Somebody PLEASE, PLEASE talk me out of this!

[winagainjoe]

Air Force -3!!!
I've watched CSU play 3 or 4 times this year. They are terrible. A host of 7-footers and no speed and the most careless team with the ball in the conf. AF is a well disciplined good 3 pt shooting team. YES they've struggled on the road a bit, but look at the teams they've played. WYO is the only really bad loss. The Falcons should win this game. Moby gym isn't much of a home crowd advantage. This all being said, when I've felt REALLY good about a game this BB season it's been a loser and I've been sitting for a week. Now I want to get back in for this one.. am I stupid?? Should I just take my cash outside and release it into the wild?? :flush:

 

[Hokie Fan]

I tend to agree with this call
Air Force is better than CSU
CSU is not Rupp arena to go in and play...
It is a rivalry game ( campuses close together, no real travel)

Sorry,
But if you release the money outside,
can you at least tell me which way the wind is blowing ???

 

[vyrus858]

I dont know man, ive lost a few times on CSU this year but let me tell you they can def play some ball...that arsenal of 7 footers can really wear you down, and getting points at home could be scary because thats the only place they play well

 

[Superbear]

if you are having a tough time in cbb this year here are 2 suggestions I have;

1. don't lay points on the road,..great example is a team like Iowa State and Charlotte 49's who are completeley different teams at home

2. look for dogs,..this gives you 2 opportunities to win,..back door or straight up,..road dogs have the best value

 

[vyrus858]

Superbear, couldnt agree with you more...Ive noticed that when the line is like -2 to -5 for a generally square team (like cincy the other night), the home dog seriously covers like 60% of the time or maybe even more, they are def $$...but of course, not everybody plays every single one of them so you can be making a profit if your picking the favs at theright time, but tahts why its called handicapping right ...your def right though in a general winning percentage sense

 

[winagainjoe]

thanks for the feedback guys. Superbear, that is a good couple of rules to follow. I guess having played hoops, and knowing players etc makes it tougher to follow them, does that make sense? I just feel like I know what SHOULD happen and what SHOULD happen rarely does which for me = losing year.

 

[Blackman]

My concern on this game is the lack of height on Air Force, and their inability over the weekend to rebound against the height of Wyoming. I think they lost the battle on the boards by a 39-22 margin. Now they have to face another team with much more height.

 

[LuckyIrish]

Williams from CSU is now supposedly not playing if that helps you guys.