SMOKES WK-3 ARENA FOOTBALL SYSTEM PICKS!

[SMOKE JENSEN]

last week:W-2 L-3

start br: $5,000
1st wk- -$137

Curr br: $4,863


This week I will set my unit a week early at 4% of BR. It will remain there all season.


Wk 3 plays:

GA+1.5-(winner)
UTAH-3-(loser)
AUSTIN+1-(winner)
NASH+3-(winner)
LV +11-(winner)

ALL TO WIN $194.52



SMOKE

 

[kegray1]

Love the Austin play.
They look like they are the best team in the league right now.
KC did not show me anything in either game.

Austin in a rout in my opinion.

 

[kegray1]

Also love the Nashville play.
2-0 and have smoked both NY(road) and Columbus(home).

Chi is coming of a tough home loss to NY.

 

[BOXLOCKS]

In like Flynn

Nashville and Austin it is

Thanks fellas

 

[kegray1]

Also looking hard at the Austin/KC UNDER 97.

Very impressed with Austin defense.
Arizona looked awful against it(Ari had 2 very lucky scores,one being a misplayed play kickoff off the net on the last play of 1stH.Without that play Ari would of had 6 points at the half(2 FG)).
LV didnt really do much better having 14 halftime points then scoring when Austin was allowing them to move it in slow chuncks.

KC is led by aging Andy Kelly who can still sling it Arena wise,but outside of James Jordan the team stinks.

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

Kegray1,now that the line came out it shows Philly-2. With that line my system shows Philly as a play. But I'm worried about Phillys QB situation. Reports say they will start the backup. Any thoughts? Thanks,


SMOKE

 

[kegray1]

I like Phi,but not big on them with Graziani questionable.
Backup Matt Sauk looked decent last Sun,but it was at home.
Phi has been brutal on the road as a franchise, but have yet to play a road game this year.
Phi beat them late last season 64-60.
Phi is a much improved team this season and Orl looks very average.

I may pass on this game.Better games on the board like Nash,Aust.,and Dallas.

 

[SMOKE JENSEN]

I will pass. thanks.


SMOKE

 

[kegray1]

Also playing the OVER 100 in the Utah/NY game.

Think they both get into the 50's in a tight back and forth game.
Utah should take this one,but NY is hard to figure so far this season.
NY has no running game whatsoever.

 

[kegray1]

I think we have a winner here.
Utah up 74-69 with 5 minutes to go.
Great game.

 

[kegray1]

Tomorrow may try to hit them hard.
Love:
Austin(+1)
Nashville(+2)

Also leaning heavy on :
Col/LV(Over 103)
Aus/KC(Under 97)

The betting public seems to like both Chi and KC.
They are at home which is the only reason to like them.The road teams are without a doubt the better teams here. Home field is not worth much in Arena Football.A few stadiums help.

 

[kegray1]

Adding the UNDER 48 in the 1stH of the Aus/KC game.

Austin has shut teams down in the 1stH of both games.
Look for more of the same here.

 

[kegray1]

Adding OVER 1stH LA/GR 45.

 

[kegray1]

9-1 YTD start for me with the 2 1stH winners today.

Today winners:
LA/GR(OVER 45)1stH.
Aus/KC(UNDER 48)1stH.

Pending wagers:
Austin(+1)
Aus/KC(UNDER 98)
Nashville(+2)
Col/LV(OVER 103)

Small play on SJ(-3.5) tonite. They are getting healthy and Ari has looked VERY VERY POOR thus far.

 

[kegray1]

Adding a 2ndH Wager.

LA Avengers(-6) 2ndH.
They are down 35-17 at the half.Slow start,but should rally.

I think they may even comeback and win.

 

[Another Steve]

Kegrey1,

CoatTailed your two 1st H Plays, Thanks

 

[kegray1]

Nashville had the most unlucky 1stH possible.
KR is killing them.
First he misplays ball off the net and he punches it into the stands on his own 1 yard. They go nowhere and miss long FG that is returned for TD.
Next kickoff he fumbles on the 2 yard line.
That was 14 quick points for Chi.

Gonna play Nashville(+1) in the 2ndH.
Trailing 35-20.
I think they can get back in it and cover the (-16) with no troubles.

 

[kegray1]

2 team parlay:2ndH
LV/Col OVER 53.5
Nas/Chi UNDER 48.5

Small play.
Colorado game has been big plays and Nash game has been fluke plays.

 

[kegray1]

Wow.
Did LA quit or what?
Down 49-41 with 1:10 to go.
Lose 66-41.
Without Graziani,this team stinks.Gonna be a long year in LA.
Phi is on the upswing with Tony leading the way.What a difference a QB makes in the Arena League.

 

[kegray1]

Nice.
Austin wins 37-33.
I told you they had a great defense.
Vegas may catch on next week.
Austin is the best team in the league.

11-2 YTD

Pending Wagers:
Nashville(+2)
Col/LV(OVER 103)
Nashville(+16)2ndH Wager.

Parlay:
2 team parlay:2ndH
LV/Col OVER 53.5
Nas/Chi UNDER 48.5

Could be a great day if Nashville keeps this comeback up.
Down 42-34 to start the 4th.