they will not be able to play a ball control offense here because they will not put up enough points thus they will try to play with EWU. The QB at MSU is a dual threat and I think the Bobcats can keep this close. They are in revenge after getting smacked 54-29 LY.

New Hampshire Over 58.5: Bit of a rivalry here- Both teams ranked. UNH offense is nice and Richmond a pretty good team. I think this game will be who has the ball last. Last 2 games between the 2 have been >80

Wofford Under 34: Bad offenses. Wofford, if they get going, could challenge this total. GW are pedestrian at best. LY game ended 3-0 but weather was a factor.

Sides:
North Dakota +11.5: I believe they can defend home field. Also play the moneyline +315

Central Arkansas +7 and Moneyline +210: My POD. I believe the Bears from ARky will beat the bears from Missouri. Home field and better offense. The Missouri State shut out of UND last week is being given too much credit.

Duquesne -3: Monmouth will not be able to make Duquesne 1 dimensional like they did Deleware State. Monmouth has injuries on the O-Line and the O-Line is young. I think we see a higher scoring game. 37-27

South Dakota -4: Missouri Valley team at home vs ranked Northern Arizona. the NAU team does not have the defense to win this game. Their offense is good but SD can slow them and then beat them.

UNC Central +20 and Moneyline +700: Towson is not good. They beat delaware state last week 21-7 but they got a 4th quarter blocked fg and then an INT return for TD. they were outgained and out played but an average Delaware State team. UNC Central is up for this game. I believe they will be in with a chance.

Norfolk State +26.5: Becareful here because Norfolk State may not have the offense to stay in the game. However, there defense can keep them in this game. I believe that if Norfolk State can limit turnovers they will be there. Norfolk State is starting a young QB and he could blow up and then who knows.

Northern Colorado +30: UNI is coming back from Hawaii. they have not been able to capitalize on chances in their 1st two games. UNI should win but UNCO can play and I like this situation.

Presbyterian +38.5: Weird spot for NCSU and Presbyterian has big confidence and I just like this spot.

Texas Southern +6 and +200: great spot and I believe TSU opens up the SWAC with a good win vs Bama A&M.

Bryant +13.5: Bryants defense is good. they are stoked to be ranked. I am a little concerned so this is a small play. If this game becomes high scoring then Bryant does not stand a chance but if their defense can keep them going then they will be there. small play



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Musca

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Mar 3, 2005
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Fort Worth, TX
Other Wagers

Other Wagers

This are the FBS bets:

Already played :
ODU +10.5 vs Rice
Mississippi State +11 vs LSU

Virginia +14.5 vs BYU: Virginia is a couple of turnovers in the UCLA game away from being undefeated. I believe they have a chance to win this game.

Wyoming -3.5: FAU looked GREAT last week but going into Wyoming to play is not easy. I believe Tulsa played awful and basically gave up vs FAU.

New Mexico State +3.5 and moneyline: I like them. No in depth analysis here. I believe that NMSU is a solid team this year and can run over UNM>

SIU +115 if you get the game back on the board. They will beat Purdue.
 
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Musca

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Mar 3, 2005
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SIU game back on the board

SIU game back on the board

Huge line movement in this game. SIU opened as favorite and then went up to +5.. settled now at +2.5 or so.

SIU wins this game.
 

Musca

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Another fun day

Another fun day

I love these small schools. Another profitable day as we hit 2 Moneyline dogs SU. Finished the day 16-10 if you include the moneyline plays. Lost the small plays and hit the bigger plays which is always fun.

29-16 On the year.

See you next week.
 

hawkeye

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Jun 29, 2000
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Hey Mus-great job. I play all your plays-thanks for making me $$. I use to follow these small schools closely-
don't have to spend so much time on it now as you are doing it well--keep up the good work.
 

Spalding

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Oct 24, 2002
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All of my lines are from 5 dimes.

Totals 1st:

Stony Brook Under 35: Stony Brook travel across the country to battle UND in the dome. Both teams have anemic offenses but decent defenses. UND loss last week to Mo. State really was a result of special teams and turnovers putting the nail in the coffin. Stony Brook scored 20 on AIC last week... 20? So, low scoring battle here. 17 to 9

NBL
M

Nice job this week! Also, solid read on UND total and moneyline. For the future, UND absolutely cannot score, ever, against anyone. They will struggle to get to 14 points the rest of the year (maybe vs. UNC). Also, their defense is good but will get beat bad vs. up-tempo spread teams (Montana State, EWU).

Keep up the good work. Loved the Texas Southern ML and didn't understand why they were a dog at home but whatever.
 

hawkeye

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Spalding where are you from in ND. Almost went to school at NDU for baseball.
Knew some people from Hillsboro in college.
 

Spalding

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Spalding where are you from in ND. Almost went to school at NDU for baseball.
Knew some people from Hillsboro in college.

Live in Fargo, went to UND. I follow the UND team closely and if you ever see a line that intrigues you don't be afraid to ask. Sometimes the lines don't truly reflect the teams because for those FCS lines they use a simple mathematical formula.

Baseball up here is such a struggle. I know UND plays their first 30 games or so on the road! Then, they might get in 10-20 home games if the weather cooperates in April and May. :facepalm:
 

hawkeye

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Yea after visitng the program I decded to go somewhere else warmer. Lost my girl friend at that time from
Hillsboro because of it--oh well everything worked out well. My daughter and her family live in West Fargo.
Next time I am up there I will let you know. Should have aid UND instead of NDU.
 

Musca

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Mar 3, 2005
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Thanks for the kudos...

Thanks for the kudos...

I am glad that it helps.

Norfolk State fumbled on their way into the endzone that would have given us the cover.
Presbyterian missed a 30 yard FG that would have given us the cover.
Missouri State hit a 53 yard FG as time expired to win SU vs Central Arkansas.



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Spalding

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Oct 24, 2002
1,124
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38
Nodak
Yea after visitng the program I decded to go somewhere else warmer. Lost my girl friend at that time from
Hillsboro because of it--oh well everything worked out well. My daughter and her family live in West Fargo.
Next time I am up there I will let you know. Should have aid UND instead of NDU.

Sounds good!
 
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